Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $38.7600 (3.19%) ($37.8200 - $39.1000) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.22% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $38.7600(3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.61% (StdDev 3.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.04(4.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.46(6.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.04(10.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60.9%
Market Cap   $14.613b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 3.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.68%(22%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(78%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 8.43%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.57%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 11.63%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	31.6	35.04	36.46	37.04	37.07	37.85	38.76(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	150	30	86	9.77	66%	0.38	82.7	3.22%	0	2.1	73	0
2	Jun_6_2016	31.48	34.6	36.02	36.51	36.38	36.88	37.56(4.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	90	17	70	7.98	66%	0.32	60.2	3.24%	0	1.6	73	0
3	Jun_3_2016	31.38	34.29	35.69	36.51	36.14	36.29	35.92(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	8	67	6.99	65%	0.26	48	3.23%	0	0.9	74	0
4	Jun_2_2016	31.3	34.06	35.5	36.17	35.93	35.88	36.81(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	17	-30	-1	71	6.62	65%	0.32	34.8	3.23%	0	1.4	79	0
5	Jun_1_2016	31.2	33.79	35.23	36.1	36	35.99	36.15(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	-10	6	81	8.03	65%	0.29	21	3.25%	0	1.3	78	0

6	May_31_2016	31.11	33.61	35.07	35.76	36.02	35.98	36.09(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	10	8	88	6.88	65%	0.29	12.1	3.28%	0	1.4	81	0
7	May_27_2016	31.02	33.51	34.84	35.45	35.61	36.02	35.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	31	90	8	100	5.39	65%	0.32	9.5	3.31%	0	1.4	85	0
8	May_26_2016	30.92	33.43	34.51	35.12	35.27	36.06	35.9(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	170	25	104	7.55	65%	0.29	2.5	3.34%	0	1.4	72	0
9	May_25_2016	30.83	33.41	34.19	34.72	34.71	35.2	36.44(5.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	100	24	101	9.78	65%	0.36	1.7	3.36%	0	1.7	75	0
10	May_24_2016	30.72	33.4	33.79	34.26	34.18	34.47	34.49(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	50	4	89	7.88	62%	0.26	-0.2	3.32%	0	0.6	70	0

11	May_23_2016	30.64	33.39	33.51	34.29	34.18	34.21	34.54(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	7	86	6.49	62%	0.26	2.8	3.35%	0	0.7	58	0
12	May_20_2016	30.56	33.35	33.08	34.14	34.09	33.89	34.25(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-50	6	60	7.72	62%	0.23	5.5	3.39%	0	0.5	47	0
13	May_19_2016	30.49	33.35	32.8	33.79	33.99	33.97	33.9(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	10	2	32	8.08	62%	0.26	9.8	3.42%	0	0.3	45	0
14	May_18_2016	30.41	33.38	32.53	33.55	33.69	34.28	34.12(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	140	12	5	9.76	62%	0.26	12.8	3.46%	0	0.4	40	0
15	May_17_2016	30.33	33.4	32.24	33.24	33.41	34.02	34.63(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	140	29	-24	9.81	62%	0.3	17.7	3.48%	0	0.7	39	0

16	May_16_2016	30.24	33.34	32.01	32.62	32.84	33.09	33.79(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	24	-53	8.59	62%	0.27	14.7	3.51%	0	0.3	47	0
17	May_13_2016	30.16	33.26	32.04	31.87	32.12	32.81	32.52(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	170	11	-77	6.73	60%	0.2	10.2	3.51%	0	-0.4	45	0
18	May_12_2016	30.1	33.22	32.23	31.65	31.63	32.59	32.71(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	210	26	-80	9.7	60%	0.2	13.2	3.55%	0	-0.3	42	0
19	May_11_2016	30.04	33.16	32.52	31.34	31.14	31.43	32.54(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	50	15	-83	10.73	60%	0.2	17.6	3.59%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	May_10_2016	29.98	33.1	32.92	31.1	31.1	30.67	31.54(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-100	-10	-91	7.6	60%	0.13	21.7	3.62%	0	-0.8	41	0

21	May_9_2016	29.94	33.09	33.23	31.34	31.49	30.84	30.04(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-130	-31	-90	9.75	58%	0	34	3.6%	0	-1.5	40	0
22	May_6_2016	29.94	33.08	33.66	32.24	32.19	31.54	31.4(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-150	-26	-58	10.08	61%	0.13	51.8	3.55%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	May_5_2016	29.9	32.98	34.05	32.9	32.96	32.14	31.2(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-170	-33	-27	11.04	61%	0.13	59.3	3.6%	0	-0.7	53	0
24	May_4_2016	29.86	32.84	34.36	33.88	33.88	32.84	31.31(-4.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-27	-210	-39	8	18.02	61%	0.13	66.8	3.65%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	May_3_2016	29.82	32.69	34.74	35	34.9	33.78	32.75(-5.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-230	-28	63	12.72	65%		75.3	3.59%	0	0	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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