Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $31.5400 (5.56%) ($30.0000 - $31.6500) on Tue. May. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $31.5400(5.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.45(3.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.39(3.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.67(6.3%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $1.668b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(48%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 2.38%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(43%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 2.88%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2017	30.4	29.67	30.39	30.45	30.25	30.26	31.54(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-20	27	88	0.63	40%	-0.1	56.3	1.75%	0	2.1	68	0
2	May_8_2017	30.43	29.53	30.21	30.21	30.14	29.69	29.88(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-110	-27	74	0.28	27%	-0.2	57.8	1.61%	0	0.4	63	0
3	May_5_2017	30.49	29.46	30.14	30.36	30.32	30.24	29.51(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-20	-17	96	0.45	27%	-0.2	58.6	1.65%	0	0.1	62	0
4	May_4_2017	30.55	29.42	30.07	30.44	30.47	30.6	30.76(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	30	13	114	0.37	32%	-0.13	58.7	1.58%	0	1.6	63	0
5	May_3_2017	30.59	29.29	29.9	30.35	30.29	30.41	30.57(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	20	4	110	0.24	32%	-0.13	53.1	1.59%	0	1.6	65	0

6	May_2_2017	30.63	29.18	29.72	30.31	30.28	30.33	30.35(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	10	11	113	0.25	32%	-0.1	52.3	1.59%	0	1.5	65	0
7	May_1_2017	30.66	29.08	29.54	30.21	30.2	30.17	30.63(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	-10	16	108	0.28	32%	-0.07	46.2	1.59%	0	2.1	66	0
8	Apr_28_2017	30.68	28.99	29.31	29.88	30.02	30.22	29.91(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	60	17	87	0.51	23%	0.1	40.6	1.56%	0	1.5	64	0
9	Apr_27_2017	30.65	28.93	29.23	29.61	29.72	30.23	30.31(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	130	31	81	0.17	23%	0.1	34.8	1.56%	0	2.3	68	0
10	Apr_26_2017	30.62	28.87	29.07	29.37	29.35	29.82	30.36(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	48	110	39	74	0.41	23%	0.1	27.1	1.57%	0	2.9	71	0

11	Apr_25_2017	30.59	28.79	28.88	29.05	29.04	29.21	29.84(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	33	40	27	49	0.3	16%	0.1	12.9	1.55%	0	2.8	65	0
12	Apr_24_2017	30.56	28.74	28.76	28.78	28.84	29.21	28.99(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	20	8	27	0.19	0%	0.07	-27.9	1.51%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Apr_21_2017	30.54	28.74	28.76	28.66	28.72	28.88	28.57(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	50	-3	8	0.21	0%	0.1	-63.5	1.5%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Apr_20_2017	30.51	28.74	28.71	28.78	28.72	28.8	29.1(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	10	11	18	0.21	0%	0.07	-88	1.49%	0	1.2	52	0
15	Apr_19_2017	30.49	28.73	28.63	28.72	28.71	28.55	28.74(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-40	-2	-5	0.27	0%	0.03	-104.3	1.49%	0	0	41	0

16	Apr_18_2017	30.48	28.74	28.6	28.7	28.74	28.62	28.48(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-30	-11	-15	0.29	0%	0	-126.1	1.5%	0	-0.8	46	0
17	Apr_17_2017	30.48	28.83	28.59	28.75	28.77	28.62	28.41(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	30	-1	-18	0.34	0%	-0.07	-89.8	1.5%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Apr_13_2017	30.5	28.92	28.65	28.76	28.78	28.87	29.16(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	15	-8	0.27	0%	0	-65.3	1.49%	0	0.3	54	0
19	Apr_12_2017	30.5	29	28.61	28.64	28.66	28.67	28.79(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	0	6	-15	0.34	0%	0	-65	1.49%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Apr_11_2017	30.5	29.08	28.66	28.54	28.54	28.69	28.64(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	40	4	-23	0.32	0%	-0.03	-68.1	1.49%	0	-0.5	42	0

21	Apr_10_2017	30.51	29.16	28.68	28.5	28.53	28.64	28.73(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	30	14	-23	0.25	0%	-0.03	-66.6	1.52%	0	-0.5	49	0
22	Apr_7_2017	30.52	29.26	28.71	28.42	28.43	28.4	28.5(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-5	-45	0.45	0%	-0.03	-68	1.8%	0	-0.8	36	0
23	Apr_6_2017	30.53	29.39	28.75	28.52	28.5	28.41	28.54(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-20	-7	-57	0.31	18%	-0.03	-64.7	1.81%	0	-0.9	35	0
24	Apr_5_2017	30.54	29.51	28.74	28.59	28.65	28.46	28.3(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-40	-14	-79	0.38	18%	-0.07	-64.6	1.89%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Apr_4_2017	30.56	29.64	28.84	28.81	28.79	28.59	28.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-50	-12	-77	0.36	18%		-64.1	1.9%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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