Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $28.4800 (0.56%) ($28.1000 - $28.8200) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $28.4800(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.09(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.8(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.61(3.15%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $1.507b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.21%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.89%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	26.58	27.61	27.8	28.09	28.18	28.5	28.48(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	90	20	87	0.23	56%	0.19	19.9	1.79%	0	1.3	75	INF
2	Apr_14_2015	26.53	27.58	27.67	27.83	27.88	28.32	28.32(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	120	27	66	0.28	58%	0.19	13.6	1.85%	0	1.1	54	INF
3	Apr_13_2015	26.48	27.55	27.58	27.61	27.55	27.85	28.57(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	70	22	49	0.31	58%	0.19	8.7	1.86%	0	1.6	56	INF
4	Apr_10_2015	26.43	27.5	27.42	27.39	27.55	27.44	27.64(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	10	5	17	0.15	55%	0.19	4.2	1.8%	0	0.2	46	INF
5	Apr_9_2015	26.38	27.49	27.29	27.4	27.39	27.24	27.44(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-40	-8	-14	0.35	55%	0.19	4.2	1.82%	0	-0.1	38	INF

6	Apr_8_2015	26.33	27.48	27.16	27.4	27.52	27.34	27.2(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-6	-30	0.31	57%	0.19	2.3	1.82%	0	-0.5	44	INF
7	Apr_7_2015	26.28	27.49	27.2	27.47	27.57	27.53	27.22(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	0	-6	-34	0.27	57%	0.19	2.8	1.84%	0	-0.5	46	INF
8	Apr_6_2015	26.23	27.5	27.24	27.53	27.52	27.7	27.44(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	40	7	-29	0.15	57%	0.31	-1.9	1.85%	0	-0.1	46	INF
9	Apr_2_2015	26.15	27.5	27.29	27.43	27.48	27.61	27.69(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	40	22	-25	0.27	57%	0.15	-17.4	1.85%	0	0.4	51	INF
10	Apr_1_2015	26.11	27.47	27.38	27.16	27.19	27.35	27.82(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	40	19	-32	0.32	57%	0.19	-38.5	1.85%	0	0.6	52	INF

11	Mar_31_2015	26.06	27.46	27.4	26.81	26.88	27.36	27.16(-1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	130	6	-50	0.19	55%	0.19	-61	1.85%	0	-0.5	52	INF
12	Mar_30_2015	26.01	27.47	27.47	26.91	26.82	27.04	27.56(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	50	15	-36	0.23	55%	0.19	-60.3	1.83%	0	0.1	52	INF
13	Mar_27_2015	25.96	27.51	27.51	26.92	26.95	26.39	26.94(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-140	-20	-43	0.16	53%	0.23	-59.7	1.82%	0	-0.9	48	INF
14	Mar_26_2015	25.9	27.58	27.58	27.15	27.23	26.61	26.3(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-150	-54	-35	0.35	51%	0.19	-49.8	1.81%	0	-1.9	49	INF
15	Mar_25_2015	25.85	27.7	27.72	27.64	27.82	27.52	26.08(-5.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-21	-60	-30	7	0.46	51%	0.23	-29	1.81%	0	-2.5	40	INF

16	Mar_24_2015	25.79	27.83	27.84	28.05	27.82	27.84	27.67(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-70	-10	38	0.28	61%	0.23	-7	1.66%	0	-0.3	49	INF
17	Mar_23_2015	25.73	27.86	27.82	28.09	28.15	28.13	27.63(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	0	-13	40	0.31	61%	0.27	1.5	1.77%	0	-0.4	54	INF
18	Mar_20_2015	25.66	27.9	27.8	28.17	28.16	28.46	28.05(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	70	15	46	0.54	61%	0.27	17.3	1.76%	0	0.3	46	INF
19	Mar_19_2015	25.59	27.92	27.69	28.07	28	28.18	28.78(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	40	24	27	0.4	64%	0.35	20.9	1.74%	0	1.5	52	INF
20	Mar_18_2015	25.5	27.89	27.56	27.82	27.76	27.85	28.1(0.72%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	7	20	12	-7	0.23	63%	0.28	22.6	1.72%	0	0.4	43	INF

21	Mar_17_2015	25.43	27.87	27.52	27.62	27.56	27.83	27.9(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	60	11	-32	0.36	66%	0.32	24.7	1.72%	0	0.1	41	INF
22	Mar_16_2015	25.35	27.85	27.46	27.52	27.41	27.67	28(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	50	18	-44	0.34	68%	0.32	31	1.81%	0	0.3	48	INF
23	Mar_13_2015	25.27	27.81	27.49	27.39	27.24	27.3	27.59(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-0	11	-56	0.19	64%	0.32	31.7	1.88%	0	-0.4	40	INF
24	Mar_12_2015	25.19	27.8	27.55	27.24	27.17	27.15	27.53(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10	1	-70	0.29	64%	0.28	27.3	1.9%	0	-0.5	44	INF
25	Mar_11_2015	25.12	27.77	27.65	27.26	27	27.19	27.08(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	20	-9	-71	0.32	65%		30	1.9%	0	-1.1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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