Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $60.4000 (6.15%) ($57.8000 - $60.8000) on Wed. Aug. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $60.4000(6.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    VWO(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.96(4.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.44(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.1(7.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   63.2%
Market Cap   $6.614b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.73%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2005	44.63	56.1	58.44	57.96	58.16	58.41	60.4(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	13	73	0	71%	0.29	37.7	3.55%	0	1.5	60	NAN
2	Aug_16_2005	44.5	55.81	57.88	57.48	57.39	58.28	56.9(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	100	-3	65	0	69%	0.16	39.3	3.48%	0	0.4	58	NAN
3	Aug_15_2005	44.43	55.69	57.57	58.1	57.59	57.91	58.5(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	16	84	0	69%	0.34	55.9	3.46%	0	1.1	59	NAN
4	Aug_12_2005	44.28	55.43	56.82	58.24	57.94	56.5	59.5(9.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-190	-13	69	0	71%	0.27	67.2	3.49%	0	1.6	62	NAN
5	Aug_11_2005	44.16	55.09	56.17	57.94	58.56	57.26	54.5(-6.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-23	-120	-48	51	0	68%	0.16	78.7	3.34%	0	-0.2	52	NAN

6	Aug_10_2005	44.09	55.07	56.18	58.94	59.19	59.38	58(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	40	-0	94	0	69%	0.27	103.1	3.23%	0	1.2	59	NAN
7	Aug_9_2005	43.97	54.79	55.73	58.28	59.16	59.86	60(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	130	42	95	0	72%	0.32	95.9	3.26%	0	1.9	61	NAN
8	Aug_8_2005	43.83	54.24	55.09	56.92	57.64	59	59.2(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	200	45	69	0	72%	0.32	84.6	3.27%	0	1.9	61	NAN
9	Aug_5_2005	43.69	53.72	54.46	55.16	55.79	58.45	58(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	370	62	42	0	72%	0.23	67.6	3.28%	0	1.6	62	NAN
10	Aug_4_2005	43.59	53.23	54.06	54.16	53.84	56.29	59.5(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	64	300	74	33	0.01	72%	0.32	55.6	3.26%	0	2.3	67	NAN

11	Aug_3_2005	43.45	52.62	53.48	53.1	52.38	53.14	54.7(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	23	60	32	-3	0	69%	0.14	50.9	3.1%	0	0.9	53	NAN
12	Aug_2_2005	43.39	52.34	53.47	52.86	52.29	51.4	53.2(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-150	-10	-18	0.01	69%	0.07	51.3	3.09%	0	0.3	54	NAN
13	Aug_1_2005	43.36	52.1	53.59	53.02	52.74	51.63	50.4(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-160	-39	-8	0	66%	-0.12	64.4	3.03%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
14	Jul_29_2005	43.41	52	53.94	53.58	53.42	53.18	53(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-40	-19	28	0	74%	-0.09	81.2	2.98%	0	0.4	70	NAN
15	Jul_28_2005	43.45	51.76	53.95	53.86	53.81	53.85	54.2(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	0	-0	59	0	74%	-0.05	97.4	3.05%	0	0.9	77	NAN

16	Jul_27_2005	43.47	51.43	53.92	53.9	54.07	53.67	53.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-40	-5	81	0	74%	0	112.4	3.06%	0	0.7	78	NAN
17	Jul_26_2005	43.47	51.09	53.85	54.18	54.05	53.76	54(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-40	-16	98	0	74%	0.05	120.9	3.06%	0	1	70	NAN
18	Jul_25_2005	43.45	50.51	53.4	54.28	54.05	54.48	53.2(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	20	2	115	0	74%	0	107.9	3.07%	0	0.8	71	NAN
19	Jul_22_2005	43.45	49.9	53	54.34	54.41	54.34	54.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	38	-10	8	126	0	74%	0.07	93.9	3.07%	0	1.1	77	NAN
20	Jul_21_2005	43.42	49.17	52.39	54.04	53.94	54.35	54.4(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	50	0	120	0	75%	0.09	82.4	3.07%	0	1.2	75	NAN

21	Jul_20_2005	43.38	48.4	51.72	53.94	53.84	54.48	54.9(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	80	25	131	0	76%	0.05	73	3.09%	0	1.3	78	NAN
22	Jul_19_2005	43.36	47.69	51.12	53.48	53.41	53.53	54.5(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	10	25	133	0	76%	-0.14	73.3	3.13%	0	1.4	80	NAN
23	Jul_18_2005	43.42	46.97	50.45	52.38	52.73	53.2	53.5(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	80	19	133	0	76%	-0.16	70.6	3.13%	0	1.4	86	NAN
24	Jul_15_2005	43.49	46.36	49.87	51.44	51.8	53.3	52.9(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	220	40	152	0	68%	-0.16	70.4	3.13%	0	1.4	87	NAN
25	Jul_14_2005	43.56	45.72	49.36	50.46	50.66	52.25	53.9(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	82	230	55	163	0	68%		70	3.37%	0	1.8	92	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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