Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $43.1400 (-1.1%) ($42.2576 - $43.7700) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $43.1400(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.15(2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.67(6.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.18(4.76%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $16.264b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.98%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.04%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2016	40.75	41.18	40.67	42.15	42.29	43.02	43.14(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	130	33	54	5.62	61%	0.15	-20.6	2.5%	0	1.1	49	INF
2	Nov_9_2016	40.69	41.19	40.37	41.62	41.57	42.29	43.62(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	120	38	26	6.2	61%	0.12	-26.4	2.5%	0	1.3	50	INF
3	Nov_8_2016	40.64	41.21	39.99	40.81	40.93	41.56	41.98(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	28	120	42	-16	4.29	59%	0.12	-37.2	2.45%	0	0.4	43	INF
4	Nov_7_2016	40.59	41.3	39.83	39.95	40.12	40.86	41.82(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	140	38	-53	5.34	59%	0.15	-45.5	2.46%	0	0.3	49	INF
5	Nov_4_2016	40.53	41.41	39.78	39.17	39.24	40.3	40.19(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	190	29	-85	5.99	56%	0.12	-55.7	2.43%	0	-0.6	42	INF

6	Nov_3_2016	40.48	41.54	39.99	38.96	38.78	39.39	40.51(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	100	27	-95	7.93	59%	0.15	-61.2	2.43%	0	-0.5	38	INF
7	Nov_2_2016	40.42	41.68	40.2	38.95	38.66	38.18	39.55(4.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-110	-9	-114	12.16	58%	0.1	-59.8	2.5%	0	-1	30	INF
8	Nov_1_2016	40.38	41.92	40.53	39.08	39.19	38.17	37.69(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-63	-170	-39	-134	6.47	49%	0.05	-54.7	2.43%	0	-2.1	15	INF
9	Oct_31_2016	40.36	42.21	40.97	39.68	39.74	39.13	37.89(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-64	-100	-44	-125	6.9	49%	0.05	-41	2.55%	0	-2.4	20	INF
10	Oct_28_2016	40.34	42.55	41.39	40.45	40.42	40.2	39.18(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-40	-22	-105	5.87	56%	0.05	-22.3	2.61%	0	-2.2	22	INF

11	Oct_27_2016	40.32	42.8	41.79	41.15	40.96	40.35	40.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-120	-21	-85	4.3	56%	0.07	4.7	2.58%	0	-1.8	40	INF
12	Oct_26_2016	40.29	42.95	42.13	41.64	41.46	40.64	40.2(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-150	-35	-74	6.91	58%	0.05	20.9	2.62%	0	-2.3	35	INF
13	Oct_25_2016	40.27	43.04	42.57	42.2	42.09	41.57	40.67(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-90	-22	-51	3.67	55%	0.07	26.9	2.66%	0	-1.6	34	INF
14	Oct_24_2016	40.24	42.96	42.92	42.44	42.45	42.29	41.72(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-30	-7	-35	4.41	55%	0.15	23.3	2.7%	0	-0.8	44	INF
15	Oct_21_2016	40.18	42.88	43.19	42.45	42.51	42.6	42.69(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-1	-32	3.17	55%	0.12	18.8	2.68%	0	-0.1	43	INF

16	Oct_20_2016	40.13	42.74	43.21	42.53	42.44	42.62	42.94(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	20	-3	-37	4.26	55%	0.17	16	2.69%	0	0.1	44	INF
17	Oct_19_2016	40.06	42.69	43.27	42.72	42.71	42.42	42.96(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-50	-6	-31	5.66	55%	0.18	22.1	2.69%	0	0.2	51	INF
18	Oct_18_2016	39.99	42.66	43.39	43.04	43.05	42.26	41.9(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-130	-27	-19	5.13	55%	0.05	32.3	2.68%	0	-0.4	55	INF
19	Oct_17_2016	39.97	42.61	43.54	43.49	43.52	43.01	41.77(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-80	-29	16	6.84	55%	0.15	38.3	2.68%	0	-0.5	67	INF
20	Oct_14_2016	39.91	42.57	43.8	44.01	43.97	43.84	43.08(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-4	65	3.26	57%	0.2	40.7	2.65%	0	0.3	65	INF

21	Oct_13_2016	39.83	42.47	43.91	43.96	44.02	44.04	43.9(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	10	3	90	4.64	57%	0.18	33.7	2.64%	0	0.8	68	INF
22	Oct_12_2016	39.76	42.32	43.83	43.88	43.83	44.09	44.56(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	3	95	6.76	60%	0.25	21.4	2.66%	0	1.2	59	INF
23	Oct_11_2016	39.66	42.1	43.55	43.8	43.81	44	44.14(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	30	10	92	4.44	60%	0.25	10.8	2.76%	0	1.2	57	INF
24	Oct_10_2016	39.56	41.94	43.02	43.63	43.84	43.57	44.39(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-30	0	75	4.89	60%	0.28	0.2	2.76%	0	1.4	62	INF
25	Oct_7_2016	39.45	41.86	42.56	43.59	43.8	43.62	42.81(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10	-15	65	4.91	58%		-3.6	2.73%	0	0.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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