Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $52.5100 (2.8%) ($51.9800 - $52.6500) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.44% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $52.5100(2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.72% (StdDev 3.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.32(6.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.59(10.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.75(14.78%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   26.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 6.1% (three month std-dev: 3.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 3.23%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 3.44%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.35%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 6.5%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.84%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	44.44	45.75	47.59	49.32	49.68	51.47	52.51(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	78	270	52	156	1.47	52%	0.2	40.5	3.44%	0	2.4	76	0
2	Jun_6_2016	44.35	45.28	46.57	48.1	48.11	49.85	51.08(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	250	50	124	2.57	52%	0.45	17.3	3.43%	0	2.5	70	0
3	Jun_3_2016	44.15	44.96	45.71	47.1	47.08	47.89	49.5(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	120	36	96	2.66	56%	0.32	-9.9	3.47%	0	2.4	71	0
4	Jun_2_2016	44.01	44.72	44.9	46.44	46.41	46.38	47.31(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10	8	58	1.44	53%	0.32	-44.9	3.46%	0	1.6	54	0
5	Jun_1_2016	43.87	44.6	44.42	46.04	46.27	46.26	46.21(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	5	37	2.4	59%	0.25	-84	3.48%	0	1.1	50	0

6	May_31_2016	43.76	44.65	44.17	45.55	46.08	46.44	46.4(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	90	19	25	2.57	53%	0.46	-103.4	3.5%	0	1.1	49	0
7	May_27_2016	43.56	44.88	43.96	44.75	45.32	46.28	46.1(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	190	23	12	1.72	59%	0.23	-69.4	3.71%	0	0.5	57	0
8	May_26_2016	43.46	45.15	43.64	44.07	44.38	45.72	46.18(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	230	37	-4	1.67	59%	0.14	-66.5	3.74%	0	0.3	51	0
9	May_25_2016	43.4	45.45	43.52	43.13	43.51	44.37	45.32(3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	160	32	-25	2.38	59%	0.07	-64.7	3.76%	0	-0	50	0
10	May_24_2016	43.37	45.88	43.53	42.59	42.54	43.03	43.73(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	80	5	-45	1.83	59%	0.02	-64.1	3.74%	0	-0.5	45	0

11	May_23_2016	43.36	46.35	43.74	42.63	42.43	42.65	42.41(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	20	-1	-52	2.42	55%	-0.02	-65.3	3.72%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	May_20_2016	43.37	46.84	43.89	43.07	42.82	42.06	42.69(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-140	-6	-69	2.13	58%	-0.07	-64	3.89%	0	-1	27	0
13	May_19_2016	43.4	47.36	44.17	43.14	43.28	42.21	41.5(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-160	-31	-99	3.38	58%	-0.12	-63	3.91%	0	-1.3	22	0
14	May_18_2016	43.45	47.99	44.56	43.94	43.87	43.59	42.64(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-50	-23	-105	2.97	58%	-0.16	-58.7	3.9%	0	-1.2	23	0
15	May_17_2016	43.52	48.65	44.84	44.58	44.61	44.36	43.9(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	-40	-6	-115	2.25	60%	-0.09	-53.9	3.89%	0	-1	22	0

16	May_16_2016	43.56	49.27	45.2	45.03	45.09	44.15	44.61(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-140	-9	-125	1.9	63%	0.02	-48.7	3.93%	0	-1	27	0
17	May_13_2016	43.55	49.75	45.88	44.85	45.37	44.87	43.05(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-40	-21	-132	2.06	63%	-0.02	-47.4	4%	0	-1.5	28	0
18	May_12_2016	43.56	50.3	46.8	45.32	45.52	46.03	45.51(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	90	4	-118	2.18	66%	0.05	-42	3.96%	0	-1.1	29	0
19	May_11_2016	43.54	50.76	47.51	45.27	45.32	45.87	45.84(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	90	13	-118	2	66%	0.07	-34.8	3.99%	0	-1.2	28	0
20	May_10_2016	43.51	51.23	48.36	45.15	45.28	45	46.13(5.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-30	-1	-126	2.33	66%	0.07	-30.5	4.05%	0	-1.3	26	0

21	May_9_2016	43.48	51.57	49.11	45.46	45.37	44.78	43.74(-3.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-62	-100	-35	-143	2.45	64%	0	-23.8	4.01%	0	-2.1	16	0
22	May_6_2016	43.48	51.93	49.99	47.12	46.38	45.55	45.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-170	-32	-123	3.06	64%	0.05	-13.4	4.03%	0	-1.9	29	0
23	May_5_2016	43.46	52.13	50.81	48.53	48.08	45.95	45.24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-59	-340	-43	-108	2.29	64%	0.05	-7	4.06%	0	-2	31	0
24	May_4_2016	43.44	52.23	51.74	50.09	49.71	47.2	45.22(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-75	-380	-68	-96	2.48	64%	0.05	-3	4.09%	0	-2.2	30	0
25	May_3_2016	43.42	52.47	52.84	52.01	51.55	50.22	47.71(-8.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-50	-210	-47	-59	3.8	70%		9.1	4.03%	0	-1.6	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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