Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $35.2900 (0.8%) ($33.9000 - $35.6100) on Wed. Feb. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $35.2900(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    XBI(44%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.23(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.65(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.22(3.13%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $1.867b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 11.62%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.3%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2016	33.58	34.22	34.65	35.23		35.22	35.29(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10	-10	62	0.33	48%	0.27	33.2	2.61%	0	0.9	49	INF
2	Feb_23_2016	33.49	34.17	34.32	35.2	35.33	35.77	35.01(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	100	8	48	0.59	48%	0.24	45.4	2.62%	0	0.7	48	INF
3	Feb_22_2016	33.41	34.11	33.96	35.18	35.26	35.43	35.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	23	34	0.4	49%	0.27	51	2.6%	0	1.5	56	INF
4	Feb_19_2016	33.32	34.01	33.72	34.77	34.93	34.89	35.6(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	10	10	9	0.65	49%	0.27	49.4	2.6%	0	1.4	54	INF
5	Feb_18_2016	33.23	33.88	33.61	34.3	34.61	35.1	34.29(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	130	16	3	0.29	47%	0.24	42.2	2.56%	0	0.4	56	INF

6	Feb_17_2016	33.15	33.81	33.69	33.97	34.09	34.98	35.15(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	190	40	12	0.4	47%	0.24	28.9	2.55%	0	1.2	58	INF
7	Feb_16_2016	33.07	33.62	33.67	33.3	33.43	34.12	34.91(3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	32	160	45	-7	0.33	47%	0.39	5.9	2.55%	0	1.1	52	INF
8	Feb_12_2016	32.94	33.51	33.6	32.56	32.62	33.21	33.89(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	130	14	-46	0.26	45%	0.15	-13.4	2.51%	0	0.3	50	INF
9	Feb_11_2016	32.89	33.46	33.6	32.54	32.28	32.73	33.24(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	70	2	-50	0.61	45%	0.12	-19.3	2.5%	0	-0.2	46	INF
10	Feb_10_2016	32.85	33.43	33.66	32.86	32.66	32.02	32.68(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-160	-17	-46	0.47	45%	0.12	-25.6	2.49%	0	-0.6	51	INF

11	Feb_9_2016	32.81	33.5	33.75	33.39	33.31	31.84	31.76(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-53	-320	-58	-39	0.57	45%	0.06	-22.3	2.47%	0	-1.5	47	INF
12	Feb_8_2016	32.79	33.55	34.03	34.1	34.3	33.3	31.24(-7.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.5	-37	-190	-53	12	0.72	45%	0.03	-19.9	2.48%	0	-2	56	INF
13	Feb_5_2016	32.78	33.67	34.35	34.74	34.93	34.79	33.79(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10	-15	68	0.48	52%	0.09	-24.6	2.32%	0	0.1	57	INF
14	Feb_4_2016	32.75	33.69	34.39	34.89	34.95	35.31	34.82(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	80	17	99	0.42	54%	0.15	-35.9	2.29%	0	1.1	60	INF
15	Feb_3_2016	32.7	33.74	34.22	34.57	34.67	35.06	35.32(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	90	26	95	0.54	54%	0.15	-46.6	2.29%	0	1.4	66	INF

16	Feb_2_2016	32.65	33.77	33.97	34.19	34.18	34.59	35.31(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	80	15	67	0.44	56%	0.12	-54.3	2.29%	0	1.2	54	INF
17	Feb_1_2016	32.61	33.78	33.57	33.99	33.94	34.29	34.45(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	70	14	50	0.6	54%	0.12	-60.5	2.3%	0	0.5	59	INF
18	Jan_29_2016	32.57	33.92	33.39	33.92	33.86	33.77	34.57(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-20	6	40	0.9	54%	0.15	-58.4	2.31%	0	0.5	55	INF
19	Jan_28_2016	32.52	34.07	33.23	33.83	33.87	33.6	33.18(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-50	-8	22	0.33	53%	0.06	-46	2.26%	0	-0.6	46	INF
20	Jan_27_2016	32.5	34.28	33.15	33.8	33.96	33.95	33.43(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	1	-3	0.56	55%	0.09	-37.8	2.29%	0	-0.5	40	INF

21	Jan_26_2016	32.47	34.46	33.21	33.69	33.77	34.14	34.34(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	80	28	-13	0.41	59%	0.06	-34.8	2.28%	0	-0.1	41	INF
22	Jan_25_2016	32.45	34.59	33.01	33.06	33.22	33.98	34.06(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	170	27	-65	0.41	59%	0.09	-38.3	2.32%	0	-0.3	43	INF
23	Jan_22_2016	32.42	34.72	33.01	32.79	32.67	33.39	34.15(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	140	30	-106	0.32	59%	0.12	-39.5	2.32%	0	-0.3	38	INF
24	Jan_21_2016	32.38	34.82	32.92	32.56	32.35	32.46	33(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	0	16	-148	0.85	56%	0.03	-40.2	2.3%	0	-0.8	33	INF
25	Jan_20_2016	32.37	34.99	33.19	32.43	32.25	31.95	32.92(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-80	-17	-176	0.52	56%		-38.3	2.32%	0	-0.9	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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