Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $48.0000 (2.13%) ($47.0000 - $49.1000) on Fri. Oct. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.0000(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-7%)    OIH(-7%)    GLD(-7%)    EWP(-7%)    EEM(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.96(4.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.53(7.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.61(7.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.8%
Market Cap   $5.256b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 3.92% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.11%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.14%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.18%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2007	43.25	44.61	44.53	45.96	46.44	47.56	48(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	200	38	59	0.01	55%	0.05	40.8	3.1%	0	1.9	69	0
2	Oct_4_2007	43.23	44.57	44.1	44.94	45.33	46.78	47(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	43	250	47	31	0.01	55%	0	50.4	3.11%	0	1.5	52	0
3	Oct_3_2007	43.23	44.45	43.84	44.06	44.25	45.33	47(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	34	180	43	8	0.02	55%	0.07	50.4	3.13%	0	1.6	56	0
4	Oct_2_2007	43.2	44.23	43.75	43.24	43.39	43.89	43.8(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	90	18	-19	0.01	55%	-0.05	41.5	3%	0	-0.3	44	0
5	Oct_1_2007	43.22	44.09	43.67	43.08	43.01	43.18	44(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	20	9	-34	0	55%	-0.02	39.6	3.16%	0	-0.1	47	0

6	Sep_28_2007	43.23	43.91	43.54	42.88	42.9	42.89	42.9(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-0	-4	-53	0	55%	-0.07	28.6	3.15%	0	-0.5	45	0
7	Sep_27_2007	43.26	43.78	43.83	43.12	43.02	42.84	42.6(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-40	-11	-59	0	55%	-0.12	27	3.15%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Sep_26_2007	43.31	43.68	44.05	43.58	43.34	42.91	42.9(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-90	-22	-54	0	55%	-0.09	30.5	3.15%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Sep_25_2007	43.35	43.56	44.33	43.58	44.03	43.2	43(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-18	-150	-16	-23	0	55%	-0.14	37	3.16%	0	-0.2	54	0
10	Sep_24_2007	43.41	43.44	44.56	44.34	44.76	43.78	43(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-120	-15	-6	0	55%	-0.14	35.7	3.17%	0	-0.2	58	0

11	Sep_21_2007	43.47	43.37	44.76	44.26	44.68	44.86	44.1(-1.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-12	60	-19	10	0.01	55%	-0.14	35.1	3.16%	0	0.3	62	0
12	Sep_20_2007	43.53	43.22	45.12	44.62	44.69	45.75	44.9(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	170	22	68	0.01	55%	-0.16	38	3.16%	0	0.7	64	0
13	Sep_19_2007	43.6	43	45.13	44.6	44.5	44.49	46.7(8.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10	19	88	0.04	57%	-0.07	37.8	3.14%	0	1.4	67	0
14	Sep_18_2007	43.63	42.69	44.73	44.4	44.23	43.63	43(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-110	-28	83	0.01	53%	-0.14	42	2.95%	0	0.1	62	0
15	Sep_17_2007	43.69	42.57	44.56	44.84	44.86	44.51	42.6(-7.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	15	-50	-15	105	0.02	53%	-0.11	51.5	2.95%	0	0	60	0

16	Sep_14_2007	43.74	42.5	44.35	45.28	45.11	44.84	45.9(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-50	-16	120	0.01	58%	-0.07	62.2	2.81%	0	1.3	66	0
17	Sep_13_2007	43.77	42.26	43.76	45.7	45.4	45.2	44.8(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-50	-8	136	0.03	58%	-0.07	75.5	2.8%	0	1.1	64	0
18	Sep_12_2007	43.8	42.05	43.31	45.72	45.79	45.39	45.7(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-60	11	147	0	58%	-0.07	82.6	2.79%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Sep_11_2007	43.83	41.68	42.74	45.1	45.36	45.6	45.2(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	50	14	130	0.01	58%	-0.09	79.2	2.79%	0	1.5	67	0
20	Sep_10_2007	43.87	41.32	42.24	44.2	44.43	46.19	44.8(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	290	51	120	0.01	58%	-0.09	71.4	2.79%	0	1.5	67	0

21	Sep_7_2007	43.91	40.99	41.86	43.2	43.04	45.11	48(6.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	98	330	93	113	0.01	61%	-0.02	64.1	2.67%	0	3.2	77	0
22	Sep_6_2007	43.92	40.53	41.09	41.56	41.49	42.68	44.9(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	60	200	63	50	0	57%	-0.14	67.9	2.55%	0	2.9	66	0
23	Sep_5_2007	43.98	40.21	40.62	40.6	40.54	40.98	42.6(4.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	70	27	4	0	50%	-0.23	67.3	2.48%	0	2.1	61	0
24	Sep_4_2007	44.08	39.95	40.4	40.08	40.54	40.31	40.7(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	20	6	-9	0	44%	-0.43	43.9	2.47%	0	0.7	67	0
25	Aug_31_2007	44.27	39.76	40.37	40	40.33	40.11	39.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10	-11	-6	0	50%		21.7	2.48%	0	0	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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