Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $41.5000 (2.22%) ($40.6000 - $42.0000) on Thu. Sep. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $41.5000(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(10%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)    EWP(8%)    PEJ(8%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.28(3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.74(7.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.81(9.76%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $4.544b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.24%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2012	40.47	37.81	38.74	40.28	40.22	40.86	41.5(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	110	32	132	0.14	54%	-0.12	37.1	2.81%	0	2.1	77	0
2	Sep_5_2012	40.52	37.64	38.17	39.64	39.59	40.06	40.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	42	80	23	99	0.1	54%	-0.22	41.1	2.8%	0	2	62	0
3	Sep_4_2012	40.61	37.55	37.7	39.18	39.03	39.59	40.6(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	90	25	81	0.33	54%	-0.32	37.3	2.8%	0	2.2	66	0
4	Aug_31_2012	40.74	37.4	37.28	38.48	38.73	39.12	39.1(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	90	35	61	0.09	48%	-0.22	21.5	2.8%	0	1.4	61	0
5	Aug_30_2012	40.83	37.32	37.02	37.74	37.89	38.47	39.6(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	120	26	36	0.13	51%	-0.2	-10.8	2.81%	0	2	67	0

6	Aug_29_2012	40.91	37.18	36.7	36.96	37.11	38.33	38.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.2	27	240	34	6	0.09	49%	-0.2	-43.8	2.83%	0	1	49	0
7	Aug_28_2012	40.99	37.18	36.64	36.48	36.46	37.31	38.3(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	28	160	40	-10	0.15	49%	-0.27	-72.8	2.86%	0	1.1	46	0
8	Aug_27_2012	41.1	37.03	36.49	36.02	35.86	35.89	37.1(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10	7	-50	0.13	46%	-0.1	-83.6	2.86%	0	0.1	36	0
9	Aug_24_2012	41.14	37.15	36.47	35.92	35.89	35.61	35.4(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-60	-12	-68	0.06	42%	-0.41	-69.3	2.8%	0	-1.1	36	0
10	Aug_23_2012	41.31	37.45	36.58	36.18	36.12	35.84	35.7(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-60	-12	-67	0.06	42%	-0.29	-59.3	2.8%	0	-1.1	40	0

11	Aug_22_2012	41.43	37.68	36.83	36.38	36.3	36.16	35.9(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-30	-16	-58	0.06	42%	-0.36	-55.8	2.8%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Aug_21_2012	41.58	37.87	37.1	36.8	36.64	36.4	36(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-60	-8	-25	0.07	42%	-0.34	-54.2	2.83%	0	-1.2	57	0
13	Aug_20_2012	41.72	38.08	37.43	37.02	36.94	36.44	36.6(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-100	-11	-16	0.05	42%	-0.33	-55.1	2.84%	0	-0.9	44	0
14	Aug_17_2012	41.86	38.25	37.57	37.1	37.08	36.88	36.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-40	-9	-20	0.11	40%	-0.31	-59.4	2.89%	0	-1	41	0
15	Aug_16_2012	41.99	38.43	37.68	37.04	37.13	37.44	36.7(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	70	-3	-39	0.06	37%	-0.26	-65.1	2.9%	0	-1.1	36	0

16	Aug_15_2012	42.1	38.59	37.74	37.34	37.14	37.29	38(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	10	3	-44	0.05	39%	-0.21	-59.8	2.93%	0	-0.4	43	0
17	Aug_14_2012	42.19	38.77	37.48	37.48	37.41	36.81	37.1(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-120	-16	-70	0.04	39%	-0.24	-55.6	2.91%	0	-0.9	44	0
18	Aug_13_2012	42.29	38.99	37.62	37.92	37.89	36.99	37(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-170	-27	-71	0.07	39%	-0.24	-51.4	2.92%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	Aug_10_2012	42.39	39.23	37.87	38.12	38.48	38.01	36.4(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-60	-19	-63	0.15	43%	-0.26	-53.4	2.98%	0	-1.6	41	0
20	Aug_9_2012	42.5	39.49	38.38	38.38	38.66	38.79	38.2(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	50	4	-41	0.05	35%	-0.19	-59.4	2.93%	0	-0.8	44	0

21	Aug_8_2012	42.58	39.62	38.59	38.16	38.4	38.94	38.7(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	120	18	-27	0.07	39%	-0.16	-71.4	4.05%	0	-0.5	46	0
22	Aug_7_2012	42.65	39.77	38.67	37.46	37.92	38.53	39.3(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	150	13	-50	0.13	39%	-0.16	-81.3	4.13%	0	-0.3	42	0
23	Aug_6_2012	42.72	39.95	38.75	37.32	37.48	37.86	38(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	80	1	-63	0.1	39%	-0.16	-79.2	4.11%	0	-1	38	0
24	Aug_3_2012	42.79	40.23	38.95	37.64	37.73	37.32	37.7(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-70	-13	-69	0.11	35%	-0.14	-72	4.16%	0	-1.2	36	0
25	Aug_2_2012	42.85	40.54	39.2	38.44	38.53	37.11	37.1(5.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-250	-28	-64	0.15	35%		-54.5	4.2%	0	-1.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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