Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 13, 2018

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $672.5000 (-0.59%) ($666.0000 - $689.0000) on Tue. Feb. 13, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.03% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $672.5000(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 15.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(11%)    UUP(10%)    VXX(3%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    XME(-39%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.015% (StdDev 4.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $696.1(-3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $647.82(3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $593.38(13.33%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   37.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.28% (three month std-dev: 4.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.54%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2018	631.53	593.38	647.82	696.1	699.1	685.06	672.5(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-250	-130	-361	83	0.1	51%	0.15	53.9	4.03%	0	1.1	78	-1.2
2	Feb_12_2018	630.58	585.09	637.25	694.35	700.01	713.75	676.5(-7.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	147	160	100	286	0.2	51%	0.11	49.7	4.03%	0	1.3	70	-1.4
3	Feb_9_2018	629.9	577.59	624.75	681.9	688.85	713.14	733.5(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	569	280	599	480	0.38	56%	0.17	44.8	3.94%	0	2.3	71	-1.7
4	Feb_8_2018	628.83	568.95	601.83	655.05	657.7	686.27	706.25(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	484	320	512	399	0.17	56%	0.16	41.3	3.91%	0	2.3	68	-2.5
5	Feb_7_2018	627.82	562.15	582.56	622.65	630.67	664.56	691.75(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	652	410	727	426	0.23	56%	0.18	32.1	3.91%	0	2.6	67	-1.8

6	Feb_6_2018	626.68	556.52	561.92	592.8	598.31	629.13	663.75(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	552	390	626	330	0.28	52%	0.12	23.7	3.88%	0	2.6	68	-2
7	Feb_5_2018	625.93	551.37	546.94	572.45	573.59	596.78	614.25(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	443	290	505	255	0.26	49%	0.09	9.5	3.83%	0	1.9	67	-2.9
8	Feb_2_2018	625.39	548.17	539.67	559.25	559.48	567.5	599.25(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	298	100	340	173	0.5	49%	0.09	-7	3.83%	0	1.7	60	-2.2
9	Feb_1_2018	624.84	545.65	534.35	540.75	546.81	550.4	544.25(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	80	76	31	0.27	44%	-0.02	-32.9	3.6%	0	-0.1	45	-0.5
10	Jan_31_2018	624.98	546.64	535.32	535.65	536.54	551.46	542.5(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	191	200	229	75	0.34	44%	0.03	-42	3.6%	0	-0.1	43	-1.6

11	Jan_30_2018	624.81	547.01	534.45	525.2	524.17	543.22	562(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	358	250	436	122	0.24	44%	0.05	-63.2	3.6%	0	0.5	44	-1.9
12	Jan_29_2018	624.52	548.22	528.96	517.4	508.88	521.63	548.25(8.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	158	130	210	-0	0.34	44%	0.09	-77.3	3.6%	0	0	46	-2.1
13	Jan_26_2018	623.96	550.27	527.12	517.85	511.12	505.13	506.75(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-120	25	-86	0.23	43%	0.04	-80.9	3.44%	0	-1.5	43	136.8
14	Jan_25_2018	623.69	554.77	534.16	527.5	521.98	496.13	518.75(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-365	-380	-408	-236	0.47	43%	0.01	-86.8	3.51%	0	-1.2	45	137.4
15	Jan_24_2018	623.64	558.57	540.82	535.25	533.77	517.12	490.25(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-505	-230	-577	-287	0.35	40%	-0.01	-93.1	3.43%	0	-2.3	38	-1.4

16	Jan_23_2018	623.68	565.1	551.69	544.1	547.42	547.84	523(-5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	3	20	12	-24	0.24	42%	-0.17	-113.5	3.36%	0	-1.6	47	0.1
17	Jan_22_2018	624.73	570.92	557.07	541.05	542.17	550.41	550.5(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	110	130	12	0.17	44%	0.04	-133.8	3.31%	0	-0.8	43	0.9
18	Jan_19_2018	624.47	575.66	557.94	537.45	533.97	547	555(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	148	150	190	20	0.16	44%	0.04	-133.8	3.33%	0	-0.7	43	1
19	Jan_18_2018	624.21	581.83	558.04	542.4	534.08	533.94	557.5(4.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	74	-50	104	-18	0.3	44%	-0.02	-125.1	3.33%	0	-0.8	43	-INF
20	Jan_17_2018	624.33	587.88	558.84	548.65	543.47	520.94	534.5(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-321	-320	-360	-203	0.3	42%	-0.03	-117.1	3.28%	0	-1.5	38	INF

21	Jan_16_2018	624.52	596.65	560.74	561.4	559.19	534.22	507.75(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-605	-320	-694	-336	0.27	42%	-0.11	-98.3	3.21%	0	-2.1	27	INF
22	Jan_12_2018	625.18	606.69	569.55	574.95	578.91	566	532.5(-8.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-306	-140	-345	-188	0.31	44%	-0.17	-82.3	3.2%	0	-1.5	27	INF
23	Jan_11_2018	626.27	615.15	575.89	580.1	584.81	584.16	579.75(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-77	20	-73	-90	0.15	48%	-0.1	-81.3	3.04%	0	-0.7	31	INF
24	Jan_10_2018	626.91	624.73	577.28	575.2	580	591.81	588.75(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	113	170	161	-31	0.18	48%	-0.11	-75.8	3.05%	0	-0.7	27	INF
25	Jan_9_2018	627.62	633.43	577.53	570.65	574.72	585.46	598.25(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	288	150	377	20	0.24	48%		-61.8	3.05%	0	-0.5	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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