Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $43.8800 (3.69%) ($42.3600 - $43.8800) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.44% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $43.8800(3.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.72% (StdDev 5.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.92(9.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.73(13.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.99(18.63%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   43%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 7.87% (three month std-dev: 5.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.98%(14%) Average negative next day return: -3.41%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -4.14%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.59%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.64%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2016	37.05	36.99	38.73	39.92	40.42	42.37	43.88(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	49	380	37	86	0.34	49%	0.41	36.8	5.44%	0	2.4	78	0
2	Mar_2_2016	36.9	36.58	38.01	38.54	38.84	40.72	42.32(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	360	38	75	0.59	49%	0.35	33.9	5.47%	0	2.4	70	0
3	Mar_1_2016	36.77	36.13	37.51	37.4	37.59	38.48	40.68(10.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	180	27	66	0.47	49%	0.25	23.9	5.5%	0	2.2	69	0
4	Feb_29_2016	36.68	35.93	37	36.64	36.58	36.96	36.84(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	70	-3	47	0.31	45%	0	28.1	5.31%	0	0.5	57	0
5	Feb_26_2016	36.68	35.98	36.71	37.16	36.68	36.7	35.88(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-30	0	52	0.24	45%	-0.05	45.2	5.35%	0	-0.1	51	0

6	Feb_25_2016	36.7	35.95	36.37	37.31	36.68	36.2	36.96(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-200	-5	38	0.19	45%	0.03	57.9	5.4%	0	0.5	49	0
7	Feb_24_2016	36.69	35.77	36.05	37.35	37.21	36.65	36.66(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-120	-19	25	0.28	45%	0	63.9	5.46%	0	0.4	51	0
8	Feb_23_2016	36.69	35.63	35.71	37.59	37.67	38.22	36.88(-6.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	110	6	38	0.18	45%	0	70	5.54%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Feb_22_2016	36.69	35.42	35.48	37.38	37.63	37.78	39.4(7.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	50	22	34	0.22	47%	0.19	67.1	5.53%	0	1.9	54	0
10	Feb_19_2016	36.62	35.14	35.09	36.21	36.79	37.13	36.64(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	110	12	3	0.22	43%	0.03	52.9	5.44%	0	0.8	46	0

11	Feb_18_2016	36.61	34.87	35.12	35.26	35.89	37.49	37.16(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	370	25	-1	0.25	43%	0.03	28.3	5.51%	0	1.1	55	0
12	Feb_17_2016	36.6	34.55	35.02	34.54	34.43	36.44	37.88(5.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	400	34	-2	0.43	43%	0.11	7.9	5.59%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Feb_16_2016	36.56	34.28	34.57	33.59	33.64	34.28	35.84(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	140	23	-23	0.28	40%	-0.05	-9.8	5.57%	0	0.8	56	0
14	Feb_12_2016	36.58	34.06	34.68	33.34	33.02	32.41	33.52(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-160	-13	-29	0.34	36%	-0.27	-20.8	5.48%	0	-0.3	56	0
15	Feb_11_2016	36.68	34.16	35.14	33.85	33.36	33.01	31.92(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-120	-23	-13	0.5	36%	-0.41	-16.1	5.46%	0	-1	48	0

16	Feb_10_2016	36.83	34.29	35.49	34.94	34.52	33.63	33.56(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-220	-11	22	0.54	36%	-0.3	-14.8	5.51%	0	-0.3	59	0
17	Feb_9_2016	36.94	34.38	35.52	35.53	35.37	33.71	33.12(-4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-340	-19	38	0.38	36%	-0.35	-22.3	5.58%	0	-0.6	59	0
18	Feb_8_2016	37.07	34.48	35.63	35.64	35.91	35.42	34.6(-4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-20	43	0.4	36%	-0.24	-36	5.65%	0	0.1	56	0
19	Feb_5_2016	37.16	34.48	35.45	36.18	35.96	37.03	36.04(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	190	0	65	0.34	36%	-0.11	-51.2	5.72%	0	0.7	62	0
20	Feb_4_2016	37.2	34.51	35.27	36.64	36.07	36.41	37.36(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	20	18	78	0.61	36%	0	-65.8	5.81%	0	1.4	53	0

21	Feb_3_2016	37.2	34.6	34.64	36.17	36.05	34.89	36.52(8.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-240	-1	53	0.4	36%	-0.05	-79.3	5.89%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Feb_2_2016	37.22	34.85	34.07	35.54	35.99	35.72	33.68(-9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10	-12	27	0.33	29%	-0.4	-78.5	5.69%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Feb_1_2016	37.37	35.25	33.99	35.56	35.78	37.21	37.32(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	300	24	36	0.31	33%	0	0	5.53%	0	0.6	54	0
24	Jan_29_2016	37.37	35.62	33.38	34.57	34.89	36.26	38.32(9.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	300	32	10	0.61	33%	0.11	0	5.64%	0	0.8	56	0
25	Jan_28_2016	37.33	35.96	33.02	33.74	33.76	34.35	35(4.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	11	120	19	-14	0.31	23%		0	5.28%	0	-0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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