Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DVN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $44.7600 (3.35%) ($43.6550 - $45.0100) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $44.7600(3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.83(4.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.56(7.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.41(13.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $16.875b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 6.52% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.42%(54%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 6.84%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(40%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 8.55%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.97%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	35.48	39.41	41.56	42.83	42.9	43.54	44.76(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	110	33	154	6.78	60%	0.54	53.8	3.01%	0	2.1	73	0
2	Aug_17_2016	35.29	39.01	40.94	42.14	42.26	42.59	43.31(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	60	23	147	7.07	59%	0.48	50.8	2.99%	0	1.9	76	0
3	Aug_16_2016	35.12	38.73	40.41	41.4	41.72	42.27	42.47(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	120	21	137	7.56	60%	0.49	43.7	3%	0	1.8	75	0
4	Aug_15_2016	34.95	38.47	39.79	40.88	41.1	41.92	41.96(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	160	23	119	3.93	60%	0.2	35.1	3.03%	0	1.9	66	0
5	Aug_12_2016	34.88	38.26	39.19	40.53	40.61	41.17	41.67(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	100	25	112	4.59	60%	0.46	34.3	3.03%	0	2.1	69	0

6	Aug_11_2016	34.72	38.07	38.83	40.1	40.26	40.28	41.31(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	20	17	101	7.41	60%	0.46	33.1	3.03%	0	2.2	60	0
7	Aug_10_2016	34.56	37.9	38.3	39.56	39.84	40.04	39.57(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	60	7	78	4.84	61%	0.32	31.4	3.01%	0	1.3	58	0
8	Aug_9_2016	34.45	37.86	37.97	39.24	39.4	40.24	39.9(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	160	31	70	4.91	58%	0.35	31.2	3.06%	0	1.6	56	0
9	Aug_8_2016	34.33	37.84	37.7	38.49	38.59	39.63	40.2(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	200	42	51	9.18	58%	0.38	30.5	3.11%	0	1.9	57	0
10	Aug_5_2016	34.2	37.7	37.27	37.63	37.53	38.56	39.51(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	180	26	10	6.64	58%	0.38	13.3	3.11%	0	1.6	54	0

11	Aug_4_2016	34.07	37.6	37.06	37.38	36.98	37.55	38.61(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	80	28	1	9.6	55%	0.35	13.3	3.1%	0	1	51	0
12	Aug_3_2016	33.95	37.51	36.91	36.89	36.71	36.5	38(5.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-50	10	-25	11.78	53%	0.44	0.7	3.15%	0	0.5	48	0
13	Aug_2_2016	33.8	37.45	36.89	36.51	36.51	36.42	36.12(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-15	-51	9.25	50%	0.33	-4.9	3.16%	0	-1.2	38	0
14	Aug_1_2016	33.69	37.47	37.05	36.78	36.77	36.92	35.91(-6.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-9	30	4	-46	8.79	50%	0.06	12.5	3.16%	0	-1.5	33	0
15	Jul_29_2016	33.67	37.56	37.28	36.82	36.78	36.6	38.28(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-10	-40	2	-46	10.24	52%	0.15	21.6	3.09%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Jul_28_2016	33.62	37.46	37.26	36.71	36.69	36.62	36.13(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-23	-10	-13	-54	6.03	49%	0.09	7	3.04%	0	-1.3	45	0
17	Jul_27_2016	33.59	37.5	37.48	36.95	37.06	36.95	36.13(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10	-6	-38	11.41	52%	0.09	8.7	3.05%	0	-1.4	50	0
18	Jul_26_2016	33.56	37.51	37.77	37.32	37.26	36.77	37.46(3.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-100	-9	-19	11.56	54%	0.12	9	3.13%	0	-0	54	0
19	Jul_25_2016	33.52	37.51	38.01	37.37	37.45	37.17	36.08(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-50	-20	-5	6.41	50%	0.09	-4.1	3.1%	0	-1	54	0
20	Jul_22_2016	33.49	37.34	38.2	37.78	37.78	37.75	37.75(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10	-2	16	4.79	54%	0.12	4	3.08%	0	0.3	53	0

21	Jul_21_2016	33.45	37.39	38.19	37.89	37.86	37.73	37.33(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-6	24	5.86	54%	0.15	19.8	3.11%	0	-0	58	0
22	Jul_20_2016	33.4	37.41	38.17	38.1	38.01	37.82	37.96(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-40	-10	29	6.06	54%	0.15	34.4	3.12%	0	0.4	58	0
23	Jul_19_2016	33.35	37.42	38.08	38.31	38.39	38	37.75(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-60	-13	39	5.82	56%	0.15	47.6	3.15%	0	0.2	61	0
24	Jul_18_2016	33.3	37.39	37.94	38.76	38.71	38.19	38.11(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-100	-11	65	5.43	56%	0.15	63.4	3.2%	0	0.5	71	0
25	Jul_15_2016	33.25	37.29	37.88	38.67	39.09	38.78	38.29(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-20	-4	75	5.25	56%		64.3	3.2%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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