Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $40.0800 (-1.21%) ($39.9900 - $40.7700) on Tue. Oct. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $40.0800(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.26(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.34(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.9(0.45%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $2.12b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 10.01%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2017	35.84	39.9	40.34	40.26		40.47	40.08(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	30	2	-13	0.17	71%	0.11	50.2	1.44%	0	0.2	53	INF
2	Oct_16_2017	35.8	39.78	40.43	40.31	40.3	40.36	40.57(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	11	14	0.23	71%	0.25	45	1.44%	0	0.7	69	INF
3	Oct_13_2017	35.71	39.65	40.49	40.26	40.24	40.13	40.31(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-20	-7	30	0.22	71%	0.28	44.5	1.43%	0	0.5	70	INF
4	Oct_12_2017	35.61	39.54	40.51	40.3	40.31	40.24	39.88(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10	-10	51	0.26	71%	0.28	46.5	1.43%	0	0.3	69	INF
5	Oct_11_2017	35.51	39.45	40.52	40.42	40.4	40.35	40.48(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10	-3	85	0.36	74%	0.31	51.1	1.41%	0	0.8	80	INF

6	Oct_10_2017	35.4	39.34	40.48	40.43	40.47	40.39	40.32(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10	-9	109	0.27	74%	0.31	58.8	1.42%	0	0.8	80	INF
7	Oct_9_2017	35.29	39.24	40.34	40.56	40.58	40.46	40.31(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-20	-13	131	0.29	74%	0.31	68.8	1.42%	0	0.8	81	INF
8	Oct_6_2017	35.18	39.11	40.18	40.76	40.74	40.54	40.5(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-40	-7	156	0.15	74%	0.29	76.6	1.42%	0	1.1	76	INF
9	Oct_5_2017	35.08	38.97	39.98	40.75	40.83	40.69	40.48(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	-20	-2	165	0.33	74%	0.31	78.9	1.43%	0	1.2	73	INF
10	Oct_4_2017	34.97	38.82	39.71	40.63	40.73	40.93	40.56(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	40	8	161	0.25	74%	0.26	80	1.43%	0	1.3	73	INF

11	Oct_3_2017	34.88	38.62	39.43	40.51	40.49	40.96	40.95(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	80	39	165	0.36	74%	0.29	79.1	1.43%	0	1.8	77	INF
12	Oct_2_2017	34.78	38.39	39.08	40.07	40.08	40.52	41.31(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	80	48	135	0.29	74%	0.29	76.8	1.43%	0	2.4	75	INF
13	Sep_29_2017	34.68	38.16	38.72	39.52	39.54	40.02	40.45(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	90	38	103	0.33	68%	0.29	81.1	1.41%	0	2.2	76	INF
14	Sep_28_2017	34.58	38	38.46	39.1	39.12	39.64	39.87(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	90	46	84	0.26	70%	0.26	87.6	1.44%	0	2.1	74	INF
15	Sep_27_2017	34.49	37.81	38.27	38.66	38.66	39.06	39.97(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	46	70	41	60	0.4	65%	0.23	80.2	1.5%	0	2.5	76	INF

16	Sep_26_2017	34.41	37.61	38.07	38.19	38.19	38.61	38.77(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	80	26	43	0.21	62%	0.26	72.9	1.53%	0	1.5	78	INF
17	Sep_25_2017	34.32	37.48	38.03	37.93	37.89	38.27	38.55(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	70	25	47	0.2	62%	0.26	72.1	1.53%	0	1.4	77	INF
18	Sep_22_2017	34.23	37.34	37.94	37.8	37.67	37.77	38.34(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	10	40	0.15	64%	0.23	70	1.55%	0	1.2	64	INF
19	Sep_21_2017	34.15	37.23	37.87	37.74	37.7	37.51	37.67(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-8	33	0.18	66%	0.21	72.3	1.54%	0	0.5	55	INF
20	Sep_20_2017	34.08	37.13	37.86	37.83	37.85	37.58	37.62(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-16	48	0.39	66%	0.24	66.7	1.61%	0	0.6	66	INF

21	Sep_19_2017	34	37.05	37.76	37.93	38.03	37.89	37.48(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-17	58	0.29	67%	0.21	67.7	1.61%	0	0.5	65	INF
22	Sep_18_2017	33.93	36.93	37.67	38.13	38.17	38.13	37.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-0	1	80	0.16	67%	0.24	67	1.62%	0	0.9	68	INF
23	Sep_15_2017	33.85	36.78	37.59	38.09	38.13	38.17	38.06(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	4	93	0.39	65%	0.24	63.9	1.61%	0	1.2	73	INF
24	Sep_14_2017	33.77	36.65	37.52	38	38.03	38.21	38.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	40	10	102	0.2	65%	0.24	68.8	1.64%	0	1.4	69	INF
25	Sep_13_2017	33.69	36.55	37.32	37.9	37.85	38.09	38.15(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	40	24	109	0.45	65%		75.4	1.65%	0	1.6	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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