Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $30.6000 (2%) ($29.7000 - $32.1000) on Tue. Dec. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $30.6000(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 17.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    EWG(13%)    PEJ(13%)    EWI(12%)    EWP(12%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.76(10.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.82(18.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.17(32.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.9%
Market Cap   $3.351b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 14.42% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 7.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2010	19.48	23.17	25.82	27.76	27.7	29.64	30.6(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	146	480	73	365	0.26	78%	0.57	70.5	3.05%	0	2.2	89	0
2	Dec_20_2010	19.37	22.62	24.85	26.74	26.32	27.52	30(9.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	132	270	65	332	0.19	79%	0.41	69.7	3.07%	0	2.5	89	0
3	Dec_17_2010	19.29	22.07	23.84	25.62	25.48	25.76	27.3(5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	104	60	42	288	0.39	77%	0.26	69.6	2.91%	0	2.2	81	0
4	Dec_16_2010	19.24	21.67	23.1	24.76	24.79	25.11	26(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	90	21	231	0.1	73%	0.21	64.5	2.86%	0	2.1	71	0
5	Dec_15_2010	19.2	21.31	22.52	24.18	24.23	25.19	24.9(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	280	38	212	0.08	72%	0.16	57.3	2.89%	0	1.9	73	0

6	Dec_14_2010	19.17	21.04	22.05	23.54	23.55	24.48	25.5(4.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	95	280	59	202	0.19	72%	0.16	48.5	2.86%	0	2.6	79	0
7	Dec_13_2010	19.14	20.77	21.48	22.65	22.58	23.26	24.4(6.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	73	200	47	149	0.09	71%	0.21	40.3	2.86%	0	2.7	69	0
8	Dec_10_2010	19.1	20.52	21.07	21.79	21.8	22.63	23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	270	42	114	0.12	69%	0.1	24.7	2.77%	0	2.3	68	0
9	Dec_9_2010	19.08	20.4	20.88	21.17	21.11	21.89	23.1(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	55	250	42	95	0.12	69%	0.21	11.1	2.77%	0	2.9	67	0
10	Dec_8_2010	19.04	20.27	20.57	20.63	20.52	20.98	21.7(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	140	25	71	0.09	66%	0.11	-3.3	2.67%	0	2.1	66	0

11	Dec_7_2010	19.02	20.24	20.32	20.35	20.27	20.33	21.05(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	10	14	45	0.22	65%	0.11	-2.5	2.65%	0	1.2	57	0
12	Dec_6_2010	19	20.23	20.22	20.14	20.19	20.06	20.1(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-40	-7	20	0.12	63%	0	2.8	2.6%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	Dec_3_2010	19	20.26	20.17	20.24	20.23	20.2	19.9(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10	-15	20	0.05	63%	0	23.6	2.62%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Dec_2_2010	19	20.3	20.16	20.54	20.39	20.33	20.4(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-40	2	35	0.02	63%	0	53.5	2.6%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Dec_1_2010	19	20.29	20.03	20.5	20.49	20.26	20.3(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-80	6	15	0.06	66%	0	65.2	2.6%	0	0	47	0

16	Nov_30_2010	19	20.25	19.97	20.28	20.37	20.45	20(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	40	-4	-18	0.13	62%	0	57.2	2.75%	0	-0.4	44	0
17	Nov_29_2010	19	20.21	20.03	20.3	20.2	20.71	20.6(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	160	19	-14	0.25	64%	0	56.2	2.75%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Nov_26_2010	19	20.1	19.94	20.08	19.93	20.29	21.4(5.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	12	100	27	-33	0.03	67%	0.05	37.6	2.71%	0	1.5	54	0
19	Nov_24_2010	18.99	19.95	19.87	19.74	19.63	19.69	20.2(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	0	13	-61	0.05	60%	0.05	20.2	2.59%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Nov_23_2010	18.98	19.87	19.92	19.5	19.54	19.69	19.2(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	20	-4	-77	0.19	57%	0	7.9	2.62%	0	-0.7	44	0

21	Nov_22_2010	18.98	19.86	20.13	19.62	19.51	19.58	20.1(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	10	-4	-53	0.05	61%	0.05	9.7	2.57%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Nov_19_2010	18.97	19.81	20.23	19.72	19.64	19.5	19.5(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-60	-3	-26	0.03	55%	0.05	9.8	2.56%	0	-0.3	56	0
23	Nov_18_2010	18.96	19.79	20.34	19.78	19.82	19.45	19.7(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-120	-18	-4	0.07	55%	0.05	8.2	2.63%	0	-0.1	64	0
24	Nov_17_2010	18.95	19.77	20.45	20.02	20.03	19.78	19(-4.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-90	-26	34	0.09	53%	0	15.4	2.61%	0	-0.8	60	0
25	Nov_16_2010	18.95	19.8	20.6	20.4	20.35	20.19	19.8(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-60	-16	83	0.05	56%		29	2.59%	0	0	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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