Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $21.3700 (2.35%) ($20.8800 - $21.5200) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $21.3700(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(37%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.32(-37.67%)
Resistance Level   $21.61
5 Day Moving Average   $20.88(2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.96(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.61(-1.11%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $1.13b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3.98% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2011	21.66	21.61	20.96	20.88	20.83	21	21.37(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	50	7	-62	0.27	55%	0.05	-35.4	2.71%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
2	Jun_27_2011	21.65	21.72	21.04	20.82	20.74	20.79	20.88(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	10	2	-71	0.11	55%	0	-17.3	2.7%	0	-1	32	NAN
3	Jun_24_2011	21.65	21.84	21.1	20.8	20.82	20.66	20.69(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-50	-0	-81	0.54	55%	0.05	-4.3	2.7%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
4	Jun_23_2011	21.64	21.97	21.22	20.79	20.81	20.7	20.79(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-30	-9	-89	0.22	55%	0	7.6	2.7%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
5	Jun_22_2011	21.64	21.96	21.39	20.86	20.89	20.98	20.66(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	30	-7	-87	0.16	55%	0	7	2.69%	0	-1.3	33	NAN

6	Jun_21_2011	21.64	21.92	21.59	21.05	21.03	20.91	21.1(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-40	-9	-78	0.23	55%	0.05	5.9	2.68%	0	-0.8	36	NAN
7	Jun_20_2011	21.63	21.87	21.75	21.3	21.21	20.81	20.75(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-140	-15	-76	0.25	55%	0.05	7.7	2.67%	0	-1	26	NAN
8	Jun_17_2011	21.62	21.88	21.89	21.45	21.56	21.14	20.66(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-120	-20	-81	0.71	55%	-0.05	10.6	2.68%	0	-1	29	NAN
9	Jun_16_2011	21.63	21.9	22.07	21.71	21.78	21.61	21.13(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-40	-19	-78	0.22	55%	0.05	14	2.66%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
10	Jun_15_2011	21.62	21.89	22.23	22	21.99	21.97	21.62(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	-9	-38	0.15	55%	0.05	19.3	2.65%	0	-0.2	63	NAN

11	Jun_14_2011	21.61	21.86	22.34	22.21	22.2	21.94	22.35(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-80	-5	3	0.24	62%	0.09	23.7	2.62%	0	0.4	71	NAN
12	Jun_13_2011	21.59	21.78	22.45	22.27	22.33	22.01	21.48(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-90	-15	39	0.26	59%	0.05	24.3	2.68%	0	-0.2	67	NAN
13	Jun_10_2011	21.58	21.75	22.64	22.41	22.5	22.46	21.98(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-0	-5	77	0.22	59%	0	23.9	2.67%	0	0.2	61	NAN
14	Jun_9_2011	21.58	21.74	22.78	22.47	22.49	22.65	22.55(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	50	2	110	0.34	61%	0.05	25.6	2.66%	0	0.7	62	NAN
15	Jun_8_2011	21.57	21.67	22.58	22.5	22.4	22.55	22.69(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	30	4	110	0.19	64%	0	22.4	2.67%	0	0.8	64	NAN

16	Jun_7_2011	21.57	21.58	22.29	22.49	22.43	22.33	22.67(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-40	-6	94	0.19	64%	0.05	17.6	2.75%	0	0.9	63	NAN
17	Jun_6_2011	21.56	21.49	22.01	22.67	22.56	22.24	22.15(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-110	-17	94	0.14	64%	0	17.1	2.74%	0	0.6	62	NAN
18	Jun_3_2011	21.56	21.46	21.87	22.91	22.91	22.52	22.29(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-120	-17	110	0.13	66%	-0.05	22	2.74%	0	0.7	62	NAN
19	Jun_2_2011	21.57	21.43	21.73	23.13	23.2	22.88	22.69(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	39	-90	9	129	0.12	66%	0	25.3	2.75%	0	1.1	56	NAN
20	Jun_1_2011	21.57	21.4	21.54	22.64	23.08	23.3	22.65(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	130	25	104	0.44	66%	-0.05	12.9	2.75%	0	1.1	59	NAN

21	May_31_2011	21.58	21.37	21.35	22.01	22.28	23.53	23.59(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	430	50	78	0.55	69%	0	-4	2.74%	0	2	66	NAN
22	May_27_2011	21.58	21.29	21.04	21.23	21.3	22.85	23.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	56	520	63	36	0.8	69%	0.05	-24.3	2.7%	0	2	65	NAN
23	May_26_2011	21.57	21.21	20.76	20.69	20.42	21.02	23.39(15.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	32	170	46	-12	3.64	69%	0.05	-43.1	2.72%	0	2.3	58	NAN
24	May_25_2011	21.56	21.14	20.55	20.19	20.05	19.74	20.25(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-130	-11	-89	0.09	60%	-0.14	-63.9	1.93%	0	-1	35	NAN
25	May_24_2011	21.59	21.25	20.64	20.3	20.28	19.81	19.51(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-52	-170	-33	-107	0.18	57%		-59.2	1.89%	0	-2	21	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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