Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $23.1500 (9.3%) ($19.9400 - $23.9000) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.36% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $23.1500(9.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(9%)    XBI(8%)    JETS(7%)    TBT(7%)    EWG(5%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -3.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.18% (StdDev 6.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $6.11(-73.61%)
Resistance Level   $24.37
5 Day Moving Average   $22.27(3.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.69(-2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.37(-5.01%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $2.535b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 9.03% (three month std-dev: 6.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.62%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.57%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.7%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	25.66	24.37	23.69	22.27	21.92	21.72	23.15(9.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-110	-1	-34	1.58	64%	-0.16	-45.8	6.36%	0	-0.6	52	INF
2	Jan_19_2016	25.7	24.56	23.7	22.37	22.26	21.5	21.18(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-250	-19	-46	1.61	62%	-0.46	-40.5	6.29%	0	-1.5	46	INF
3	Jan_15_2016	25.82	24.87	23.94	23.14	22.99	22.13	21.05(-8.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-280	-28	-48	1.36	62%	-0.31	-29.8	6.24%	0	-1.7	42	INF
4	Jan_14_2016	25.9	25.17	24.28	24.29	24.09	23.03	23.13(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-330	-30	-33	1.57	67%	-0.15	-15.2	6.15%	0	-1	47	INF
5	Jan_13_2016	25.94	25.32	24.39	25.61	25.47	23.84	22.86(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10	-460	-11	-6	2.12	64%	-0.12	0.4	6.18%	0	-1.2	46	INF

6	Jan_12_2016	25.97	25.42	24.57	25.27	26.47	25.16	23.65(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-200	-11	-23	1.67	64%	-0.04	-8.7	6.21%	0	-0.9	46	INF
7	Jan_11_2016	25.98	25.51	24.7	25.17	25.84	27.09	25.03(-6.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	420	2	-27	1.17	64%	-0.12	-14.9	6.17%	0	-0.3	49	INF
8	Jan_8_2016	26.01	25.54	24.89	24.8	25.18	27.78	26.79(-9.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	24	770	39	-21	2.22	67%	-0.04	-24.2	6.11%	0	0.7	52	INF
9	Jan_7_2016	26.02	25.49	24.82	24.27	23.96	24.6	29.7(40.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	19	150	37	-35	10.2	73%	0.04	-36.8	5.99%	0	2.2	60	INF
10	Jan_6_2016	26.01	25.31	24.44	23.14	23.14	22.58	21.18(-8.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-170	-34	-149	0.93	54%	-0.34	-63.7	3.22%	0	-2.5	26	INF

11	Jan_5_2016	26.1	25.59	25.04	23.8	23.72	23.33	23.16(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-130	-18	-104	1.01	60%	-0.27	-70.4	3.2%	0	-1.8	46	INF
12	Jan_4_2016	26.17	25.8	25.44	24.15	24.07	23.69	23.15(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-120	-33	-85	0.71	60%	-0.34	-67.6	3.21%	0	-2.2	42	INF
13	Dec_31_2015	26.26	26.02	25.86	24.95	24.72	24.11	24.16(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-200	-24	-41	0.76	68%	-0.19	-51.8	3.26%	0	-1.7	43	INF
14	Dec_30_2015	26.31	26.21	26.13	25.44	25.45	24.45	24.05(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-270	-30	-19	0.92	68%	-0.23	-31.1	3.3%	0	-2	42	INF
15	Dec_29_2015	26.37	26.39	26.35	25.94	26.04	25.33	24.49(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-180	-33	-6	0.8	68%	-0.23	-9.3	3.31%	0	-1.9	39	INF

16	Dec_28_2015	26.43	26.56	26.39	26.45	26.57	26.45	24.91(-8.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-11	-20	-17	9	0.84	62%	-0.15	18.9	3.33%	0	-1.8	43	INF
17	Dec_24_2015	26.47	26.64	26.45	26.89	26.85	26.76	27.16(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-30	0	21	0.29	65%	-0.08	41.2	3.31%	0	0.6	49	INF
18	Dec_23_2015	26.49	26.6	26.3	26.91	26.91	26.69	26.57(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-6	9	0.51	65%	-0.15	47.2	3.32%	0	-0	43	INF
19	Dec_22_2015	26.53	26.55	26.23	26.95	27.04	26.94	26.58(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-20	1	1	0.29	65%	-0.15	52.8	3.32%	0	0	40	INF
20	Dec_21_2015	26.57	26.48	26.24	26.81	26.92	27.13	27.05(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	70	15	-5	0.38	62%	-0.08	52.4	3.32%	0	0.6	45	INF

21	Dec_18_2015	26.59	26.39	26.16	26.32	26.52	27.14	27.08(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	190	21	-29	1.37	62%	-0.08	41.6	3.36%	0	0.7	43	INF
22	Dec_17_2015	26.61	26.29	26.15	25.92	25.93	26.71	27.27(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	210	23	-39	0.49	62%	-0.11	32.3	3.36%	0	1	56	INF
23	Dec_16_2015	26.64	26.21	26.14	25.62	25.46	25.9	26.78(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	100	17	-47	0.4	62%	-0.08	25.4	3.35%	0	0.6	53	INF
24	Dec_15_2015	26.66	26.08	26.23	25.44	25.31	25.15	25.87(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-60	-3	-48	0.43	60%	-0.07	14	3.33%	0	-0.2	56	INF
25	Dec_14_2015	26.68	25.99	26.39	25.6	25.48	25.02	24.58(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-140	-19	-35	0.49	58%		9.3	3.26%	0	-1.2	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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