Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $35.0700 (2.78%) ($34.4400 - $35.2100) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $35.0700(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 14.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.09(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.09(5.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.61(14.57%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   42.6%
Market Cap   $1.855b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 11.34% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 6.38%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.18%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -6.67%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 17.42%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	28.88	30.61	33.09	35.09	35.24	34.93	35.07(2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-50	-4	212	0.57	61%	0.14	45.1	3.97%	0	1.3	78	INF
2	Dec_19_2016	28.84	30.31	32.39	34.92	35.15	35.48	34.12(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	56	90	3	216	0.57	61%	0.1	43.4	3.98%	0	1.2	68	INF
3	Dec_16_2016	28.81	30.05	31.75	34.79	34.86	35.56	35.88(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	150	26	229	1.88	63%	0.17	42.1	3.93%	0	1.8	74	INF
4	Dec_15_2016	28.76	29.72	30.79	34.09	34.07	34.82	35.83(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	150	43	202	0.55	63%	0.14	38.4	3.93%	0	2.1	64	INF
5	Dec_14_2016	28.72	29.37	29.81	32.37	33.12	34.16	34.57(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	290	52	139	0.84	63%	0.1	25.4	3.92%	0	2.1	64	INF

6	Dec_13_2016	28.69	29.12	29	30.76	31.2	33.32	34.21(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	58	520	51	80	0.66	63%	0.1	13.4	3.92%	0	2.3	65	INF
7	Dec_12_2016	28.66	28.94	28.35	29.47	29.47	32.08	33.47(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	620	70	43	0.96	63%	0.1	8.2	3.93%	0	2.3	61	INF
8	Dec_9_2016	28.63	28.77	27.77	28.28	28.14	29.09	32.37(18.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	45	220	60	-2	2.09	61%	0.03	4.5	3.93%	0	2.1	59	INF
9	Dec_8_2016	28.62	28.66	27.46	27.06	27.06	26.85	27.22(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-50	0	-76	0.36	53%	-0.07	0.4	3.2%	0	-0.9	37	INF
10	Dec_7_2016	28.64	28.75	27.68	26.87	26.95	27.18	26.52(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	70	-2	-84	0.58	53%	-0.1	7.3	3.18%	0	-1.5	35	INF

11	Dec_6_2016	28.67	28.83	27.91	26.92	26.87	27.26	27.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	100	6	-91	0.57	56%	-0.03	10.9	3.13%	0	-0.7	35	INF
12	Dec_5_2016	28.68	28.78	28.07	27.02	26.95	26.71	27.5(4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-70	-3	-103	0.44	56%	-0.07	11.4	3.14%	0	-0.8	30	INF
13	Dec_2_2016	28.7	28.7	28.25	27.19	27.25	26.48	26.27(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-190	-36	-121	0.28	53%	-0.1	9	3.11%	0	-1.4	25	INF
14	Dec_1_2016	28.73	28.65	28.62	27.96	27.94	27.19	26.29(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-190	-35	-99	0.66	53%	-0.1	13.2	3.12%	0	-1.3	28	INF
15	Nov_30_2016	28.76	28.64	28.96	28.61	28.71	28.01	26.76(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-160	-23	-70	0.54	53%	-0.1	17	3.09%	0	-1	43	INF

16	Nov_29_2016	28.79	28.67	29.34	29.02	28.96	28.7	28.3(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-70	-19	-40	0.47	57%	0	21.7	3.02%	0	-0.2	56	INF
17	Nov_28_2016	28.79	28.61	29.64	29.25	29.16	29.41	28.31(-6.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	50	-3	4	0.39	57%	0	21.2	3.02%	0	-0.2	63	INF
18	Nov_25_2016	28.79	28.55	29.91	29.47	29.26	29.23	30.14(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-30	7	53	0.23	62%	0.1	21.3	2.92%	0	0.8	76	INF
19	Nov_23_2016	28.76	28.41	29.94	29.41	29.2	28.92	29.54(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-90	-8	86	0.37	62%	0.07	19.4	2.91%	0	0.6	77	INF
20	Nov_22_2016	28.74	28.32	29.89	29.4	29.42	29.29	28.81(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-30	-13	110	0.4	62%	0	17.7	2.89%	0	0.3	69	INF

21	Nov_21_2016	28.74	28.27	29.83	29.72	29.65	29.49	29.43(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-40	-14	133	0.27	62%	0.1	20.8	2.88%	0	0.6	60	INF
22	Nov_18_2016	28.71	28.2	29.56	30.11	29.98	29.56	29.42(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-110	-16	152	0.51	64%	0.07	26.4	2.88%	0	0.7	62	INF
23	Nov_17_2016	28.69	28.13	29.19	30.41	30.41	29.8	29.86(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-140	-16	158	0.34	64%	0.14	28.7	2.91%	0	0.9	62	INF
24	Nov_16_2016	28.65	28.04	28.7	30.55	30.65	30.4	29.47(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	33	-50	-8	154	0.31	64%	0.1	27.4	2.91%	0	0.8	58	INF
25	Nov_15_2016	28.62	27.98	28.32	30.44	30.61	31.01	30.4(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	110	20	147	0.36	66%		19.7	2.91%	0	1.4	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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