Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $22.5400 (-1.01%) ($22.4200 - $23.8700) on Mon. Jun. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $22.5400(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    JETS(7%)    TBT(7%)    EWG(6%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    BND(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.45(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.95(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.03(7.18%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $2.468b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 5.09% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(31%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.9%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.34%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2015	20.41	21.03	21.95	22.45	22.57	22.81	22.54(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	90	12	112	0.5	65%	0.25	37.5	3%	0	1.4	79	INF
2	May_29_2015	20.36	20.92	21.73	22.29	22.29	22.52	22.77(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	70	10	107	0.28	65%	0.25	22.8	3.02%	0	1.8	82	INF
3	May_28_2015	20.31	20.78	21.49	22.13	22.1	22.33	22.51(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	70	13	109	0.2	65%	0.2	2.9	3.05%	0	1.9	83	INF
4	May_27_2015	20.27	20.71	21.26	21.9	21.88	22.07	22.36(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	60	16	105	0.47	65%	0.3	-15.3	3.07%	0	2	83	INF
5	May_26_2015	20.21	20.66	21.04	21.59	21.59	21.86	22.05(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	90	11	94	0.54	65%	0.35	-39.1	3.07%	0	1.8	77	INF

6	May_22_2015	20.14	20.64	20.84	21.38	21.35	21.7	21.74(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	110	19	87	0.32	65%	0.1	-45.5	3.04%	0	1.2	67	INF
7	May_21_2015	20.12	20.7	20.66	21.08	21.02	21.32	21.98(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	90	19	67	1.01	65%	0.25	-47.4	3.06%	0	1.2	64	INF
8	May_20_2015	20.07	20.76	20.42	20.76	20.69	20.99	21.39(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	90	14	44	0.23	65%	0.25	-52	3.07%	0	0.5	64	INF
9	May_19_2015	20.02	20.84	20.23	20.51	20.47	20.72	20.81(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	80	10	15	0.21	65%	0.2	-51.7	3.05%	0	-0	43	INF
10	May_18_2015	19.98	20.96	20.12	20.41	20.31	20.39	21(3.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	6	10	10	-7	0.24	65%	0.3	-49.1	3.05%	0	0	42	INF

11	May_15_2015	19.92	21.07	20.03	20.22	20.19	20.22	20.21(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	10	2	-37	0.2	62%	0	-48.3	3.01%	0	-0.6	29	INF
12	May_14_2015	19.92	21.23	20.05	20.16	20.16	20.23	20.4(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	20	7	-62	0.17	62%	0.25	-44	3.03%	0	-0.5	23	INF
13	May_13_2015	19.87	21.41	20.02	20.02	20.07	20.15	20.15(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	40	7	-99	0.25	65%	0.3	-42.2	3.05%	0	-0.8	19	INF
14	May_12_2015	19.81	21.55	20.12	19.9	19.85	20.08	20.28(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	70	6	-122	0.23	65%	0.25	-45.1	3.08%	0	-0.8	23	INF
15	May_11_2015	19.76	21.69	20.23	19.8	19.77	19.99	20.04(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	70	6	-144	0.3	65%	0.25	-46.9	3.08%	0	-1	20	INF

16	May_8_2015	19.71	21.83	20.41	19.82	19.74	19.61	19.95(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-60	-4	-161	0.32	65%	0.25	-46.3	3.04%	0	-1.2	19	INF
17	May_7_2015	19.66	21.97	20.73	19.94	19.9	19.54	19.66(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-130	-11	-161	0.42	65%	0.2	-46.7	3.06%	0	-1.5	14	INF
18	May_6_2015	19.62	22.12	21.12	20.03	20.16	19.88	19.57(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-56	-80	-20	-163	0.27	65%	0.31	-48.8	3.08%	0	-1.8	12	INF
19	May_5_2015	19.56	22.31	21.5	20.38	20.4	20.26	19.76(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-50	-17	-143	0.3	65%	0.26	-44.8	3.09%	0	-2	30	INF
20	May_4_2015	19.51	22.47	21.87	20.73	20.75	20.44	20.18(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-100	-15	-125	0.27	65%	0.26	-44.2	3.08%	0	-2	31	INF

21	May_1_2015	19.46	22.58	22.21	21.09	21.04	20.53	20.51(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-180	-31	-111	0.36	61%	0.26	-41.9	3.08%	0	-2	35	INF
22	Apr_30_2015	19.41	22.7	22.52	21.65	21.62	21.07	20.11(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-48	-180	-36	-82	0.5	61%	0.26	-30.2	3.1%	0	-2.8	33	INF
23	Apr_29_2015	19.36	22.83	22.94	22.37	22.33	21.56	21.34(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-250	-27	-34	0.21	66%	0.31	-20	3%	0	-2.1	44	INF
24	Apr_28_2015	19.3	22.9	23.12	22.78	22.85	22.17	21.52(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-200	-32	-17	0.39	61%	0.31	-25.8	2.99%	0	-2.2	39	INF
25	Apr_27_2015	19.24	22.98	23.29	23.18	23.31	23.1	21.99(-5.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-11	-50	-17	9	0.46	61%		-25.4	3.09%	0	-1.8	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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