Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $34.8200 (-1.89%) ($34.6800 - $35.5900) on Fri. Aug. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $34.8200(-1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $35.54
5 Day Moving Average   $35.52(-1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.27(-1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.54(-2.03%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $1.842b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.54%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.67%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2017	32.32	35.54	35.27	35.52	35.69	35.48	34.82(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-30	-15	-9	0.2	60%	0.19	18.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	40	INF
2	Aug_17_2017	32.26	35.6	35.32	35.46	35.66	36.08	35.49(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	100	24	-7	0.21	58%	0.22	27.7	1.72%	0	-0.2	43	INF
3	Aug_16_2017	32.19	35.62	35.29	35.19	35.12	35.9	36.21(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	18	150	32	-26	0.25	61%	0.22	26.3	1.76%	0	1	50	INF
4	Aug_15_2017	32.12	35.56	35.21	34.99	34.7	35.24	36.1(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	16	80	34	-40	0.28	61%	0.22	19.4	1.77%	0	0.8	49	INF
5	Aug_14_2017	32.05	35.46	35.17	34.8	34.59	34.34	34.97(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-70	-5	-68	0.17	58%	0.19	10.2	1.73%	0	-0.7	43	INF

6	Aug_11_2017	31.99	35.43	35.3	35.03	34.78	34.15	34.51(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-150	-34	-65	0.22	58%	0.22	19.8	1.73%	0	-1.2	38	INF
7	Aug_10_2017	31.92	35.44	35.49	35.16	35.31	34.85	34.14(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-80	-23	-50	0.3	58%	0.16	28	1.72%	0	-1.7	34	INF
8	Aug_9_2017	31.87	35.46	35.69	35.38	35.29	35.41	35.23(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	20	-14	-36	0.35	66%	0.19	41.6	1.69%	0	-0.3	40	INF
9	Aug_8_2017	31.81	35.43	35.78	35.44	35.36	35.77	35.16(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	6	70	11	-11	0.29	66%	0.16	45.5	1.82%	0	-0.3	56	INF
10	Aug_7_2017	31.76	35.39	35.85	35.59	35.37	35.18	36.09(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-60	4	8	0.45	70%	0.19	47.3	1.78%	0	0.8	73	INF

11	Aug_4_2017	31.7	35.28	35.83	35.64	35.45	34.95	35.18(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-110	-32	11	1.35	62%	0.13	47.4	1.84%	0	-0.1	67	INF
12	Aug_3_2017	31.66	35.23	35.91	35.89	35.94	35.57	35.22(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-70	-19	42	0.33	62%	0.16	55.2	1.84%	0	-0	61	INF
13	Aug_2_2017	31.61	35.16	36	36.05	36.17	35.96	35.57(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-30	-14	67	0.21	62%	0.16	54.9	1.84%	0	0.4	66	INF
14	Aug_1_2017	31.56	35.08	35.95	36.15	36.25	36.31	35.87(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	20	-1	84	0.34	64%	0.16	61.4	1.84%	0	0.8	70	INF
15	Jul_31_2017	31.51	34.99	35.79	36.14	36.19	36.39	36.37(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	10	89	0.22	64%	0.19	61	1.84%	0	1.4	79	INF

16	Jul_28_2017	31.45	34.87	35.57	36.05	36.09	36.19	36.41(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	20	10	88	0.2	64%	0.16	58.1	1.86%	0	1.7	82	INF
17	Jul_27_2017	31.4	34.72	35.38	36.05	36.09	36.19	36.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	0	0	85	0.32	64%	0.16	56.3	1.87%	0	1.5	77	INF
18	Jul_26_2017	31.35	34.63	35.21	35.95	36	36.19	36.05(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	0	9	97	0.19	66%	0.19	64.2	1.87%	0	1.7	79	INF
19	Jul_25_2017	31.29	34.49	35.04	35.72	35.86	36.19	35.82(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	40	17	94	0.29	67%	0.13	63.4	1.88%	0	1.6	72	INF
20	Jul_24_2017	31.25	34.41	34.88	35.36	35.48	36	35.94(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	110	26	79	0.27	67%	0.16	70.1	1.9%	0	2	68	INF

21	Jul_21_2017	31.2	34.34	34.67	34.99	35.02	35.71	35.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	140	35	65	0.27	65%	0.13	86.7	1.91%	0	2.3	70	INF
22	Jul_20_2017	31.16	34.23	34.46	34.71	34.58	34.97	36.04(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	36	70	30	52	0.52	65%	0.13	110.4	1.93%	0	3.2	74	INF
23	Jul_19_2017	31.12	34.1	34.22	34.39	34.37	34.32	34.89(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10	8	22	0.24	63%	0.13	150.4	1.89%	0	2	54	INF
24	Jul_18_2017	31.08	33.98	34.11	34.28	34.31	34.2	34.03(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-8	17	0.1	61%	0.13	108.5	1.87%	0	0.1	60	INF
25	Jul_17_2017	31.04	33.89	34.13	34.32	34.37	34.42	34.1(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	10	2	22	0.17	58%		87.7	1.87%	0	0.3	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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