Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $32.1000 (3.22%) ($30.8000 - $33.0000) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.7% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $32.1000(3.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(11%)    EWG(9%)    EWI(9%)    EWP(9%)    PEJ(9%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -2.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.35% (StdDev 4.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.42(5.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.83(7.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.03(10.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   76.4%
Market Cap   $3.515b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 4.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 8.05%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 8.17%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	24.86	29.03	29.83	30.42	30.64	31.24	32.1(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	160	22	60	0.23	63%	0.04	71.3	4.7%	0	2.6	73	0
2	Nov_30_2011	24.85	28.72	29.51	29.86	30.02	30.34	31.1(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	90	10	49	0.52	65%	0.08	54.8	4.68%	0	2.2	72	0
3	Nov_29_2011	24.83	28.43	29.2	29.52	29.67	30.04	29.8(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	100	6	38	0.11	65%	-0.04	32.5	4.7%	0	1.2	57	0
4	Nov_28_2011	24.84	28.29	28.99	29.46	29.44	29.7	30(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	60	12	38	0.2	65%	0.04	23.7	4.7%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Nov_25_2011	24.83	28.24	28.82	29.12	29.07	29.3	29.1(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	50	2	23	0.04	65%	-0.16	23.5	4.71%	0	0.8	50	0

6	Nov_23_2011	24.87	28.22	28.69	29.14	28.93	29.18	29.3(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	40	4	25	0.09	67%	0.08	30	4.71%	0	1	59	0
7	Nov_22_2011	24.85	28.13	28.51	29.1	28.91	28.84	29.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-40	7	32	0.08	67%	0.16	40.1	4.76%	0	1.2	66	0
8	Nov_21_2011	24.81	28.05	28.42	28.82	28.76	28.69	29.5(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-20	4	39	0.15	67%	0.12	52.1	4.76%	0	1.4	69	0
9	Nov_18_2011	24.78	28.02	28.25	28.44	28.49	28.99	28.3(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	130	3	32	0.14	58%	0.04	72.5	4.83%	0	0.3	56	0
10	Nov_17_2011	24.77	27.98	28.32	28.46	28.26	28.84	29.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	120	14	36	0.17	58%	0.04	91	4.98%	0	1.2	49	0

11	Nov_16_2011	24.76	27.9	28.16	28.16	28	28	29.1(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-20	9	22	0.19	58%	0.04	87.4	4.98%	0	1	51	0
12	Nov_15_2011	24.75	27.7	27.86	27.84	27.81	27.69	28(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-30	-5	4	0.07	61%	0.04	75	5%	0	0.2	53	0
13	Nov_14_2011	24.74	27.51	27.61	27.96	27.92	28	27.6(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	20	-1	-2	0.07	61%	0	69.9	5.09%	0	0.1	50	0
14	Nov_11_2011	24.74	27.3	27.56	28.02	28.04	27.93	28.4(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-30	-1	-9	0.09	61%	0.08	74	5.08%	0	0.6	48	0
15	Nov_10_2011	24.72	27.08	27.62	28.02	28.09	27.85	27.7(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-70	-4	-0	0.08	61%	0.12	89.6	5.07%	0	0.3	52	0

16	Nov_9_2011	24.69	26.93	27.62	28.16	28.22	28.15	27.5(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10	4	8	0.17	65%	0.08	94.8	5.08%	0	0.3	51	0
17	Nov_8_2011	24.67	26.69	27.73	27.86	28.03	28.34	28.6(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	100	13	13	0.09	59%	0.12	91.2	5.45%	0	0.8	63	0
18	Nov_7_2011	24.64	26.37	27.65	27.18	27.39	28.29	27.9(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	250	10	12	0.2	59%	0.08	79.3	5.78%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Nov_4_2011	24.62	26	27.76	27.02	26.73	27.71	29.1(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	220	10	30	0.17	56%	0.16	70.7	5.76%	0	1	71	0
20	Nov_3_2011	24.58	25.48	27.59	27.06	26.65	26.49	27.7(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-90	1	41	0.74	54%	0.08	67.3	5.84%	0	0.7	64	0

21	Nov_2_2011	24.56	25.06	27.58	27.3	27.12	25.76	26(3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-370	-16	53	0.08	52%	0.04	66.1	5.84%	0	0.3	58	0
22	Nov_1_2011	24.55	24.72	27.54	27.6	27.76	26.81	25.2(-7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-220	-23	69	0.11	55%	0	65.6	5.82%	0	0.1	63	0
23	Oct_31_2011	24.55	24.43	27.45	28.14	28.08	28.48	27.1(-7.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	90	-7	98	0.17	57%	0.08	66.3	5.87%	0	0.7	70	0
24	Oct_28_2011	24.53	24	27.08	28.54	28.19	28.71	29.3(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	90	14	135	0.2	63%	0.16	67	5.79%	0	1.3	82	0
25	Oct_27_2011	24.49	23.46	26.54	28.2	28.01	27.68	28.9(5.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-100	4	144	0.27	61%		66.3	6.14%	0	1.4	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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