Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $22.2000 (4.91%) ($20.7500 - $22.2100) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $22.2000(4.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(6%)    TBT(6%)    IBB(5%)    XBI(5%)    XME(5%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    XLU(-4%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.19(4.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.35(3.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.16(10.12%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   37.7%
Market Cap   $2.431b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 7.64% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 4.33%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -3.12%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.61%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2016	21.79	20.16	21.35	21.19	21.07	21.28	22.2(4.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	50	12	58	0.64	42%	-0.23	72	4.37%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Apr_15_2016	21.84	19.92	21.26	20.88	20.79	21.01	21.16(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	60	-1	65	0.55	34%	0	66.2	4.36%	0	0.8	78	0
3	Apr_14_2016	21.84	19.72	21.17	21	20.85	20.86	21.08(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-20	-1	82	0.31	34%	-0.27	69.3	4.51%	0	0.8	72	0
4	Apr_13_2016	21.9	19.5	21	21.16	21.06	20.56	20.97(2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-180	-8	95	0.42	34%	-0.23	67.6	4.51%	0	0.8	72	0
5	Apr_12_2016	21.95	19.27	20.74	21.32	21.34	20.83	20.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-160	-14	97	0.9	34%	-0.18	66.1	4.52%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Apr_11_2016	21.99	19.11	20.56	21.51	21.66	21.56	20.69(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10	-6	115	0.9	31%	-0.23	69.1	4.57%	0	0.8	69	0
7	Apr_8_2016	22.04	18.93	20.29	21.66	21.7	21.85	21.76(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	9	135	0.64	30%	-0.18	71.6	4.6%	0	1.5	78	0
8	Apr_7_2016	22.08	18.64	19.93	21.34	21.45	21.76	21.84(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	120	16	132	0.94	51%	-0.18	65.8	4.76%	0	1.7	79	0
9	Apr_6_2016	22.12	18.39	19.56	20.82	20.87	21.56	21.78(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	240	17	89	1.14	48%	-0.09	60.8	6.99%	0	2	81	0
10	Apr_5_2016	22.14	18.12	19.26	20.07	20.18	21.14	21.5(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	35	350	19	84	1.2	48%	-0.09	52.4	7.07%	0	2.2	81	0

11	Apr_4_2016	22.16	17.91	18.86	19.46	19.42	20.18	21.42(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	270	21	72	1.4	46%	-0.14	54	7.07%	0	2.7	69	0
12	Apr_1_2016	22.19	17.68	18.43	18.73	18.71	19.22	20.16(4.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	190	12	51	0.8	46%	-0.22	46.8	7.05%	0	2.4	67	0
13	Mar_31_2016	22.24	17.51	18.12	18.33	18.32	18.66	19.24(6.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	130	7	44	0.99	46%	-0.27	39.8	7.08%	0	2	68	0
14	Mar_30_2016	22.3	17.41	17.84	18.12	18.11	18.19	18.05(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	30	-2	34	0.46	46%	-0.36	33.2	7.03%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Mar_29_2016	22.38	17.35	17.67	18.31	18.18	17.97	18.42(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-100	1	40	0.71	46%	-0.36	33	7.03%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Mar_28_2016	22.46	17.23	17.56	18.17	18.3	18.02	17.76(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-90	-1	34	0.42	44%	-0.4	6.8	7.01%	0	0.7	50	0
17	Mar_24_2016	22.55	17.21	17.48	18.07	18.19	18.4	18.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	100	3	33	0.57	44%	-0.35	-11.5	7.08%	0	1.3	57	0
18	Mar_23_2016	22.63	17.18	17.28	17.86	17.9	18.57	18.18(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	270	12	27	0.87	44%	-0.31	-30.8	7.09%	0	1.4	56	0
19	Mar_22_2016	22.7	17.17	17.15	17.51	17.35	17.98	19(7.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	230	17	17	0.99	44%	-0.26	-58.7	7.07%	0	2.6	57	0
20	Mar_21_2016	22.76	17.11	16.89	16.94	16.8	17.23	17.72(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	150	6	-4	0.77	41%	-0.22	-82.5	7%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Mar_18_2016	22.81	17.18	16.87	16.88	16.59	16.72	17.26(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	0	3	0	1.49	41%	-0.22	-68.4	6.99%	0	0.1	58	0
22	Mar_17_2016	22.86	17.29	16.85	16.81	16.66	16.37	17.15(4.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-150	3	-3	1.1	41%	-0.26	-60.5	6.99%	0	-0.1	49	0
23	Mar_16_2016	22.92	17.4	16.84	16.61	16.68	16.45	16.43(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-80	-6	-15	0.99	43%	-0.26	-52.5	6.97%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	Mar_15_2016	22.98	17.6	16.94	16.72	16.78	16.96	16.14(-7.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	90	-1	-14	0.73	45%	-0.3	-40.9	6.98%	0	-1.1	40	0
25	Mar_14_2016	23.05	17.79	17.02	16.81	16.77	16.9	17.41(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	50	1	-16	0.6	47%		-36.6	6.96%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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