Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $46.2900 (0.46%) ($46.1700 - $47.3700) on Thu. Dec. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $46.2900(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.1(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.08(5.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.45(9.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $2.449b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.7% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 2.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.41%(50%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 4.17%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(64%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 3.39%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2017	39.12	42.45	44.08	45.1	45.3	46.09	46.29(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	140	42	105	0.38	64%	0.28	54.6	2.3%	0	1.6	77	INF
2	Dec_13_2017	39.01	42.05	43.82	44.33	44.49	45.32	46.08(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	140	44	99	0.32	64%	0.26	41.2	2.3%	0	1.7	79	INF
3	Dec_12_2017	38.91	41.76	43.44	43.55	43.66	44.5	45.48(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	140	40	89	0.38	65%	0.26	38.5	2.3%	0	1.7	82	INF
4	Dec_11_2017	38.81	41.51	43.08	42.92	42.98	43.67	44.12(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	120	22	84	0.4	63%	0.21	27.9	2.28%	0	1.3	82	INF
5	Dec_8_2017	38.73	41.33	42.82	42.87	42.77	42.82	43.55(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	0	7	101	0.58	63%	0.18	23.6	2.28%	0	1.2	83	INF

6	Dec_7_2017	38.66	41.17	42.64	42.93	43.02	42.28	42.42(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-110	-21	116	0.26	63%	0.21	27	2.26%	0	0.7	75	INF
7	Dec_6_2017	38.58	41.09	42.5	43.23	43.41	42.72	42.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-100	-27	142	0.24	63%	0.21	34.4	2.29%	0	0.6	74	INF
8	Dec_5_2017	38.5	40.93	42.25	43.27	43.65	43.76	42.36(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	36	40	-3	151	0.35	62%	0.23	29	2.29%	0	0.8	59	INF
9	Dec_4_2017	38.41	40.95	41.88	43.2	43.39	44.1	43.86(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	130	31	153	0.41	65%	0.23	32.8	2.25%	0	1.5	63	INF
10	Dec_1_2017	38.32	40.88	41.28	42.74	42.71	43.55	43.85(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	140	37	122	0.62	65%	0.26	32.8	2.27%	0	1.6	62	INF

11	Nov_30_2017	38.22	40.68	40.73	42.3	42.06	42.68	43.93(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	90	37	94	0.57	67%	0.24	28.7	2.29%	0	1.9	64	INF
12	Nov_29_2017	38.13	40.47	40.15	41.69	41.57	41.87	42.37(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	29	55	0.87	65%	0.21	21.4	2.25%	0	1.2	56	INF
13	Nov_28_2017	38.05	40.39	39.93	41.08	41.08	41.45	42.01(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	30	43	0.67	65%	0.24	13.6	2.25%	0	1.1	65	INF
14	Nov_27_2017	37.96	40.33	39.78	40.33	40.37	41.28	41.52(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	160	41	5	1.01	65%	0.18	2.7	2.25%	0	0.8	43	INF
15	Nov_24_2017	37.89	40.27	39.68	39.58	39.53	40.7	41.68(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	33	200	54	-30	0.25	65%	0.32	-11.4	2.25%	0	1	45	INF

16	Nov_22_2017	37.77	40.18	39.53	38.91	38.65	39.47	40.87(3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	18	130	43	-58	0.6	67%	0.08	-26.3	2.23%	0	0.5	54	INF
17	Nov_21_2017	37.74	40.14	39.51	38.41	38.17	38.35	39.32(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	10	8	-88	0.7	64%	0.16	-37.2	2.21%	0	-0.6	49	INF
18	Nov_20_2017	37.68	40.18	39.47	38.63	38.04	37.83	38.26(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-80	-25	-110	0.57	63%	0.11	-33.4	2.18%	0	-1.4	43	INF
19	Nov_17_2017	37.64	40.29	39.94	39.16	38.67	37.99	37.77(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-160	-30	-80	0.62	58%	0.11	-26.3	2.19%	0	-1.9	42	INF
20	Nov_16_2017	37.6	40.44	40.47	39.77	39.42	38.25	38.34(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-230	-43	-49	0.53	58%	0.11	-13.9	2.2%	0	-1.8	45	INF

21	Nov_15_2017	37.56	40.55	40.67	40.22	39.98	39.36	38.36(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-44	-130	-47	-34	1.68	61%	0.13	-1.9	2.2%	0	-2	48	INF
22	Nov_14_2017	37.51	40.66	40.89	40.74	40.53	40.58	40.44(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10	9	9	0.26	66%	0.16	11.9	2.13%	0	-0.2	54	INF
23	Nov_13_2017	37.45	40.65	40.95	40.4	40.42	40.6	40.87(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	30	-8	-5	0.28	66%	0.19	0.8	2.13%	0	0.2	55	INF
24	Nov_10_2017	37.38	40.63	40.96	40.88	40.45	40.47	40.86(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-30	-14	17	0.25	63%	0.19	16.1	2.13%	0	0.2	55	INF
25	Nov_9_2017	37.31	40.6	40.94	41.31	41.17	40.23	40.57(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-170	-11	35	0.33	63%		28	2.17%	0	-0	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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