Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(eBay Inc)
EBAY latest price $24.6932 (3.77%) ($24.5296 - $25.0957) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $24.6932(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBAY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBAY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBAY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(50%)    IWM(48%)    VT(48%)
Factors Impacting EBAY price   EBAY will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.75(-11.92%)
5 Day Moving Average   $23.81(3.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.87(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.94(3.15%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $17.409b

eBay, Inc. operates as a commerce company, which engages in the provision of investments and acquisitions to help enable commerce on platforms for buyers and sellers online or on mobile devices. It operates throught the following platforms: Marketplace; Classifieds; StubHub, Corporate, and Others. The Marketplace platform include online marketplace located at www.ebay.com, its localized counterparts and the eBay mobile apps. The Classified platform focuses in collection of brands such as mobile.de, Kijiji, Gumtree, Marktplaats, eBay Kleinanzeigen and others. The StubHub platform gives online ticket platform located at www.stubhub.com, its localized counterparts and the StubHub mobile apps. The company was founded by Pierre M. Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. EBAY price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.94%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.31%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2015	23.75	23.94	23.87	23.81	23.91	24.26	24.69(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	35	120	43	9	15.7	44%	0.08	-59.3	1.2%	0	2.8	66	INF
2	Apr_22_2015	23.73	23.91	23.78	23.65	23.58	23.69	23.8(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	20	2	-30	11.05	50%	0.04	-92.7	1.1%	0	-0.5	44	INF
3	Apr_21_2015	23.72	23.97	23.79	23.68	23.63	23.56	23.66(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-30	-1	-26	7.44	50%	0	-64.9	1.41%	0	-1	33	INF
4	Apr_20_2015	23.72	24.01	23.82	23.72	23.69	23.48	23.51(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-70	-14	-33	8.69	50%	0.04	-65.7	1.42%	0	-1.5	26	INF
5	Apr_17_2015	23.71	24.05	23.86	23.79	23.78	23.7	23.39(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-20	-18	-34	8.92	50%	0	-68.4	1.41%	0	-2.1	28	INF

6	Apr_16_2015	23.71	24.1	23.86	23.79	23.91	23.9	23.92(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-0	1	-18	4.42	56%	0.04	-76.7	1.4%	0	-0.6	41	INF
7	Apr_15_2015	23.7	24.13	23.91	23.92	23.91	23.86	23.91(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-20	-3	-26	5.18	53%	0.04	-82.5	1.4%	0	-0.8	33	INF
8	Apr_14_2015	23.69	24.18	23.94	23.93	23.95	23.92	23.88(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-6	-38	5.07	50%	0.04	-71.3	1.43%	0	-0.9	21	INF
9	Apr_13_2015	23.68	24.23	23.98	23.94	23.99	24.04	23.88(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	20	3	-39	7.02	50%	0.04	-71.1	1.45%	0	-1	35	INF
10	Apr_10_2015	23.67	24.27	23.98	23.93	23.98	23.98	24.04(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	10	7	-41	5.09	50%	0.04	-75	1.44%	0	-0.6	45	INF

11	Apr_9_2015	23.66	24.31	24.01	23.89	23.98	23.93	23.9(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	20	-2	-51	4.87	48%	0.04	-73.1	1.45%	0	-1.1	43	INF
12	Apr_8_2015	23.65	24.37	24.05	23.9	23.86	23.98	23.95(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	30	3	-51	6.88	51%	0.04	-65.2	1.46%	0	-1.1	40	INF
13	Apr_7_2015	23.64	24.41	24.15	23.95	23.87	23.79	23.93(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-30	-4	-49	6.84	51%	0.04	-57.9	1.5%	0	-1.2	33	INF
14	Apr_6_2015	23.63	24.49	24.21	24.02	23.94	23.74	23.83(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-70	-14	-53	6.19	51%	0.08	-38.9	1.5%	0	-1.5	30	INF
15	Apr_2_2015	23.61	24.55	24.26	24.09	24.12	23.95	23.86(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-50	-10	-53	3.54	51%	0.04	-28.1	1.5%	0	-1.6	36	INF

16	Apr_1_2015	23.6	24.6	24.31	24.14	24.18	24.13	23.96(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10	-10	-59	4.94	51%	0.04	-23.9	1.5%	0	-1.6	35	INF
17	Mar_31_2015	23.59	24.63	24.36	24.22	24.22	24.28	24.19(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	20	-8	-59	4.86	49%	0.08	-20	1.51%	0	-1.2	36	INF
18	Mar_30_2015	23.57	24.65	24.44	24.37	24.32	24.22	24.29(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-30	-3	-43	4.76	49%	0.08	-9.9	1.53%	0	-1	42	INF
19	Mar_27_2015	23.55	24.66	24.5	24.43	24.43	24.15	24.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-80	-12	-50	6.07	49%	0.08	-3.4	1.51%	0	-1.4	31	INF
20	Mar_26_2015	23.53	24.67	24.56	24.46	24.52	24.42	24.12(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-20	-12	-53	6.55	49%	0.09	-2.2	1.53%	0	-1.6	38	INF

21	Mar_25_2015	23.51	24.7	24.65	24.49	24.58	24.71	24.35(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	50	4	-43	10.58	49%	0.09	5.4	1.52%	0	-1.1	46	INF
22	Mar_24_2015	23.49	24.71	24.71	24.49	24.43	24.63	24.95(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	50	7	-32	12.52	52%	0.13	17.6	1.5%	0	0.8	57	INF
23	Mar_23_2015	23.46	24.68	24.7	24.52	24.4	24.44	24.58(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-0	1	-30	7.42	50%	0.09	28.5	1.49%	0	-0.3	54	INF
24	Mar_20_2015	23.44	24.67	24.78	24.6	24.5	24.23	24.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-90	-12	-14	21.58	50%	0.13	45.4	1.47%	0	-1.2	50	INF
25	Mar_19_2015	23.41	24.68	24.87	24.69	24.65	24.35	24.27(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-18	-90	-25	2	13.57	50%		71.6	1.48%	0	-1.2	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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