Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $27.7700 (0.98%) ($26.6300 - $27.8100) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $27.7700(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    IWO(46%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $28.83
5 Day Moving Average   $26.92(3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.91(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.83(-3.68%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $1.469b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.06% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	28.67	28.83	27.91	26.92	26.87	27.26	27.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	100	6	-91	0.57	56%	-0.03	10.9	3.13%	0	-0.7	35	INF
2	Dec_5_2016	28.68	28.78	28.07	27.02	26.95	26.71	27.5(4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-70	-3	-103	0.44	56%	-0.07	11.4	3.14%	0	-0.8	30	INF
3	Dec_2_2016	28.7	28.7	28.25	27.19	27.25	26.48	26.27(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-190	-36	-121	0.28	53%	-0.1	9	3.11%	0	-1.4	25	INF
4	Dec_1_2016	28.73	28.65	28.62	27.96	27.94	27.19	26.29(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-190	-35	-99	0.66	53%	-0.1	13.2	3.12%	0	-1.3	28	INF
5	Nov_30_2016	28.76	28.64	28.96	28.61	28.71	28.01	26.76(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-160	-23	-70	0.54	53%	-0.1	17	3.09%	0	-1	43	INF

6	Nov_29_2016	28.79	28.67	29.34	29.02	28.96	28.7	28.3(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-70	-19	-40	0.47	57%	0	21.7	3.02%	0	-0.2	56	INF
7	Nov_28_2016	28.79	28.61	29.64	29.25	29.16	29.41	28.31(-6.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	50	-3	4	0.39	57%	0	21.2	3.02%	0	-0.2	63	INF
8	Nov_25_2016	28.79	28.55	29.91	29.47	29.26	29.23	30.14(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-30	7	53	0.23	62%	0.1	21.3	2.92%	0	0.8	76	INF
9	Nov_23_2016	28.76	28.41	29.94	29.41	29.2	28.92	29.54(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-90	-8	86	0.37	62%	0.07	19.4	2.91%	0	0.6	77	INF
10	Nov_22_2016	28.74	28.32	29.89	29.4	29.42	29.29	28.81(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-30	-13	110	0.4	62%	0	17.7	2.89%	0	0.3	69	INF

11	Nov_21_2016	28.74	28.27	29.83	29.72	29.65	29.49	29.43(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-40	-14	133	0.27	62%	0.1	20.8	2.88%	0	0.6	60	INF
12	Nov_18_2016	28.71	28.2	29.56	30.11	29.98	29.56	29.42(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-110	-16	152	0.51	64%	0.07	26.4	2.88%	0	0.7	62	INF
13	Nov_17_2016	28.69	28.13	29.19	30.41	30.41	29.8	29.86(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-140	-16	158	0.34	64%	0.14	28.7	2.91%	0	0.9	62	INF
14	Nov_16_2016	28.65	28.04	28.7	30.55	30.65	30.4	29.47(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	33	-50	-8	154	0.31	64%	0.1	27.4	2.91%	0	0.8	58	INF
15	Nov_15_2016	28.62	27.98	28.32	30.44	30.61	31.01	30.4(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	110	20	147	0.36	66%	0.14	19.7	2.91%	0	1.4	60	INF

16	Nov_14_2016	28.58	27.88	27.97	29.92	29.97	30.9	31.4(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	220	45	133	0.53	69%	0.14	3.8	2.89%	0	2.1	63	INF
17	Nov_11_2016	28.54	27.72	27.47	28.91	29.07	30.21	30.9(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	290	59	85	0.54	69%	0.07	-23.9	2.91%	0	2.1	59	INF
18	Nov_10_2016	28.52	27.61	27.04	27.8	27.91	29.04	30.6(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	54	300	62	30	0.63	63%	0.04	-51.1	2.9%	0	2	59	INF
19	Nov_9_2016	28.51	27.56	26.68	26.6	26.76	27.93	28.9(3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	27	320	46	-32	0.7	60%	-0.28	-75.5	2.96%	0	0.9	51	INF
20	Nov_8_2016	28.59	27.64	26.52	25.9	25.96	26.77	27.8(5.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	230	27	-75	0.69	57%	-0.35	-79.7	2.92%	0	0.1	44	INF

21	Nov_7_2016	28.69	27.82	26.5	25.77	25.62	25.59	26.36(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-30	3	-100	0.5	53%	-0.35	-73	2.84%	0	-0.7	33	INF
22	Nov_4_2016	28.79	28.09	26.68	25.84	25.85	25.15	25.32(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-190	-21	-112	0.59	50%	-0.48	-69.7	2.81%	0	-1.4	22	INF
23	Nov_3_2016	28.93	28.39	26.96	26.16	26.22	25.64	24.6(-3.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-56	-150	-37	-114	0.55	48%	-0.48	-66.6	2.79%	0	-1.9	11	INF
24	Nov_2_2016	29.07	28.76	27.36	26.73	26.72	26.54	25.43(-6.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-40	-50	-21	-98	0.5	51%	-0.51	-53.8	2.76%	0	-1.7	10	INF
25	Nov_1_2016	29.22	29.1	27.68	27.2	27.11	26.8	27.13(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-90	-8	-94	0.34	57%		-44.1	2.66%	0	-1.1	11	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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