Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $22.2800 (0.95%) ($22.0200 - $22.4000) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $22.2800(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(37%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.17(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.26(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.69(2.72%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $1.179b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.04%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.56%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2011	20.38	21.69	22.26		22.2	22.16	22.28(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-1	12	0.19	60%	0.3	55.4	1.98%	0	0.6	61	0
2	Mar_28_2011	20.32	21.57	22.28	22.17	22.19	22.22	22.07(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	10	-3	29	0.13	61%	0.25	50.7	1.97%	0	0.5	66	0
3	Mar_25_2011	20.27	21.47	22.35	22.2	22.23	22.25	22.1(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	-0	69	0.19	61%	0.25	46	1.98%	0	0.6	76	0
4	Mar_24_2011	20.22	21.37	22.31	22.24	22.26	22.17	22.22(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-30	-5	92	0.21	61%	0.25	43.6	1.99%	0	0.7	77	0
5	Mar_23_2011	20.17	21.25	22.22	22.31	22.35	22.21	22.18(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-40	-9	113	0.14	61%	0.25	42.3	2.01%	0	0.8	76	0

6	Mar_22_2011	20.12	21.13	22.17	22.37	22.49	22.36	22.26(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-20	-6	152	0.18	61%	0.3	42.3	2.01%	0	1	80	0
7	Mar_21_2011	20.06	21.03	22.06	22.41	22.54	22.49	22.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	0	-7	177	0.29	61%	0.25	42	2.01%	0	1.1	76	0
8	Mar_18_2011	20.01	20.97	21.85	22.52	22.43	22.63	22.29(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	58	50	10	202	0.86	61%	0.25	48.7	2%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Mar_17_2011	19.96	20.88	21.63	22.37	22.31	22.59	22.55(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	80	32	202	0.47	61%	0.3	48.8	2.01%	0	1.6	73	0
10	Mar_16_2011	19.9	20.76	21.38	22.11	21.55	22.24	22.5(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	150	18	184	0.34	61%	0.25	44.8	2.02%	0	1.7	75	0

11	Mar_15_2011	19.85	20.65	21.09	21.94	21.21	22.03	22.44(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	170	44	181	0.39	64%	0.25	42.4	2.03%	0	2	74	0
12	Mar_14_2011	19.8	20.56	20.81	21.66	21.03	20.86	22.81(5.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	-140	42	149	0.62	67%	0.3	42.1	2.08%	0	2.8	67	0
13	Mar_11_2011	19.74	20.43	20.5	21.1	20.65	20.39	21.56(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	13	-150	-6	71	0.82	64%	0.2	29.9	2.05%	0	1.8	52	0
14	Mar_10_2011	19.7	20.37	20.34	20.78	20.73	21.21	21.24(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	150	23	51	0.21	66%	0.2	16.8	2.06%	0	1.5	54	0
15	Mar_9_2011	19.66	20.32	20.18	20.53	20.44	20.91	21.64(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	38	150	41	30	0.15	66%	0.2	1.9	2.1%	0	2.5	60	0

16	Mar_8_2011	19.62	20.27	19.98	20.1	20.07	20.25	21.06(5.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	11	60	22	-22	0.13	65%	0.2	-22	2.07%	0	1.7	54	0
17	Mar_7_2011	19.58	20.23	19.9	19.84	19.88	19.97	19.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	40	4	-60	0.15	61%	0.15	-39.9	1.97%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Mar_4_2011	19.55	20.25	20	19.81	19.85	19.9	19.97(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	20	2	-57	0.18	61%	0.1	-36.2	1.96%	0	-0.7	44	0
19	Mar_3_2011	19.53	20.27	20.05	19.83	19.86	19.78	20.02(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-20	2	-52	0.29	61%	0.15	-39.1	1.97%	0	-0.6	47	0
20	Mar_2_2011	19.5	20.31	20.09	19.77	19.87	19.81	19.49(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10	-6	-63	0.14	59%	0.1	-41.5	1.95%	0	-1.9	40	0

21	Mar_1_2011	19.48	20.37	20.19	19.83	19.85	19.94	19.72(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	30	-8	-65	0.24	59%	0.15	-38.5	1.94%	0	-1.7	38	0
22	Feb_28_2011	19.45	20.39	20.31	19.97	19.92	19.93	19.87(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-11	-47	0.08	59%	0.15	-39.5	1.91%	0	-1.4	48	0
23	Feb_25_2011	19.42	20.4	20.38	20.21	20.09	19.77	20.06(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-130	-14	-27	0.08	59%	0.15	-32.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	47	0
24	Feb_24_2011	19.39	20.43	20.41	20.32	20.37	19.92	19.71(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-150	-23	-23	0.12	61%	0.15	-30.1	1.91%	0	-2	43	0
25	Feb_23_2011	19.36	20.49	20.49	20.45	20.58	20.42	19.77(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-18	-40	-19	-16	0.15	61%		-37.3	1.94%	0	-2.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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