Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $78.5200 (-2%) ($78.0600 - $79.4492) on Wed. May. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $78.5200(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.26(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.99(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.03(4.65%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.25%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.51%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2017	66.85	75.03	76.99	78.26	78.57	79.35	78.52(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	80	13	107	0.16	62%	0.33	33.8	2.33%	0	1.3	62	INF
2	May_2_2017	66.63	74.84	76.21	77.98	78.14	79.16	80.12(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	100	42	110	0.24	62%	0.39	31.1	2.32%	0	2.1	68	INF
3	May_1_2017	66.37	74.56	75.37	77.61	77.55	77.78	78.51(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	21	94	0.26	62%	0.33	30.1	2.32%	0	1.8	64	INF
4	Apr_28_2017	66.15	74.29	74.94	77.12	77.46	77.12	77.3(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-20	9	85	0.17	62%	0.32	20.2	2.29%	0	1.5	59	INF
5	Apr_27_2017	65.94	74.18	74.44	76.27	77.19	77.32	76.84(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	12	65	0.21	62%	0.32	8.2	2.3%	0	1.4	56	INF

6	Apr_26_2017	65.73	74.14	74.07	75.48	76.16	77.79	77.15(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	180	48	61	0.28	62%	0.37	-1.2	2.3%	0	1.6	56	INF
7	Apr_25_2017	65.49	74.06	73.56	74.11	74.94	77.05	78.23(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	80	230	92	43	0.35	62%	0.4	-17.8	2.3%	0	2.3	56	INF
8	Apr_24_2017	65.23	73.9	72.96	72.82	73.23	74.53	76.07(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	39	140	54	-5	0.34	60%	0.38	-47.2	2.31%	0	1.3	51	INF
9	Apr_21_2017	64.98	73.89	72.68	72.5	72.2	72.82	73.04(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	50	18	-26	0.31	60%	0.34	-47.5	2.31%	0	-0.5	48	INF
10	Apr_20_2017	64.76	74.02	72.76	72.38	72.41	71.93	72.9(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-50	5	-39	0.28	60%	0.29	-46.9	2.33%	0	-0.7	42	INF

11	Apr_19_2017	64.57	74.16	72.89	72.46	72.54	71.59	70.33(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-90	-39	-63	0.33	58%	0.28	-40.4	2.29%	0	-2.3	30	INF
12	Apr_18_2017	64.39	74.39	73.38	72.86	72.97	72.89	71.74(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-0	-16	-51	0.38	58%	0.3	-21.1	2.27%	0	-1.9	35	INF
13	Apr_17_2017	64.2	74.39	73.72	73.05	73.03	73.49	74.51(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	16	-38	0.29	62%	0.36	7.5	2.23%	0	-0.1	45	INF
14	Apr_13_2017	63.97	74.67	73.63	72.88	72.74	73.05	72.4(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	20	4	-56	0.33	60%	0.33	30.8	2.21%	0	-1.7	32	INF
15	Apr_12_2017	63.76	74.81	73.93	73.21	72.91	72.57	73.32(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-40	-4	-55	0.34	60%	0.33	76.2	2.2%	0	-1.2	39	INF

16	Apr_11_2017	63.55	74.84	74.24	73.43	73.2	72.43	72.34(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-80	-36	-61	0.36	62%	0.35	74.7	2.2%	0	-1.3	34	INF
17	Apr_10_2017	63.33	74.69	74.63	73.99	73.98	73.25	72.68(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-29	-42	0.36	62%	0.38	74.9	2.23%	0	-1	44	INF
18	Apr_7_2017	63.09	74.56	74.95	73.99	74.53	73.96	73.68(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.17	62%	0.38	68.3	2.21%	0	-0.3	36	INF
19	Apr_6_2017	62.85	74.26	75.22	74.47	74.73	74.71	74.03(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	10	-11	-26	0.28	62%	0.4	53.2	2.23%	0	-0.1	50	INF
20	Apr_5_2017	62.6	73.84	75.39	74.76	74.67	75.1	74.4(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	40	2	-12	0.38	62%	0.37	49.1	2.24%	0	0.2	50	INF

21	Apr_4_2017	62.37	73.47	75.53	75.2	74.75	74.74	75.15(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-20	5	4	0.27	62%	0.45	46.8	2.26%	0	0.4	57	INF
22	Apr_3_2017	62.09	73.13	75.48	75.4	75.08	74.23	75.09(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-90	-18	18	0.38	62%	0.42	48.8	2.27%	0	0.5	70	INF
23	Mar_31_2017	61.83	72.79	75.69	75.52	75.43	74.77	73.67(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-60	-36	39	0.33	62%	0.36	48	2.29%	0	0.2	64	INF
24	Mar_30_2017	61.61	72.51	75.82	76.06	75.75	75.93	75.47(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	0	-5	91	0.32	65%	0.29	48.3	2.28%	0	0.7	74	INF
25	Mar_29_2017	61.43	72.07	75.77	76.1	75.83	76.09	76.6(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	10	16	136	0.26	67%		43.4	2.29%	0	1.1	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.