Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $918.7500 (-1.55%) ($885.0000 - $928.3700) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $918.7500(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(16%)    TBT(15%)    BOTZ(9%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4% (StdDev 8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $923.6(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $861.61(6.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $870.83(5.5%)
To recent high   -33.9%
To recent low   52.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.57% (three month std-dev: 8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.66%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2016	1128.79	870.83	861.61	923.6	917.23	921.67	918.75(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	10	-36	-15	0.62	53%	-0.66	78.8	8%	0	0.5	55	0
2	Sep_16_2016	1136.25	859.55	853.05	906.3	916.13	928.81	933.25(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	130	151	48	0.48	53%	-0.98	71.3	8.01%	0	0.7	55	0
3	Sep_15_2016	1147.45	845.31	851.45	900.1	902.93	912.8	910(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	102	90	123	38	0.66	50%	-1.25	65.1	8.09%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Sep_14_2016	1162.02	833.15	863.2	873	887.54	903.45	927(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	178	180	213	73	0.44	50%	-1.3	57.3	8.2%	0	0.8	53	0
5	Sep_13_2016	1177.3	818.72	868.55	832.65	849.97	893.06	929(11.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	245	420	292	105	0.44	50%	-1.43	44.6	8.25%	0	0.9	63	0

6	Sep_12_2016	1194.36	803.86	862.62	790.6	808.95	871.63	832.25(-7.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	436	610	518	188	0.68	47%	-1.45	32.2	8.11%	0	0.2	61	0
7	Sep_9_2016	1211.88	793.66	867.89	791.9	776.81	806.88	902.25(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	321	210	378	148	0.76	47%	-1.21	29.4	8.08%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Sep_8_2016	1226.78	779.49	864.17	798.65	775.47	746.28	774.5(6.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-217	-350	-261	-86	0.65	42%	-1.4	30.9	7.82%	0	-0	65	0
9	Sep_7_2016	1244.26	771.74	877.64	854.8	838.33	746.75	725.25(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-559	-820	-678	-200	0.56	42%	-1.34	42.1	7.85%	0	-0.3	61	0
10	Sep_6_2016	1261.1	768.03	882.62	910.1	915.08	804.66	718.75(-14.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-815	-830	-993	-279	0.43	42%	-2.76	55.7	7.87%	0	-0.3	62	0

11	Sep_2_2016	1296.91	765.47	885.65	941.8	964.66	929.91	838.75(-10.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-466	-180	-589	-98	0.43	38%	-1.66	65.4	8.63%	0	0.5	71	0
12	Sep_1_2016	1318.86	756.86	872.18	950.55	974.23	1025.5	936(-11.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	295	440	300	279	0.53	40%	-1.39	68.2	8.55%	0	1.3	79	0
13	Aug_31_2016	1337.44	740.26	843.39	937.05	933.28	999.41	1055.25(5.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	555	480	604	406	0.57	43%	-1.13	64	8.46%	0	2.3	89	0
14	Aug_30_2016	1352.79	717.44	802.5	906.25	892.67	922.97	1001.75(14.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	421	190	447	342	0.75	43%	-1.21	62.3	8.43%	0	2.4	89	0
15	Aug_29_2016	1369.31	696.41	764.35	854.42	864.06	867.16	877.25(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	200	60	194	217	0.24	38%	-1.69	46.7	8.28%	0	1.8	78	0

16	Aug_26_2016	1392.78	683.12	739	821.47	821.12	862.38	882.5(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	147	350	138	174	0.69	38%	-1.9	26.4	8.38%	0	2.2	74	0
17	Aug_25_2016	1419.72	670.52	711.38	780.72	788.49	860.97	868.5(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	607	670	687	365	0.53	38%	-2.09	6.6	8.37%	0	2.5	71	0
18	Aug_24_2016	1450.09	661.26	684.85	733.77	736.29	779.86	901.25(21.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	506	420	577	293	0.5	44%	-2.05	-17.5	8.4%	0	3.6	78	0
19	Aug_23_2016	1480.38	650.03	652.96	684.52	686.05	716.01	742.6(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	181	310	204	112	0.2	36%	-2.35	-59.2	8.22%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Aug_22_2016	1516.06	652.52	641.02	661.75	671.28	692.72	712.5(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	269	270	310	144	0.21	36%	-2.11	-49.1	8.21%	0	0.8	67	0

21	Aug_19_2016	1548.76	659.92	633.89	644.25	649.3	656.09	678.75(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	100	94	49	0.28	36%	-2.14	-43.3	8.17%	0	0.2	58	0
22	Aug_18_2016	1582.69	665.34	631.76	631	635.47	649.84	633.75(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	77	180	89	40	0.2	44%	-2.03	-42.1	8.12%	0	-0.4	47	0
23	Aug_17_2016	1615.56	673.11	629.7	627	624.06	642.5	655(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	190	179	64	0.41	44%	-1.91	-35.3	8.66%	0	-0.2	41	0
24	Aug_16_2016	1646.94	683.48	626.44	616.25	609.3	621.09	628.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	100	114	23	0.27	44%	-2.32	-30.5	8.64%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Aug_15_2016	1686.05	689.62	624.14	617	602.03	605.63	625(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	-30	31	-30	0.25	44%		-32.1	8.66%	0	-0.7	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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