Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $20.4100 (-0.15%) ($20.2800 - $20.6400) on Fri. Feb. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $20.4100(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(37%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.62(-47.97%)
Resistance Level   $21.36
5 Day Moving Average   $20.47(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.48(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.36(-4.45%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $1.08b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 5.24% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.58%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2011	18.91	21.36	20.48	20.47	20.53	20.53	20.41(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	10	3	-86	0.09	59%	0.21	-43.3	2.03%	0	-0.8	29	0
2	Feb_3_2011	18.87	21.46	20.51	20.37	20.44	20.66	20.44(-1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	90	2	-124	0.11	59%	0.16	-46	2.03%	0	-0.9	27	0
3	Feb_2_2011	18.84	21.57	20.58	20.37	20.44	20.54	20.83(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	60	8	-144	0.13	61%	0.16	-44.9	2.01%	0	-0.7	29	0
4	Feb_1_2011	18.81	21.65	20.68	20.42	20.35	20.22	20.63(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-60	4	-159	0.19	61%	0.16	-45.4	2.03%	0	-0.9	27	0
5	Jan_31_2011	18.78	21.74	20.85	20.34	20.39	20.17	20.06(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-70	-17	-184	0.12	59%	0.16	-46.7	2.02%	0	-1.5	18	0

6	Jan_28_2011	18.75	21.86	21.1	20.5	20.51	20.48	19.87(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-10	-13	-167	0.25	59%	0.11	-44.3	2.02%	0	-2	31	0
7	Jan_27_2011	18.73	21.99	21.42	20.67	20.63	20.62	20.72(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10	-4	-151	0.11	63%	0.21	-42.5	1.95%	0	-1.4	35	0
8	Jan_26_2011	18.69	22.08	21.64	20.76	20.71	20.54	20.82(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-60	-18	-147	0.27	63%	0.16	-38.8	1.95%	0	-1.5	34	0
9	Jan_25_2011	18.66	22.17	21.86	20.99	20.95	20.64	20.24(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-110	-35	-132	0.2	61%	0.11	-30.7	1.92%	0	-2.4	31	0
10	Jan_24_2011	18.64	22.27	22.17	21.44	21.37	20.89	20.83(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-170	-34	-92	0.24	64%	0.16	-14.6	1.89%	0	-2.1	34	0

11	Jan_21_2011	18.61	22.32	22.32	21.81	21.76	21.25	20.73(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-52	-170	-46	-68	0.17	64%	0.16	5.9	1.89%	0	-2.7	38	0
12	Jan_20_2011	18.58	22.38	22.51	22.28	22.23	21.86	21.16(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-33	-120	-35	-28	0.28	67%	0.16	42	1.86%	0	-2.5	39	0
13	Jan_19_2011	18.55	22.38	22.68	22.65	22.63	22.28	21.97(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-16	-110	-24	10	0.17	73%	0.27	93.2	1.79%	0	-1	45	0
14	Jan_18_2011	18.5	22.42	22.68	22.87	22.85	22.61	22.51(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-80	-21	30	0.18	77%	0.43	136.2	1.76%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Jan_14_2011	18.42	22.36	22.72	23	23.07	22.99	22.69(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-20	3	59	0.16	77%	0.38	152.2	1.76%	0	0.6	62	0

16	Jan_13_2011	18.35	22.28	22.68	22.91	22.98	23.09	23.05(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	40	8	61	0.16	77%	0.38	156.2	1.74%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Jan_12_2011	18.28	22.18	22.61	22.78	22.79	23.14	23.04(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	26	110	13	63	0.19	77%	0.38	163	1.75%	0	1.4	71	0
18	Jan_11_2011	18.21	22.03	22.55	22.71	22.65	22.88	23.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	60	23	71	0.18	77%	0.39	150.3	1.75%	0	1.3	68	0
19	Jan_10_2011	18.14	21.83	22.47	22.57	22.45	22.44	23.19(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-20	9	64	0.35	77%	0.39	121.8	1.75%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Jan_7_2011	18.07	21.61	22.35	22.42	22.41	22.42	22.22(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	0	-1	60	0.2	75%	0.33	106.1	1.68%	0	0.5	68	0

21	Jan_6_2011	18.01	21.41	22.3	22.41	22.42	22.46	22.43(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	4	72	0.19	68%	0.33	90.7	1.67%	0	0.8	76	0
22	Jan_5_2011	17.95	21.19	22.23	22.4	22.42	22.4	22.65(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	10	2	82	0.18	71%	0.34	81.4	1.74%	0	0.9	82	0
23	Jan_4_2011	17.89	20.96	22.15	22.4	22.35	22.39	22.35(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	10	2	105	0.21	71%	0.34	76.7	1.8%	0	0.8	86	0
24	Jan_3_2011	17.83	20.72	22.08	22.36	22.37	22.39	22.46(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-20	6	150	0.38	71%	0.34	73.3	1.8%	0	1	92	0
25	Dec_31_2010	17.77	20.48	21.98	22.26	22.3	22.31	22.16(-0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	48	10	3	184	0.29	73%		70.2	1.81%	0	0.9	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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