Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $20.1300 (-1.76%) ($20.0000 - $20.4800) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $20.1300(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.86(-46.05%)
Resistance Level   $21.73
5 Day Moving Average   $20.62(-2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.85(-3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.73(-7.36%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $1.065b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.29% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 5.18%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -7.35%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 6.02%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.73%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2014	21.42	21.73	20.85	20.62	20.62	20.35	20.13(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-90	-23	-119	0.37	45%	-0.19	-40.1	1.68%	0	-1.4	12	0
2	Sep_22_2014	21.46	21.87	20.96	20.82	20.82	20.63	20.49(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-60	-13	-130	0.18	47%	-0.19	-33.5	1.69%	0	-1.2	12	0
3	Sep_19_2014	21.5	21.97	21.06	20.88	20.92	20.89	20.59(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-0	-8	-154	0.46	47%	-0.19	-30.9	1.7%	0	-1.3	12	0
4	Sep_18_2014	21.54	22.07	21.16	20.96	20.91	21	20.97(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	20	-2	-173	0.15	50%	-0.19	-28.2	1.69%	0	-1.1	14	0
5	Sep_17_2014	21.58	22.13	21.3	21.02	20.93	20.94	20.94(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	-10	-2	-182	0.14	50%	-0.19	-27.8	1.71%	0	-1.2	13	0

6	Sep_16_2014	21.62	22.2	21.51	21.11	20.97	20.81	21.09(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-70	-6	-182	0.15	50%	-0.09	-24.6	1.71%	0	-1.2	16	0
7	Sep_15_2014	21.64	22.24	21.73	21.14	21.07	20.91	20.8(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-60	-15	-180	0.22	50%	-0.14	-25.7	1.7%	0	-1.6	26	0
8	Sep_12_2014	21.67	22.3	21.99	21.26	21.19	21.13	21.01(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-30	-12	-157	0.22	50%	-0.18	-21.3	1.69%	0	-1.5	35	0
9	Sep_11_2014	21.71	22.35	22.24	21.39	21.29	21.23	21.28(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-30	-17	-135	0.22	50%	-0.18	-16.5	1.69%	0	-1.3	38	0
10	Sep_10_2014	21.75	22.41	22.46	21.63	21.49	21.25	21.38(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-100	-28	-101	0.16	50%	-0.18	-6.5	1.71%	0	-1.4	44	0

11	Sep_9_2014	21.79	22.43	22.67	21.98	21.87	21.34	21.23(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-180	-43	-60	0.19	53%	-0.14	6.6	1.72%	0	-1.6	42	0
12	Sep_8_2014	21.82	22.43	22.85	22.41	22.38	21.73	21.4(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-210	-49	-14	0.38	53%	0	29.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	49	0
13	Sep_5_2014	21.82	22.48	22.98	22.84	22.88	22.4	21.66(-3.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-23	-140	-43	36	0.23	57%	-0.14	48.4	1.74%	0	-1.1	55	0
14	Sep_4_2014	21.85	22.49	23.07	23.2	23.27	23.03	22.49(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-60	-23	84	0.13	63%	-0.05	68.8	1.73%	0	0	63	0
15	Sep_3_2014	21.86	22.46	23.05	23.41	23.48	23.35	23.14(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-30	-9	113	0.34	68%	0.05	78.7	1.69%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Sep_2_2014	21.85	22.38	22.96	23.47	23.52	23.51	23.37(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	0	4	134	0.19	68%	0.05	84.3	1.7%	0	1.3	78	0
17	Aug_29_2014	21.84	22.28	22.81	23.36	23.46	23.6	23.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	50	18	131	0.17	68%	0.05	79.5	1.68%	0	1.6	70	0
18	Aug_28_2014	21.83	22.14	22.63	23.14	23.23	23.53	23.49(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	100	23	122	0.31	68%	0.05	67.5	1.69%	0	1.8	76	0
19	Aug_27_2014	21.82	22	22.47	22.92	22.92	23.31	23.52(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	120	31	111	0.25	73%	0	60.1	1.72%	0	2.2	70	0
20	Aug_26_2014	21.82	21.89	22.32	22.64	22.6	22.93	23.44(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	100	25	85	0.55	73%	0.05	50.9	1.86%	0	2.5	66	0

21	Aug_25_2014	21.81	21.77	22.13	22.38	22.47	22.53	22.82(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	30	20	64	0.16	71%	0	41.2	1.85%	0	2	64	0
22	Aug_22_2014	21.81	21.68	22.05	22.19	22.29	22.26	22.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	0	5	54	0.13	73%	-0.05	31.8	1.84%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Aug_21_2014	21.82	21.63	21.93	22.04	22.16	22.41	22.4(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	100	9	49	0.22	73%	-0.09	27.1	1.87%	0	1.8	68	0
24	Aug_20_2014	21.84	21.59	21.85	21.94	22.07	22.32	22.13(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	100	13	54	0.3	73%	-0.09	30	1.87%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Aug_19_2014	21.86	21.58	21.81	21.95	21.92	21.91	22.14(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10	7	59	0.14	73%		40.5	1.9%	0	1.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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