Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $44.2300 (-1.8%) ($43.5700 - $44.8100) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.59% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $44.2300(-1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.295% (StdDev 2.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.49(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.94(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.36(4.41%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $16.675b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 5.38% (three month std-dev: 2.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.97%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.31%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.96%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.11%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2016	41.5	42.36	43.94	44.49	44.57	44.39	44.23(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-20	3	64	1.96	57%	0.29	40.1	2.59%	0	0.8	66	0
2	Nov_23_2016	41.38	42.17	43.83	44.22	44.42	44.55	45.04(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	2	70	2.93	57%	0.22	32.4	2.57%	0	1.3	68	0
3	Nov_22_2016	41.29	41.92	43.68	44.01	44.22	44.75	44.48(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	100	8	89	4.36	57%	0.07	25.5	2.58%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Nov_21_2016	41.26	41.72	43.44	44.11	44.17	44.29	44.9(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	20	21	122	4.86	57%	0.19	25.7	2.58%	0	1.5	75	0
5	Nov_18_2016	41.18	41.54	43.12	43.7	44	43.68	43.82(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-30	5	127	4.77	59%	0.19	21.2	2.56%	0	1.2	73	0

6	Nov_17_2016	41.1	41.46	42.78	43.3	43.61	44.04	42.87(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	90	-2	120	6.04	59%	0.15	15.1	2.58%	0	0.7	64	0
7	Nov_16_2016	41.04	41.45	42.57	43.36	43.21	44.33	43.98(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	170	27	138	5.61	59%	0.2	13.7	2.57%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Nov_15_2016	40.96	41.38	42.13	43.28	42.9	43.19	45(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	20	36	140	6.64	59%	0.27	9.3	2.56%	0	2	65	0
9	Nov_14_2016	40.85	41.2	41.41	42.68	42.56	42.1	42.81(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-80	-5	94	4.83	56%	0.17	-6	2.48%	0	1	58	0
10	Nov_11_2016	40.78	41.13	40.93	42.48	42.45	42.62	41.85(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	30	0	71	5.29	58%	0.07	-16.5	2.47%	0	0.4	50	0

11	Nov_10_2016	40.75	41.18	40.67	42.15	42.29	43.02	43.14(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	130	33	54	5.62	61%	0.15	-20.6	2.5%	0	1.1	49	0
12	Nov_9_2016	40.69	41.19	40.37	41.62	41.57	42.29	43.62(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	120	38	26	6.2	61%	0.12	-26.4	2.5%	0	1.3	50	0
13	Nov_8_2016	40.64	41.21	39.99	40.81	40.93	41.56	41.98(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	28	120	42	-16	4.29	59%	0.12	-37.2	2.45%	0	0.4	43	0
14	Nov_7_2016	40.59	41.3	39.83	39.95	40.12	40.86	41.82(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	140	38	-53	5.34	59%	0.15	-45.5	2.46%	0	0.3	49	0
15	Nov_4_2016	40.53	41.41	39.78	39.17	39.24	40.3	40.19(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	190	29	-85	5.99	56%	0.12	-55.7	2.43%	0	-0.6	42	0

16	Nov_3_2016	40.48	41.54	39.99	38.96	38.78	39.39	40.51(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	100	27	-95	7.93	59%	0.15	-61.2	2.43%	0	-0.5	38	0
17	Nov_2_2016	40.42	41.68	40.2	38.95	38.66	38.18	39.55(4.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-110	-9	-114	12.16	58%	0.1	-59.8	2.5%	0	-1	30	0
18	Nov_1_2016	40.38	41.92	40.53	39.08	39.19	38.17	37.69(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-63	-170	-39	-134	6.47	49%	0.05	-54.7	2.43%	0	-2.1	15	0
19	Oct_31_2016	40.36	42.21	40.97	39.68	39.74	39.13	37.89(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-64	-100	-44	-125	6.9	49%	0.05	-41	2.55%	0	-2.4	20	0
20	Oct_28_2016	40.34	42.55	41.39	40.45	40.42	40.2	39.18(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-40	-22	-105	5.87	56%	0.05	-22.3	2.61%	0	-2.2	22	0

21	Oct_27_2016	40.32	42.8	41.79	41.15	40.96	40.35	40.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-120	-21	-85	4.3	56%	0.07	4.7	2.58%	0	-1.8	40	0
22	Oct_26_2016	40.29	42.95	42.13	41.64	41.46	40.64	40.2(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-150	-35	-74	6.91	58%	0.05	20.9	2.62%	0	-2.3	35	0
23	Oct_25_2016	40.27	43.04	42.57	42.2	42.09	41.57	40.67(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-90	-22	-51	3.67	55%	0.07	26.9	2.66%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Oct_24_2016	40.24	42.96	42.92	42.44	42.45	42.29	41.72(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-30	-7	-35	4.41	55%	0.15	23.3	2.7%	0	-0.8	44	0
25	Oct_21_2016	40.18	42.88	43.19	42.45	42.51	42.6	42.69(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-1	-32	3.17	55%		18.8	2.68%	0	-0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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