Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EBS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $22.6500 (-3.98%) ($22.4800 - $23.5600) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $22.6500(-3.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(37%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.64(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.54(5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.4(5.84%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $1.198b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.33% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2011	21.57	21.4	21.54	22.64	23.08	23.3	22.65(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	130	25	104	0.44	66%	-0.05	12.9	2.75%	0	1.1	59	0
2	May_31_2011	21.58	21.37	21.35	22.01	22.28	23.53	23.59(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	430	50	78	0.55	69%	0	-4	2.74%	0	2	66	0
3	May_27_2011	21.58	21.29	21.04	21.23	21.3	22.85	23.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	56	520	63	36	0.8	69%	0.05	-24.3	2.7%	0	2	65	0
4	May_26_2011	21.57	21.21	20.76	20.69	20.42	21.02	23.39(15.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	32	170	46	-12	3.64	69%	0.05	-43.1	2.72%	0	2.3	58	0
5	May_25_2011	21.56	21.14	20.55	20.19	20.05	19.74	20.25(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-130	-11	-89	0.09	60%	-0.14	-63.9	1.93%	0	-1	35	0

6	May_24_2011	21.59	21.25	20.64	20.3	20.28	19.81	19.51(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-52	-170	-33	-107	0.18	57%	-0.14	-59.2	1.89%	0	-2	21	0
7	May_23_2011	21.62	21.41	20.8	20.56	20.59	20.36	19.7(-4.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-44	-70	-24	-102	0.13	54%	-0.09	-54.7	1.88%	0	-2.2	22	0
8	May_20_2011	21.64	21.54	20.94	20.77	20.76	20.74	20.62(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10	-4	-97	0.13	55%	-0.09	-60.3	1.87%	0	-1.3	26	0
9	May_19_2011	21.66	21.62	21.05	20.8	20.78	20.82	20.88(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	10	-10	-101	0.13	55%	-0.09	-67.3	1.88%	0	-1.1	36	0
10	May_18_2011	21.68	21.71	21.13	20.98	20.92	20.78	20.8(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-60	-4	-95	0.07	57%	-0.05	-66.5	1.89%	0	-1.3	31	0

11	May_17_2011	21.69	21.79	21.27	21.05	21.05	20.74	20.81(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-100	-11	-94	0.14	57%	-0.05	-70.6	1.91%	0	-1.5	31	0
12	May_16_2011	21.7	21.86	21.42	21.08	21.15	21.05	20.74(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-20	-11	-98	0.09	57%	-0.05	-82.4	1.92%	0	-1.8	28	0
13	May_13_2011	21.71	21.97	21.58	21.13	21.18	21.35	20.79(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	60	-6	-89	0.11	57%	-0.05	-82.4	1.92%	0	-2	39	0
14	May_12_2011	21.72	22.09	21.71	21.32	21.13	21.25	21.74(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	10	5	-78	0.15	62%	0	-77.5	1.85%	0	-0.6	44	0
15	May_11_2011	21.72	22.17	21.77	21.31	21.24	21.01	21.17(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-90	-16	-91	0.15	60%	-0.05	-75	1.83%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	May_10_2011	21.73	22.26	21.9	21.55	21.48	21.02	20.95(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-160	-31	-78	0.24	60%	-0.05	-67.7	1.83%	0	-2.1	33	0
17	May_9_2011	21.74	22.37	22.08	21.81	21.81	21.47	21(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-110	-32	-50	0.42	60%	0	-65.9	1.83%	0	-2.5	39	0
18	May_6_2011	21.74	22.48	22.19	22.09	22.13	21.95	21.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-16	-50	-10	-32	0.19	67%	0.05	-66	1.81%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	May_5_2011	21.73	22.56	22.25	22.14	22.25	22.15	21.72(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-20	-12	-41	0.17	67%	0.05	-58.7	1.82%	0	-1.8	34	0
20	May_4_2011	21.72	22.65	22.34	22.28	22.29	22.31	22.34(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	10	-4	-38	0.22	71%	0.09	-46.8	1.8%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	May_3_2011	21.7	22.69	22.35	22.31	22.38	22.35	22.29(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	0	-2	-45	0.11	71%	0.18	-34.8	1.8%	0	-0.9	40	0
22	May_2_2011	21.66	22.74	22.33	22.39	22.42	22.27	22.38(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-40	-1	-50	0.16	71%	0.14	-19.8	1.82%	0	-0.8	43	0
23	Apr_29_2011	21.63	22.79	22.38	22.32	22.45	22.41	21.99(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	10	-7	-60	0.17	73%	0.23	-10.7	1.81%	0	-1.6	37	0
24	Apr_28_2011	21.58	22.84	22.5	22.38	22.43	22.57	22.41(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	50	2	-55	0.18	70%	0.19	-2.5	1.81%	0	-1	37	0
25	Apr_27_2011	21.54	22.86	22.59	22.4	22.39	22.49	22.49(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	30	6	-52	0.17	70%		6.3	1.89%	0	-0.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.