Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $36.5900 (-1.56%) ($36.4800 - $37.4500) on Thu. Sep. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $36.5900(-1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(83%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(63%)    IWD(60%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.63(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.55(2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.03(7.52%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $13.794b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 5.55% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 3.81%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 4.39%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2017	32.89	34.03	35.55	36.63	36.75	36.96	36.59(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	62	50	16	198	5.22	62%	-0.06	79.3	1.9%	0	1.4	87	INF
2	Sep_27_2017	32.91	33.75	35.29	36.38	36.39	36.83	37.17(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	90	29	211	4.64	62%	-0.03	76.1	1.88%	0	1.8	80	INF
3	Sep_26_2017	32.92	33.43	34.91	35.92	35.92	36.54	36.93(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	83	120	43	204	4.58	62%	-0.03	75.1	1.89%	0	2	76	INF
4	Sep_25_2017	32.93	33.13	34.44	35.29	35.37	35.95	36.67(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	120	44	175	4.34	62%	-0.03	72.3	1.89%	0	2.1	77	INF
5	Sep_22_2017	32.94	32.84	33.95	34.75	34.72	35.3	35.78(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	110	34	144	4.73	61%	-0.06	73.9	1.88%	0	2	75	INF

6	Sep_21_2017	32.96	32.6	33.52	34.33	34.26	34.78	35.35(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	100	31	124	4.76	57%	-0.06	76.2	1.88%	0	2.1	77	INF
7	Sep_20_2017	32.98	32.37	33.21	34.04	33.93	34.15	34.89(3.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	40	21	118	5.02	57%	-0.15	79.1	1.92%	0	2.1	77	INF
8	Sep_19_2017	33.03	32.14	32.98	33.76	33.8	33.74	33.77(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10	15	121	3.6	54%	-0.15	77.3	1.88%	0	1.5	73	INF
9	Sep_18_2017	33.08	31.97	32.81	33.44	33.57	33.7	33.97(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	40	16	116	4.31	54%	-0.18	67.1	1.89%	0	1.8	76	INF
10	Sep_15_2017	33.14	31.79	32.62	33.01	33.19	33.86	33.65(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	160	33	110	4.71	52%	-0.18	54.5	1.89%	0	1.8	71	INF

11	Sep_14_2017	33.2	31.61	32.39	32.57	32.68	33.44	33.9(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	56	170	43	93	5.58	48%	-0.18	38	1.91%	0	2.3	74	INF
12	Sep_13_2017	33.26	31.44	32.09	32.27	32.13	32.51	33.51(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	70	23	69	6	50%	-0.24	27	1.97%	0	2.4	73	INF
13	Sep_12_2017	33.34	31.3	31.83	32.27	32	31.91	32.17(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-30	2	60	3.62	47%	-0.21	18.7	1.92%	0	1.2	71	INF
14	Sep_11_2017	33.41	31.24	31.71	32.1	32.13	31.74	31.81(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-80	-13	60	3.86	47%	-0.27	10.4	1.91%	0	0.8	69	INF
15	Sep_8_2017	33.5	31.22	31.65	32.16	32.13	32.09	31.47(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-30	-10	72	4.44	50%	-0.24	-0.5	1.96%	0	0.4	66	INF

16	Sep_7_2017	33.58	31.23	31.62	32.14	32.26	32.52	32.39(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	70	15	93	2.9	47%	-0.21	-4.5	1.93%	0	1.7	83	INF
17	Sep_6_2017	33.65	31.21	31.48	31.86	32	32.43	32.68(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	110	27	81	3.81	50%	-0.24	-25.1	2.06%	0	2.2	75	INF
18	Sep_5_2017	33.73	31.21	31.24	31.52	31.56	32	32.13(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	100	23	59	3.84	50%	-0.27	-49.5	2.08%	0	1.6	65	INF
19	Sep_1_2017	33.82	31.17	31.06	31.28	31.19	31.58	32.11(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	80	20	39	3.82	47%	-0.27	-50.2	2.1%	0	1.1	62	INF
20	Aug_31_2017	33.91	31.23	30.89	31.09	30.99	31.12	31.4(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	10	16	5.33	45%	-0.29	-54.4	2.08%	0	0.2	44	INF

21	Aug_30_2017	34.01	31.26	30.76	31.03	30.97	30.79	30.96(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-50	-2	-5	3.21	43%	-0.35	-55.1	2.08%	0	-0.3	35	INF
22	Aug_29_2017	34.13	31.38	30.73	31.04	30.97	30.86	30.99(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-30	-3	-17	3.44	43%	-0.38	-51.4	2.13%	0	-0.4	31	INF
23	Aug_28_2017	34.26	31.47	30.72	30.92	30.99	31.14	30.93(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	40	6	-30	2.97	43%	-0.32	-51.8	2.14%	0	-0.5	30	INF
24	Aug_25_2017	34.37	31.58	30.73	30.8	30.84	31.13	31.16(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	70	15	-43	3.25	41%	-0.35	-47.2	2.14%	0	-0.4	29	INF
25	Aug_24_2017	34.49	31.68	30.76	30.65	30.59	30.83	31.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	50	14	-66	3.82	41%		-44.1	2.19%	0	-0.5	20	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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