Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $31.5400 (4.99%) ($30.1100 - $31.5600) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $31.5400(4.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

Resistance Level   $33.1
5 Day Moving Average   $31.1(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.92(-4.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.1(-4.71%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   30.9%
Market Cap   $11.891b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 5.8% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	29.98	33.1	32.92	31.1	31.1	30.67	31.54(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-100	-10	-91	7.6	60%	0.13	21.7	3.62%	0	-0.8	41	0
2	May_9_2016	29.94	33.09	33.23	31.34	31.49	30.84	30.04(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-130	-31	-90	9.75	58%	0	34	3.6%	0	-1.5	40	0
3	May_6_2016	29.94	33.08	33.66	32.24	32.19	31.54	31.4(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-150	-26	-58	10.08	61%	0.13	51.8	3.55%	0	-0.8	51	0
4	May_5_2016	29.9	32.98	34.05	32.9	32.96	32.14	31.2(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-170	-33	-27	11.04	61%	0.13	59.3	3.6%	0	-0.7	53	0
5	May_4_2016	29.86	32.84	34.36	33.88	33.88	32.84	31.31(-4.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-27	-210	-39	8	18.02	61%	0.13	66.8	3.65%	0	-0.6	54	0

6	May_3_2016	29.82	32.69	34.74	35	34.9	33.78	32.75(-5.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-230	-28	63	12.72	65%	0.27	75.3	3.59%	0	0	60	0
7	May_2_2016	29.74	32.4	34.86	35.38	35.58	34.92	34.56(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-110	-14	97	9.93	71%	0.47	73.7	3.49%	0	0.7	68	0
8	Apr_29_2016	29.6	31.99	34.64	35.25	35.62	36.02	34.68(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	110	-3	114	17.33	71%	0.54	71	3.53%	0	0.8	74	0
9	Apr_28_2016	29.44	31.6	34.34	35.36	35.35	36.25	36.11(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	180	26	149	12.08	75%	0.68	72.4	3.47%	0	1.3	81	0
10	Apr_27_2016	29.24	31.16	33.87	34.92	34.92	35.22	36.91(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	60	22	158	14.92	75%	0.86	72.3	3.47%	0	1.7	87	0

11	Apr_26_2016	28.99	30.61	33.26	34.49	34.54	34.44	34.62(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-20	2	165	10.97	72%	0.66	69.8	3.39%	0	1.3	85	0
12	Apr_25_2016	28.8	30.19	32.9	34.29	34.41	34.62	33.95(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	50	9	190	11.13	72%	0.63	66.1	3.44%	0	1.2	86	0
13	Apr_22_2016	28.62	29.78	32.43	33.9	34.11	34.64	35.2(3.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	130	28	212	11.29	78%	0.81	61.4	3.39%	0	1.7	94	0
14	Apr_21_2016	28.39	29.33	31.79	33.14	33.16	34.2	33.93(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	220	26	203	14.1	76%	0.75	56.9	3.42%	0	1.6	87	0
15	Apr_20_2016	28.18	28.91	31.17	32.62	32.32	33.58	34.75(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	81	250	41	200	12.9	76%	0.9	53.5	3.41%	0	2.1	83	0

16	Apr_19_2016	27.93	28.54	30.44	31.87	31.62	32.11	33.62(5.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	80	31	182	11.77	76%	0.83	60.9	3.45%	0	2.1	84	0
17	Apr_18_2016	27.7	28.23	29.72	31.33	31	31.06	32(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-20	12	165	10.88	73%	0.65	70.9	3.43%	0	1.8	82	0
18	Apr_15_2016	27.52	27.99	29.13	30.74	30.84	31.13	31.4(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	80	17	149	10.89	73%	0.58	0	3.5%	0	1.8	82	0
19	Apr_14_2016	27.36	27.77	28.65	30.22	30.35	30.95	31.35(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	150	25	136	10.44	73%	0.7	0	3.57%	0	2.1	75	0
20	Apr_13_2016	27.17	27.5	28.23	29.47	29.76	30.55	30.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	53	220	30	122	13.27	73%	0.67	0	3.66%	0	2.3	77	0

21	Apr_12_2016	26.99	27.16	27.74	28.79	28.97	29.75	30.96(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	210	34	90	16.47	73%	0.71	0	3.74%	0	2.6	60	0
22	Apr_11_2016	26.8	26.84	27.23	27.87	28.18	28.98	29.05(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	230	29	49	8.34	67%	0.45	0	3.62%	0	1.8	53	0
23	Apr_8_2016	26.68	26.84	26.9	27.27	27.41	28.19	28.77(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	210	24	10	9.89	67%	0.45	0	3.72%	0	25.2	55	0
24	Apr_7_2016	26.56	26.84	26.65	26.84	26.84	27.38	27.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	140	13	5	10.61	62%	0.23	0	3.74%	0	26.3	51	0
25	Apr_6_2016	26.5	26.84	26.46	26.81	26.53	26.64	27.56(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-0	11	4	12.19	62%		0	3.85%	0	26.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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