Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $30.3700 (0.43%) ($29.7600 - $30.6300) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $30.3700(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.12(-33.75%)
Resistance Level   $31.28
5 Day Moving Average   $29.98(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.28(-2.91%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $1.607b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.12%(13%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	29.83	31.28		29.98	29.99	30.24	30.37(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	60	8	-52	0.27	53%	0.07	-55.4	3.76%	0	-0.6	33	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	29.81	31.39	30	29.78	29.76	30.06	30.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	70	6	-75	0.42	53%	0.1	-62.8	3.76%	0	-0.7	30	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	29.78	31.56	30.07	29.71	29.64	29.75	29.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	20	3	-88	0.37	53%	0	-70.7	3.77%	0	-1	33	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	29.78	31.73	30.26	29.72	29.69	29.46	29.9(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-60	-5	-96	0.37	53%	0.13	-77.1	3.77%	0	-1.1	36	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	29.74	31.94	30.69	29.87	29.84	29.53	29.44(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-80	-11	-89	0.61	53%	0.1	-76.2	3.77%	0	-1.5	32	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	29.71	32.23	31.07	30.02	30.18	29.93	29.34(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-40	-7	-82	0.4	53%	0.1	-75.9	3.77%	0	-1.8	35	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	29.68	32.47	31.52	30.23	30.27	30.14	29.92(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-9	-72	0.53	53%	0.1	-75.3	3.76%	0	-1.7	38	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	29.65	32.77	31.86	30.47	30.38	30.42	30(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	0	-10	-69	0.58	53%	0.14	-61.9	3.76%	0	-1.8	34	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	29.61	33.06	32.16	30.88	30.73	30.41	30.66(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-90	-18	-65	0.25	51%	0.14	-30.9	3.75%	0	-1.6	37	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	29.57	33.26	32.42	31.68	31.37	30.33	30.19(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-260	-28	-53	0.27	51%	0.1	6.4	3.76%	0	-2	32	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	29.54	33.48	32.7	32.3	32.37	31.06	30.4(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-280	-36	-50	0.55	51%	0.1	41.4	3.78%	0	-2.2	29	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	29.51	33.65	32.94	33	33.22	32.41	31.09(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-150	-27	-35	0.63	53%	0.1	89.5	3.77%	0	-2.2	38	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	29.48	33.74	33.21	33.42	33.22	33.68	32.04(-7.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	20	-7	-26	0.92	53%	0.14	147.7	3.76%	0	-1.7	34	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	29.44	33.54	33.37	33.58	33.71	34.02	34.66(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	80	11	-26	0.79	57%	0.24	163.7	3.65%	0	1.1	42	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	29.37	33.16	33.29	33.3	33.43	33.75	33.31(-1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	80	9	-37	0.44	55%	0.24	87.6	3.62%	0	0.1	44	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	29.3	32.91	33.45	33.18	33.19	33.39	33.88(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	11	-37	0.35	55%	0.27	63.7	3.62%	0	0.4	49	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	29.22	32.61	33.46	32.91	32.93	33.1	33.23(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	40	1	-46	0.45	55%	0.27	53.3	3.61%	0	0.2	51	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	29.14	32.3	33.71	32.98	32.91	32.99	32.84(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	10	0	-30	0.26	61%	0.17	40.1	3.61%	0	0.2	55	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	29.09	31.99	34	33.11	32.99	32.77	33.24(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-60	-5	7	0.25	58%	0.21	34.2	3.98%	0	0.4	76	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	29.03	31.69	34.13	33.29	33.22	32.83	32.69(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-90	-16	40	0.25	59%	0.1	31.8	4.03%	0	0.3	77	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	29	31.48	34.3	33.77	33.75	33.22	32.54(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-110	-13	83	0.31	59%	0.07	34	4.03%	0	0.3	69	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	28.98	31.28	34.43	34.09	34.19	33.6	33.59(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-110	-18	120	0.38	59%	0.1	36	3.99%	0	0.7	74	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	28.95	31.09	34.34	34.54	34.61	34.29	33.5(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-60	-17	167	0.31	59%	0.1	40.3	3.99%	0	0.7	76	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	28.92	30.89	33.79	35.01	35.13	34.77	34.15(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	-60	-4	200	0.43	59%	0.14	45.4	3.98%	0	0.9	78	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	28.88	30.61	33.09	35.09	35.24	34.93	35.07(2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-50	-4	212	0.57	61%		45.1	3.97%	0	1.3	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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