Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $22.2000 (-2.2%) ($21.3000 - $22.9000) on Tue. Jul. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $22.2000(-2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    EWG(13%)    PEJ(13%)    SPY(13%)    EEM(12%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.1(5.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.51(8.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.02(10.89%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $2.431b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 5.09% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 14.69%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.66%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 13.25%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.44%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2010	17.08	20.02	20.51	21.1	21.12	22.06	22.2(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	310	31	56	0.07	72%	0.41	44.6	3.76%	0	2.1	68	0
2	Jul_26_2010	17.01	19.91	20.3	20.58	20.44	21.14	22.7(9.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	35	220	33	42	0.13	72%	0.47	41.4	3.79%	0	3.2	76	0
3	Jul_23_2010	16.93	19.78	19.99	19.98	19.86	20.18	20.8(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	90	15	15	0.04	69%	0.42	41.2	3.65%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Jul_22_2010	16.86	19.7	19.94	19.72	19.65	19.75	20.2(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	20	4	14	0.07	69%	0.3	30.3	3.65%	0	0.9	72	0
5	Jul_21_2010	16.81	19.61	19.93	19.7	19.61	19.75	19.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-4	22	0.02	69%	0.3	18.4	3.63%	0	-0	65	0

6	Jul_20_2010	16.76	19.58	19.96	19.82	19.63	19.55	19.6(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-60	-7	33	0.02	69%	0.24	17.5	3.66%	0	0	58	0
7	Jul_19_2010	16.72	19.55	19.94	19.96	19.79	19.68	19.7(1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-60	-3	37	0.01	69%	0.3	23.3	3.66%	0	0.2	46	0
8	Jul_16_2010	16.67	19.52	19.88	20	19.94	19.71	19.5(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-90	-8	26	0.04	64%	0.3	31.6	3.66%	0	-0	41	0
9	Jul_15_2010	16.62	19.53	19.79	20	20.03	19.91	20.1(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-60	-4	28	0.03	66%	0.3	49.7	3.76%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Jul_14_2010	16.57	19.49	19.65	20.18	20.14	20.18	20.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	10	2	33	0.04	66%	0.3	68.7	3.84%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Jul_13_2010	16.52	19.46	19.53	20.12	20.19	20.15	20.3(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-0	7	34	0.04	67%	0.36	87.8	3.84%	0	1.3	59	0
12	Jul_12_2010	16.46	19.39	19.49	19.92	20.06	20.1	19.9(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	40	4	33	0.05	67%	0.24	92.8	3.85%	0	0.8	58	0
13	Jul_9_2010	16.42	19.31	19.54	19.74	19.91	20.24	20.4(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	140	16	40	0.05	67%	0.24	81	3.83%	0	1.7	58	0
14	Jul_8_2010	16.38	19.19	19.43	19.34	19.57	20.01	20.1(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	190	18	21	0.07	67%	0.37	61.9	3.84%	0	1.4	53	0
15	Jul_7_2010	16.32	19.05	19.25	19.04	19.08	19.58	19.9(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	190	12	-3	0.09	67%	0.31	37.1	3.85%	0	1.1	53	0

16	Jul_6_2010	16.27	18.92	19.15	18.86	18.89	19.13	19.3(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	90	3	-21	0.12	67%	0.25	27.5	3.84%	0	0.5	47	0
17	Jul_2_2010	16.23	18.83	19.11	19.02	18.84	18.58	19(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-120	-12	-20	0.03	67%	0.25	27	3.81%	0	0.2	52	0
18	Jul_1_2010	16.19	18.83	19.13	19.32	19.16	18.65	18.4(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-210	-14	-0	0.04	67%	0.25	41.5	3.83%	0	-0.4	55	0
19	Jun_30_2010	16.15	18.79	19.25	19.52	19.51	19.11	18.6(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-150	-5	24	0.04	65%	0.25	59.9	3.79%	0	-0.2	57	0
20	Jun_29_2010	16.11	18.77	19.35	19.46	19.46	19.66	19(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	70	-1	42	0.07	65%	0.25	62.7	3.81%	0	0.2	66	0

21	Jun_28_2010	16.07	18.69	19.42	19.44	19.25	19.91	20.1(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	210	18	70	0.05	69%	0.37	64.4	3.74%	0	1.5	74	0
22	Jun_25_2010	16.01	18.6	19.29	19.2	18.99	19.25	20.5(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	60	18	72	0.96	69%	0.38	69	3.73%	0	2.1	72	0
23	Jun_24_2010	15.95	18.43	19.06	18.94	18.82	18.59	19.4(6.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	10	-100	-5	53	0.05	63%	0.25	64.9	3.68%	0	1.2	61	0
24	Jun_23_2010	15.91	18.27	18.94	18.98	19.01	18.73	18.3(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-100	-13	51	0.03	66%	0.19	39.5	3.7%	0	0	50	0
25	Jun_22_2010	15.88	18.2	18.84	19.22	19.28	19.05	18.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-70	-8	54	0.02	64%		30.2	4.04%	0	0.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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