Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $42.5800 (2.43%) ($41.5200 - $42.6000) on Tue. Dec. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $42.5800(2.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(83%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(63%)    IWD(60%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.72(4.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.48(7.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.72(9.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $16.053b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 3.8% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(57%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 3.51%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -3.58%(63%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.28%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2017	35.73	38.72	39.48	40.72	40.76	41.7	42.58(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	88	160	63	161	3.78	61%	0.34	58.7	1.81%	0	2.6	70	INF
2	Dec_22_2017	35.61	38.42	39.04	39.82	39.87	40.85	41.57(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	79	180	65	119	4.25	61%	0.25	44.2	1.8%	0	2.6	65	INF
3	Dec_21_2017	35.52	38.22	38.67	39.04	39.02	39.83	40.92(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	58	140	53	72	5.68	61%	0.23	31.1	1.8%	0	2.8	60	INF
4	Dec_20_2017	35.44	38.06	38.28	38.46	38.41	38.88	39.84(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	80	34	26	5.83	61%	0.2	19.6	1.77%	0	2.4	57	INF
5	Dec_19_2017	35.37	37.94	37.98	38.11	38.11	38.21	38.7(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	20	11	-2	5.49	59%	0.14	3.1	1.78%	0	1.2	62	INF

6	Dec_18_2017	35.32	37.87	37.93	38.05	38.05	37.93	38.06(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-20	-8	-3	5.32	59%	0.14	-16.5	1.78%	0	0.3	58	INF
7	Dec_15_2017	35.27	37.9	37.98	38.14	38.2	38.02	37.68(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-30	-8	16	8.03	59%	0.14	-24.4	1.78%	0	-0.4	59	INF
8	Dec_14_2017	35.22	37.9	38.09	38.21	38.29	38.17	38(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-20	0	30	3.8	59%	0.14	-40.2	1.78%	0	0.1	50	INF
9	Dec_13_2017	35.17	37.9	38.14	38.04	38.25	38.37	38.12(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	40	11	31	3.06	62%	0.14	-64.6	1.78%	0	0.3	51	INF
10	Dec_12_2017	35.12	37.92	38.05	37.8	37.93	38.41	38.41(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	13	100	12	16	3.69	62%	0.2	-96.4	1.84%	0	0.8	56	INF

11	Dec_11_2017	35.05	37.97	37.93	37.79	37.69	38.12	38.49(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	70	16	15	2.96	62%	0.17	-91.7	1.84%	0	0.7	57	INF
12	Dec_8_2017	34.99	38.05	37.93	37.82	37.75	37.45	38.05(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-60	-3	-5	7.56	59%	0.17	-69.7	1.84%	0	0	46	INF
13	Dec_7_2017	34.93	38.18	37.76	37.98	37.99	37.25	37.15(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-140	-38	-13	2.85	57%	0.14	-46.4	1.86%	0	-1	45	INF
14	Dec_6_2017	34.88	38.33	37.84	38.25	38.51	38.05	36.88(-3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-60	-21	8	3.67	57%	0.17	-33.2	1.87%	0	-1.3	45	INF
15	Dec_5_2017	34.82	38.54	37.93	38.3	38.63	38.72	38.38(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	40	6	16	4	62%	0.2	-14.3	1.8%	0	-0.1	51	INF

16	Dec_4_2017	34.75	38.65	37.83	38.06	38.26	38.97	38.64(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	150	31	-3	5.42	62%	0.2	-2.3	1.8%	0	-0	42	INF
17	Dec_1_2017	34.68	38.65	37.81	37.69	37.78	38.53	38.84(0.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	21	150	39	-32	5.81	63%	0.2	1.4	1.81%	0	0.1	39	INF
18	Nov_30_2017	34.61	38.68	37.73	37.52	37.34	37.55	38.53(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	20	16	-70	8.01	63%	0.23	11.3	1.82%	0	-0.1	35	INF
19	Nov_29_2017	34.53	38.71	37.66	37.42	37.39	37.04	37.1(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-70	-9	-108	5.56	60%	0.2	25.1	1.76%	0	-1.2	30	INF
20	Nov_28_2017	34.46	38.72	37.77	37.51	37.6	37.13	37.17(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-80	-21	-133	2.85	60%	0.2	34.1	1.76%	0	-1.1	26	INF

21	Nov_27_2017	34.39	38.68	38.01	37.55	37.76	37.74	36.79(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	10	-23	-142	4.59	60%	0.23	37.9	1.76%	0	-1.3	27	INF
22	Nov_24_2017	34.31	38.66	38.36	37.93	37.9	38.06	38.03(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	30	6	-110	1.53	65%	0.32	46.3	1.71%	0	-0.4	45	INF
23	Nov_22_2017	34.2	38.53	38.62	37.96	38	37.77	37.99(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	-40	1	-98	2.56	65%	0.12	37.9	1.7%	0	-0.3	48	INF
24	Nov_21_2017	34.16	38.37	38.84	37.94	38.02	37.73	37.55(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-50	-20	-99	3.59	65%	0.12	33.5	1.7%	0	-0.4	44	INF
25	Nov_20_2017	34.12	38.26	39.2	38.08	38.07	38.23	37.41(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	30	-21	-60	5.14	65%		31.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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