Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $17.9500 (4.36%) ($17.3000 - $18.4000) on Thu. Aug. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.82% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $17.9500(4.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    ARKG(9%)    XHB(8%)    ARKK(7%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -4.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    BND(-2%)    XLP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.91% (StdDev 9.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.24(4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.82(6.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.82(6.72%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   226.4%
Market Cap   $1.966b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 9.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(44%) Average negative next day return: -3.13%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 7.95%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -4.07%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 10.74%(28%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.42%(72%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2017	9.69	16.82	16.82	17.24	17.29	17.49	17.95(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	90	4	18	2.17	84%	1.36	82.5	9.82%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Aug_30_2017	9.56	16.77	16.65	17.09	17.13	17.12	17.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	0	3	17	1.22	84%	1.27	133.1	9.83%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Aug_29_2017	9.44	16.71	16.59	16.89	17	17.1	17(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	60	3	11	1.13	84%	1.29	152.6	9.84%	0	0.4	48	0
4	Aug_28_2017	9.32	16.63	16.51	16.72	16.77	17.13	17.25(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	160	5	1	0.98	84%	1.41	180.5	9.9%	0	0.8	39	0
5	Aug_25_2017	9.19	16.56	16.42	16.44	16.5	16.89	16.8(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	180	5	-11	1.03	84%	1.21	94.1	9.9%	0	0.1	38	0

6	Aug_24_2017	9.08	16.22	16.36	16.32	16.23	16.42	17.2(6.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	70	4	-15	1.83	84%	1.34	70.8	9.89%	0	0.4	55	0
7	Aug_23_2017	8.96	15.85	16.22	16.16	16.14	16.1	16.2(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-20	-1	-25	0.84	84%	1.24	61.8	9.89%	0	0.1	47	0
8	Aug_22_2017	8.85	15.59	16.31	16.25	16.23	16.04	16.15(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-90	-1	-20	0.97	84%	1.26	59.9	9.88%	0	0.2	53	0
9	Aug_21_2017	8.74	15.3	16.54	16.26	16.35	16.18	15.85(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-60	-3	-10	1.14	84%	1.16	58.4	9.89%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Aug_18_2017	8.64	15.06	16.79	16.38	16.41	16.41	16.2(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	10	-1	2	1.42	84%	1.17	58.2	9.89%	0	0.4	54	0

11	Aug_17_2017	8.54	14.75	16.83	16.4	16.47	16.51	16.4(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	30	2	28	1.18	84%	1.3	56.2	9.88%	0	0.5	82	0
12	Aug_16_2017	8.43	14.42	16.9	16.29	16.4	16.41	16.65(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	20	-1	54	1.97	84%	1.32	54.3	9.87%	0	0.6	83	0
13	Aug_15_2017	8.32	14.07	16.85	16.4	16.21	16.42	16.2(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	60	-7	79	1.6	84%	1.22	55.6	9.88%	0	0.6	75	0
14	Aug_14_2017	8.22	13.75	16.78	16.89	16.53	16.39	16.45(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-120	-4	120	1.65	84%	1.36	61.5	9.87%	0	0.8	77	0
15	Aug_11_2017	8.11	13.42	16.73	17.28	17.05	16.01	16.3(2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	-470	-5	162	2.57	84%	1.25	67.9	9.87%	0	0.8	72	0

16	Aug_10_2017	8.01	13.09	16.1	17.33	17.37	16.66	15.85(-7.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-280	-10	172	10.31	84%	1.39	69.3	9.88%	0	0.8	74	0
17	Aug_9_2017	7.9	12.77	15.51	17.56	17.52	18.09	17.2(-7.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	220	3	200	3.85	84%	1.41	72.7	9.8%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Aug_8_2017	7.79	12.36	14.86	17.33	17.32	18.07	18.65(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	68	300	16	222	4.32	84%	1.7	72.7	9.72%	0	1.8	81	0
19	Aug_7_2017	7.66	11.86	13.98	16.64	16.62	16.95	18.4(11.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	140	10	216	5.87	84%	1.73	70.5	9.73%	0	2	80	0
20	Aug_4_2017	7.53	11.37	13.18	16.13	16.14	16.58	16.55(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	190	22	228	5.98	84%	1.48	73.1	9.67%	0	1.8	77	0

21	Aug_3_2017	7.42	11.01	12.48	14.67	16.12	16.29	17(5.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	370	39	186	5.86	84%	1.64	59.7	9.66%	0	2.3	78	0
22	Aug_2_2017	7.3	10.61	11.7	13.12	12.51	15.7	16.05(5.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	50	1650	23	129	6.64	84%	1.39	45.5	9.65%	0	2.5	78	0
23	Aug_1_2017	7.2	10.26	11	11.99	10.96	15.96	15.2(-4.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	71	2940	59	108	6.95	84%	1.27	33.7	9.64%	0	2.7	78	0
24	Jul_31_2017	7.11	9.97	10.41	10.93	9.45	9.33	15.85(71.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.5	50	-500	44	68	23.12	84%	1.57	19.6	9.69%	0	4.2	80	0
25	Jul_28_2017	7	9.62	9.74	9.89	7.94	5.95	9.25(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-42	-2350	-63	21	1.7	73%		-8.4	4.05%	0	-0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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