Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $22.4500 (2.56%) ($21.6500 - $22.5300) on Thu. Jan. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $22.4500(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    XLK(38%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.15(-41.43%)
Resistance Level   $23.27
5 Day Moving Average   $21.89(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23(-2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.27(-3.52%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $1.188b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2014	20.21	23.27	23	21.89	21.8	21.97	22.45(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	40	5	-103	0.76	59%	0.25	-12.8	2.7%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
2	Jan_29_2014	20.16	23.25	23.19	21.85	21.75	21.81	21.89(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	10	-22	-109	0.24	59%	0.25	-17	2.68%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
3	Jan_28_2014	20.11	23.27	23.46	22.46	22.15	21.64	21.95(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-200	-27	-72	0.56	61%	0.25	-2.2	2.68%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
4	Jan_27_2014	20.06	23.3	23.71	23.02	22.9	21.69	21.58(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-45	-390	-47	-40	1.18	61%	0.25	13.8	2.69%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
5	Jan_24_2014	20.01	23.35	23.93	23.64	23.75	22.66	21.58(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-41	-310	-53	-4	1.72	61%	0.2	33.2	2.7%	0	-1.6	44	NAN

6	Jan_23_2014	19.97	23.42	24.14	24.25	24.44	24.11	22.24(-10.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-70	-29	44	1.98	65%	0.25	58	2.67%	0	-1.1	51	NAN
7	Jan_22_2014	19.92	23.44	24.27	24.67	24.71	24.83	24.94(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	40	5	113	0.17	83%	0.4	75.4	2.25%	0	1.5	92	NAN
8	Jan_21_2014	19.84	23.3	24.12	24.6	24.64	24.78	24.77(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	40	8	126	0.25	83%	0.46	80.3	2.26%	0	1.5	82	NAN
9	Jan_17_2014	19.75	23.14	23.93	24.52	24.57	24.59	24.69(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	10	13	136	0.15	84%	0.41	84.3	2.24%	0	1.7	79	NAN
10	Jan_16_2014	19.67	23	23.75	24.29	24.41	24.5	24.59(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	40	12	129	0.21	85%	0.41	87.5	2.25%	0	1.7	75	NAN

11	Jan_15_2014	19.59	22.84	23.56	24.03	24.15	24.54	24.38(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	130	18	117	0.21	85%	0.41	89.5	2.26%	0	1.8	69	NAN
12	Jan_14_2014	19.51	22.7	23.3	23.8	23.83	24.32	24.55(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	150	26	99	0.15	85%	0.41	88.2	2.27%	0	2.2	72	NAN
13	Jan_13_2014	19.43	22.55	23.05	23.56	23.52	23.75	24.37(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	60	23	84	0.38	85%	0.36	92	2.27%	0	2.4	74	NAN
14	Jan_10_2014	19.36	22.38	22.82	23.27	23.28	23.34	23.55(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	20	8	67	0.31	85%	0.36	95.9	2.24%	0	1.8	73	NAN
15	Jan_9_2014	19.29	22.22	22.7	23.13	23.16	23.29	23.3(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	8	65	0.2	85%	0.36	83.7	2.28%	0	1.7	70	NAN

16	Jan_8_2014	19.22	22.08	22.62	23.01	23.04	23.22	23.21(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	60	19	75	0.18	85%	0.37	63.7	2.28%	0	1.5	72	NAN
17	Jan_7_2014	19.15	21.97	22.54	22.71	22.78	23.04	23.39(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	90	18	65	0.18	80%	0.37	49.4	2.29%	0	1.8	70	NAN
18	Jan_6_2014	19.08	21.87	22.41	22.45	22.47	22.86	22.89(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	120	16	53	0.12	80%	0.32	44.7	2.31%	0	1.4	66	NAN
19	Jan_3_2014	19.02	21.78	22.29	22.3	22.26	22.52	22.88(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	80	15	49	0.15	75%	0.32	41.1	2.31%	0	1.6	71	NAN
20	Jan_2_2014	18.96	21.69	22.18	22.2	22.13	22.09	22.69(4.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	15	-20	1	55	0.28	73%	0.37	39.8	2.35%	0	1.5	78	NAN

21	Dec_31_2013	18.89	21.61	22.05	22.19	22.2	22.01	21.71(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-60	-12	61	0.09	71%	0.21	46.7	2.31%	0	0.2	65	NAN
22	Dec_30_2013	18.85	21.59	22.06	22.35	22.35	22.17	22.06(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-60	-6	83	0.11	71%	0.21	61.3	2.3%	0	0.8	62	NAN
23	Dec_27_2013	18.81	21.54	22.02	22.36	22.43	22.4	22.18(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	0	2	92	0.08	71%	0.27	71.2	2.3%	0	1	57	NAN
24	Dec_26_2013	18.76	21.49	21.93	22.26	22.34	22.52	22.36(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	70	8	91	0.13	73%	0.37	77.5	2.3%	0	1.4	62	NAN
25	Dec_24_2013	18.69	21.43	21.72	22.14	22.15	22.47	22.62(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	100	19	76	0.05	69%		88	2.32%	0	2.1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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