Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $47.7800 (-0.08%) ($47.3600 - $48.3100) on Thu. Jan. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $47.7800(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.55(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.27(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.21(3.4%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   26.5%
Market Cap   $2.528b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(54%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(59%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.44%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2018	40.74	46.21	47.27		47.48	47.61	47.78(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	10	4	33	0.21	58%	0.3	73.9	2.33%	0	1.1	64	INF
2	Jan_3_2018	40.62	45.94	47.16	47.55	47.44	47.44	47.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	6	41	0.28	58%	0.3	65.8	2.34%	0	1.1	68	INF
3	Jan_2_2018	40.5	45.75	47	47.34	47.41	47.34	47.97(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	6	45	0.39	59%	0.47	64.6	2.34%	0	1.2	75	INF
4	Dec_29_2017	40.31	45.54	46.87	47.06	47.19	47.43	46.47(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	40	-0	53	0.25	58%	0.32	68	2.32%	0	0.5	73	INF
5	Dec_28_2017	40.18	45.41	46.86	47.1	47.08	47.48	47.72(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	60	17	82	0.14	61%	0.32	77.2	2.3%	0	1.3	87	INF

6	Dec_27_2017	40.05	45.14	46.7	46.94	46.87	46.95	47.75(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	10	11	98	0.36	63%	0.33	82.5	2.3%	0	1.4	88	INF
7	Dec_26_2017	39.92	44.86	46.47	46.73	46.78	46.67	46.77(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10	0	106	0.17	63%	0.38	90.1	2.32%	0	1.1	84	INF
8	Dec_22_2017	39.77	44.6	46.22	46.61	46.74	46.79	46.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	20	-3	105	0.31	64%	0.3	92.8	2.3%	0	1	66	INF
9	Dec_21_2017	39.65	44.36	45.94	46.65	46.71	46.89	46.65(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	30	6	112	0.24	64%	0.28	104.2	2.3%	0	1.2	67	INF
10	Dec_20_2017	39.54	44.07	45.54	46.58	46.66	46.69	46.94(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	8	106	0.32	64%	0.28	107.9	2.3%	0	1.5	68	INF

11	Dec_19_2017	39.43	43.7	45.08	46.41	46.56	46.52	46.72(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	5	101	0.31	64%	0.25	97.7	2.3%	0	1.5	74	INF
12	Dec_18_2017	39.33	43.29	44.65	46.16	46.36	46.63	46.16(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	50	13	100	0.4	64%	0.25	82.3	2.31%	0	1.3	74	INF
13	Dec_15_2017	39.23	42.88	44.4	45.75	45.96	46.61	46.8(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	110	32	109	0.76	64%	0.28	66	2.3%	0	1.6	79	INF
14	Dec_14_2017	39.12	42.45	44.08	45.1	45.3	46.09	46.29(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	140	42	105	0.38	64%	0.28	54.6	2.3%	0	1.6	77	INF
15	Dec_13_2017	39.01	42.05	43.82	44.33	44.49	45.32	46.08(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	140	44	99	0.32	64%	0.26	41.2	2.3%	0	1.7	79	INF

16	Dec_12_2017	38.91	41.76	43.44	43.55	43.66	44.5	45.48(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	140	40	89	0.38	65%	0.26	38.5	2.3%	0	1.7	82	INF
17	Dec_11_2017	38.81	41.51	43.08	42.92	42.98	43.67	44.12(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	120	22	84	0.4	63%	0.21	27.9	2.28%	0	1.3	82	INF
18	Dec_8_2017	38.73	41.33	42.82	42.87	42.77	42.82	43.55(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	0	7	101	0.58	63%	0.18	23.6	2.28%	0	1.2	83	INF
19	Dec_7_2017	38.66	41.17	42.64	42.93	43.02	42.28	42.42(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-110	-21	116	0.26	63%	0.21	27	2.26%	0	0.7	75	INF
20	Dec_6_2017	38.58	41.09	42.5	43.23	43.41	42.72	42.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-100	-27	142	0.24	63%	0.21	34.4	2.29%	0	0.6	74	INF

21	Dec_5_2017	38.5	40.93	42.25	43.27	43.65	43.76	42.36(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	36	40	-3	151	0.35	62%	0.23	29	2.29%	0	0.8	59	INF
22	Dec_4_2017	38.41	40.95	41.88	43.2	43.39	44.1	43.86(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	130	31	153	0.41	65%	0.23	32.8	2.25%	0	1.5	63	INF
23	Dec_1_2017	38.32	40.88	41.28	42.74	42.71	43.55	43.85(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	140	37	122	0.62	65%	0.26	32.8	2.27%	0	1.6	62	INF
24	Nov_30_2017	38.22	40.68	40.73	42.3	42.06	42.68	43.93(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	90	37	94	0.57	67%	0.24	28.7	2.29%	0	1.9	64	INF
25	Nov_29_2017	38.13	40.47	40.15	41.69	41.57	41.87	42.37(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	29	55	0.87	65%		21.4	2.25%	0	1.2	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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