Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 26, 2018

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $65.4500 (-1.59%) ($65.2000 - $67.0900) on Wed. Sep. 26, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $65.4500(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-12%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.07(-0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.34(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.96(3.95%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $3.462b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.7% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.74%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2018	55.73	62.96	65.34	66.07	66.09	66.23	65.45(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	20	-3	172	0.35	69%	0.31	48.1	1.88%	0	0.8	78	1.3
2	Sep_25_2018	55.56	62.76	64.86	66.24	66.16	66.18	66.51(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	55	-0	10	189	0.26	67%	0.33	53.2	1.89%	0	1.3	77	1.4
3	Sep_24_2018	55.38	62.48	64.21	66.1	66.08	65.95	66.45(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10	3	180	0.24	67%	0.33	57.8	1.91%	0	1.4	69	1.7
4	Sep_21_2018	55.2	62.14	63.49	65.78	65.92	66.13	65.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	5	161	2.03	64%	0.29	58.4	1.92%	0	1.4	62	2.3
5	Sep_20_2018	55.04	61.85	62.69	65.59	65.65	66.2	66(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	60	45	149	0.57	64%	0.27	62.6	1.95%	0	1.6	58	2.6

6	Sep_19_2018	54.89	61.57	61.97	64.46	64.72	65.71	66.3(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	69	120	56	107	0.43	65%	0.27	61.8	1.95%	0	2	60	2.6
7	Sep_18_2018	54.74	61.25	61.29	63.25	63.37	65.09	65.77(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	75	200	75	73	0.46	65%	0.26	59.8	1.96%	0	2.2	62	1.6
8	Sep_17_2018	54.6	60.91	60.76	62.03	62.05	63.72	64.89(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	190	93	46	0.43	65%	0.24	56.5	1.96%	0	2.2	61	1.1
9	Sep_14_2018	54.47	60.62	60.4	60.86	60.7	61.64	65(7.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	54	100	68	13	0.68	60%	0.24	56.4	2.1%	0	2.7	65	1.9
10	Sep_13_2018	54.34	60.3	60.12	59.4	59.66	60.38	60.32(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	100	29	-35	0.37	57%	0.15	48.1	1.87%	0	0	50	1.6

11	Sep_12_2018	54.26	60.15	60.32	59.12	59.19	59.76	60.25(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	70	26	-37	0.39	58%	0.11	46.1	1.91%	0	0.1	48	1
12	Sep_11_2018	54.2	60.04	60.44	59.02	59	58.94	59.68(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10	1	-44	0.29	58%	0.09	50.8	1.92%	0	-0.2	49	0.9
13	Sep_10_2018	54.15	59.9	60.59	59.3	59.14	58.62	59.03(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-70	-31	-42	0.35	58%	0.09	55.9	1.93%	0	-0.5	51	0.2
14	Sep_7_2018	54.1	59.73	60.7	59.89	59.77	59.05	57.71(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-90	-49	-30	0.4	57%	0.06	53.2	1.92%	0	-1	46	-0.7
15	Sep_6_2018	54.07	59.69	61.01	60.95	60.74	59.65	58.92(-1.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-35	-140	-49	7	0.37	59%	0.07	70.2	1.9%	0	-0.4	53	-0.4

16	Sep_5_2018	54.03	59.49	61.23	61.67	61.63	60.5	59.78(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-130	-49	48	0.47	59%	0.09	70.1	1.89%	0	0.1	67	0.3
17	Sep_4_2018	53.98	59.25	61.31	62.02	62.14	61.83	61.05(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-30	-26	83	0.38	61%	0.15	69.7	1.88%	0	0.7	69	0.5
18	Aug_31_2018	53.9	58.95	61.17	62.04	62.21	62.75	62(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	70	23	122	0.31	59%	0.15	71.1	1.85%	0	1.1	78	0.1
19	Aug_30_2018	53.82	58.67	60.9	61.62	61.72	62.46	62.99(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	90	41	140	0.29	61%	0.19	72.3	1.86%	0	1.6	86	0.8
20	Aug_29_2018	53.72	58.25	60.5	61.1	61.06	61.66	62.53(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	70	29	132	0.5	61%	0.15	69.1	1.92%	0	1.6	74	1.3

21	Aug_28_2018	53.64	57.85	59.96	60.77	60.72	60.98	61.53(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	30	21	136	0.28	61%	0.17	69.6	1.92%	0	1.5	78	1
22	Aug_27_2018	53.55	57.48	59.57	60.52	60.5	60.46	61.15(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10	9	142	0.29	61%	0.19	67.9	1.93%	0	1.4	74	0.9
23	Aug_24_2018	53.45	57.07	59.12	60.18	60.3	60.45	59.88(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	20	3	143	0.16	60%	0.13	63.9	1.93%	0	1.1	72	1
24	Aug_23_2018	53.38	56.76	58.66	60.05	60.07	60.55	60.43(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	60	21	142	0.15	60%	0.15	63.8	1.93%	0	1.5	63	1
25	Aug_22_2018	53.3	56.49	58.26	59.77	59.68	60.15	60.87(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	50	38	152	0.16	58%		65.4	1.93%	0	1.9	69	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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