Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $32.9800 (3.91%) ($32.2400 - $33.4100) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.9800(3.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(83%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(62%)    PAVE(60%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.23(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.78(3.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.33(5.27%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $12.433b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(46%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(54%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 2.89%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(46%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 4.19%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	36.47	31.33	31.78	32.23	32.21	32.3	32.98(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	20	22	99	5.47	43%	-0.3	48.3	2.2%	0	1.8	61	INF
2	Jul_24_2017	36.58	31.21	31.54	31.91	32	31.86	31.74(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-20	-2	58	4.17	40%	-0.33	39.5	2.16%	0	0.6	42	INF
3	Jul_21_2017	36.7	31.15	31.35	31.83	31.9	32.12	31.96(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	50	2	38	3.77	40%	-0.33	30.4	2.16%	0	0.9	49	INF
4	Jul_20_2017	36.82	31.05	31.12	31.77	31.82	32.14	31.99(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	80	18	24	4.95	40%	-0.35	20.5	2.16%	0	1.1	50	INF
5	Jul_19_2017	36.95	30.96	30.94	31.61	31.6	31.68	32.5(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	20	17	13	5.5	38%	-0.3	5.3	2.16%	0	1.8	60	INF

6	Jul_18_2017	37.06	30.88	30.77	31.27	31.37	31.5	31.36(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	40	5	-3	4.57	35%	-0.32	-19.1	2.13%	0	0.6	57	INF
7	Jul_17_2017	37.18	30.87	30.89	31.11	31.27	31.53	31.35(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	70	21	11	5.8	35%	-0.29	-33.2	2.13%	0	0.6	54	INF
8	Jul_14_2017	37.29	30.89	30.89	30.78	30.97	31.25	31.65(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	80	25	9	4.85	35%	-0.35	-48.1	2.14%	0	0.9	57	INF
9	Jul_13_2017	37.42	30.87	30.93	30.36	30.51	31.01	31.2(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	130	19	-0	4.55	34%	-0.35	-63.7	2.14%	0	0.4	58	INF
10	Jul_12_2017	37.55	30.91	30.87	30.16	30.14	30.7	30.81(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	130	15	-9	5.67	34%	-0.37	-65.5	2.15%	0	-0.1	55	INF

11	Jul_11_2017	37.69	31.03	30.83	30.22	30.06	30.01	30.53(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-30	-8	-22	7.45	34%	-0.21	-56	2.15%	0	-0.5	47	INF
12	Jul_10_2017	37.77	31.14	30.85	30.67	30.4	29.57	29.73(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-220	-37	-16	7.66	31%	-0.4	-43.3	2.11%	0	-1.3	41	INF
13	Jul_7_2017	37.92	31.28	30.95	31.11	31.13	30.11	29.54(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-230	-49	-8	7.37	31%	-0.39	-35.4	2.12%	0	-1.7	38	INF
14	Jul_6_2017	38.07	31.39	31.02	31.57	31.75	31.23	30.18(-2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-17	-100	-26	12	7.08	35%	-0.37	-38.5	2.11%	0	-1.2	43	INF
15	Jul_5_2017	38.21	31.48	31.03	31.64	31.93	32.14	31.1(-5.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	70	6	12	7.23	36%	-0.6	-47.5	2.14%	0	-0.4	43	INF

16	Jul_3_2017	38.44	31.48	31.04	31.49	31.62	32.26	32.78(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	24	150	33	-4	2.65	38%	-0.31	-48	2.06%	0	1.1	42	INF
17	Jun_30_2017	38.56	31.61	30.87	31.08	31.13	31.72	31.97(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	140	33	-39	6.66	36%	-0.34	-68.7	2.02%	0	0.3	43	INF
18	Jun_29_2017	38.69	31.66	30.82	30.78	30.81	30.98	31.81(4.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	26	-65	7.41	40%	-0.33	-77.4	2.02%	0	0.1	44	INF
19	Jun_28_2017	38.82	31.77	30.77	30.42	30.53	30.55	30.55(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	20	1	-95	7.4	38%	-0.36	-89.8	2.02%	0	-0.9	45	INF
20	Jun_27_2017	38.96	31.93	30.93	30.34	30.46	30.65	30.35(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	60	-2	-99	9.62	38%	-0.38	-99.3	2.03%	0	-1.1	41	INF

21	Jun_26_2017	39.11	32.14	31.22	30.5	30.48	30.51	30.72(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	0	1	-94	5.09	38%	-0.41	-110.2	2.03%	0	-1.1	33	INF
22	Jun_23_2017	39.27	32.38	31.42	30.62	30.53	30.27	30.48(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-17	-100	4.16	38%	-0.41	-104.1	2.03%	0	-1.3	38	INF
23	Jun_22_2017	39.43	32.64	31.63	30.88	30.84	30.44	30.01(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-90	-23	-96	5.81	38%	-0.4	-98.8	2.01%	0	-1.6	35	INF
24	Jun_21_2017	39.59	32.99	31.8	31.18	31.19	30.79	30.15(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-90	-28	-107	6.77	38%	-0.4	-88	2.02%	0	-1.6	31	INF
25	Jun_20_2017	39.75	33.36	31.99	31.58	31.47	31.24	31.16(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-60	-30	-106	5.59	40%		-76.5	1.99%	0	-1.2	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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