Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1033.0000 (2.97%) ($978.5000 - $1035.5000) on Thu. Mar. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.06% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $1033.0000(2.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 20% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(14%)    TBT(13%)    IPO(5%)    VIXM(1%)    PAVE(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.53% (StdDev 7.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $977.5(5.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $907.8(13.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $790.85(30.62%)
To recent high   -39.2%
To recent low   69.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 17.45% (three month std-dev: 7.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.34%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.42%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 12.69%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.68%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2017	1041.97	790.85	907.8	977.5	988.45	1009.16	1033(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	198	180	183	243	0.28	55%	0.1	68.8	7.06%	0	1.8	91	INF
2	Mar_8_2017	1040.92	769.16	874.96	957.25	966.6	997.34	1003.25(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	321	250	328	300	0.32	55%	-0.02	62.1	7.18%	0	1.8	85	INF
3	Mar_7_2017	1041.09	749.87	844.97	919.6	940.12	967.74	984(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	361	270	379	308	0.35	55%	-0.15	52	7.18%	0	1.9	84	INF
4	Mar_6_2017	1042.69	731.15	814.21	889.45	904.88	935.86	967.5(7.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	299	290	308	270	0.41	55%	-0.22	39.2	7.19%	0	2.2	84	INF
5	Mar_3_2017	1045.02	716.52	783.38	862.85	871.96	912.49	899.75(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	417	360	449	322	0.52	53%	-0.22	30.5	7.07%	0	1.9	84	INF

6	Mar_2_2017	1047.37	706.06	756.76	826.7	833.36	873.91	931.75(14.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	480	360	530	330	0.41	50%	-0.25	13	7.11%	0	2.7	81	INF
7	Mar_1_2017	1050.03	695.92	727.95	780.45	782.53	831.44	815(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	418	450	464	281	0.49	46%	-0.45	-6.3	6.98%	0	1.8	80	INF
8	Feb_28_2017	1054.8	692.02	711.5	758.1	740.95	792.81	833.25(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	497	420	559	309	0.49	43%	-0.35	-17.7	6.92%	0	2.2	76	INF
9	Feb_27_2017	1058.47	690.64	692.5	727.05	713.44	733.63	834.5(16.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	371	140	417	233	0.49	43%	-0.37	-27.1	7.06%	0	2.3	77	INF
10	Feb_24_2017	1062.39	688.89	670.85	693	692.91	689.09	719(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-40	32	49	0.28	37%	-0.49	-43.2	6.73%	0	0.5	52	INF

11	Feb_23_2017	1067.66	695.36	664.1	676	680.52	693.25	700.5(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	150	26	27	0.29	42%	-0.42	-43.7	6.77%	0	0.1	47	INF
12	Feb_22_2017	1072.16	700.19	655.12	667.1	669.7	696.72	703.25(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	207	290	246	90	0.37	42%	-0.43	-47.8	7.05%	0	0	41	INF
13	Feb_21_2017	1076.83	703.35	647.61	657.4	661.11	667.78	678(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	184	90	225	60	0.33	42%	0.02	-53.2	7.02%	0	-0.3	38	INF
14	Feb_17_2017	1076.6	708.26	642.17	652.4	650.7	642.69	664.25(4.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-87	-90	-85	-91	0.27	42%	-0.15	-57.9	7%	0	-0.5	29	INF
15	Feb_16_2017	1078.22	717.24	644.94	645.45	651.64	654.44	634(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	60	-48	-95	0.27	42%	-0.16	-59.2	7.04%	0	-0.9	25	INF

16	Feb_15_2017	1079.97	729.32	652.26	649.9	655.38	658.72	656(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	73	60	112	-44	0.31	40%	-0.2	-59.3	7.04%	0	-0.8	24	INF
17	Feb_14_2017	1082.1	739.55	661.72	640.7	646.54	648.84	654.75(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	50	14	-92	0.36	40%	-0.15	-64.6	7.19%	0	-0.9	34	INF
18	Feb_13_2017	1083.77	748.34	671.22	636.15	638.33	652.03	653(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	37	160	73	-73	0.24	40%	-0.14	-71	7.19%	0	-1	39	INF
19	Feb_10_2017	1085.24	760.55	688.3	630.6	634.49	644.23	629.5(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	79	130	119	-43	0.37	52%	-0.1	-73.1	7.91%	0	-1.4	36	INF
20	Feb_9_2017	1086.35	774.83	707.82	644.8	634.24	624.63	656.25(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-79	-160	-69	-108	0.39	52%	-0.07	-68.3	8.35%	0	-1.3	32	INF

21	Feb_8_2017	1087.14	788.11	728.36	656.05	652.05	624.75	610(-3.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-200	-310	-213	-161	0.32	52%	-0.3	-70.8	8.34%	0	-1.9	24	INF
22	Feb_7_2017	1090.36	803.87	749.01	686.4	676.45	643.84	632(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-312	-380	-348	-205	0.35	54%	-0.27	-75.1	8.34%	0	-2	28	INF
23	Feb_6_2017	1093.32	819.37	764.46	711.6	711.55	679.34	625.25(-10.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-264	-320	-293	-175	0.4	54%	-0.29	-86.8	8.45%	0	-2.4	32	INF
24	Feb_3_2017	1096.49	835.84	781.59	754.05	740.73	709.06	700.5(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-285	-350	-321	-177	0.31	56%	-0.2	-93.2	8.36%	0	-1.9	32	INF
25	Feb_2_2017	1098.65	844.42	797.15	780.1	770.25	743.75	712.5(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-269	-280	-304	-163	0.29	56%		-127.3	8.39%	0	-2.1	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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