Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $901.2500 (21.36%) ($773.7500 - $912.5000) on Wed. Aug. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.4% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $901.2500(21.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 7.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(17%)    TBT(15%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.2% (StdDev 8.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 16.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $733.77(22.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $684.85(31.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $661.26(36.29%)
To recent high   -59.2%
To recent low   49.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.05% (three month std-dev: 8.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2016	1450.09	661.26	684.85	733.77	736.29	779.86	901.25(21.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	506	420	577	293	0.5	44%	-2.05	-17.5	8.4%	0	3.6	78	INF
2	Aug_23_2016	1480.38	650.03	652.96	684.52	686.05	716.01	742.6(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	181	310	204	112	0.2	36%	-2.35	-59.2	8.22%	0	1.7	67	INF
3	Aug_22_2016	1516.06	652.52	641.02	661.75	671.28	692.72	712.5(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	269	270	310	144	0.21	36%	-2.11	-49.1	8.21%	0	0.8	67	INF
4	Aug_19_2016	1548.76	659.92	633.89	644.25	649.3	656.09	678.75(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	100	94	49	0.28	36%	-2.14	-43.3	8.17%	0	0.2	58	INF
5	Aug_18_2016	1582.69	665.34	631.76	631	635.47	649.84	633.75(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	77	180	89	40	0.2	44%	-2.03	-42.1	8.12%	0	-0.4	47	INF

6	Aug_17_2016	1615.56	673.11	629.7	627	624.06	642.5	655(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	190	179	64	0.41	44%	-1.91	-35.3	8.66%	0	-0.2	41	INF
7	Aug_16_2016	1646.94	683.48	626.44	616.25	609.3	621.09	628.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	100	114	23	0.27	44%	-2.32	-30.5	8.64%	0	-0.6	37	INF
8	Aug_15_2016	1686.05	689.62	624.14	617	602.03	605.63	625(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	-30	31	-30	0.25	44%	-0.64	-32.1	8.66%	0	-0.7	27	INF
9	Aug_12_2016	1696.88	694.97	624.24	622.25	605.97	597.5	612.5(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-180	-63	-89	0.38	44%	-2.28	-30	8.65%	0	-0.9	21	INF
10	Aug_11_2016	1736.42	701.59	627.99	633	621.36	598.44	613.75(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-143	-310	-147	-130	0.27	44%	-2.4	-26.3	8.69%	0	-1	34	INF

11	Aug_10_2016	1779.13	707.19	637.1	632.5	637.22	614.43	601.25(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-176	-230	-184	-152	0.23	44%	-1.86	-30.4	8.72%	0	-1.2	33	INF
12	Aug_9_2016	1812.92	712.99	647.7	637.25	640.52	644.28	632.5(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	60	-81	-121	0.16	49%	-1.82	-30.4	8.77%	0	-1	30	INF
13	Aug_8_2016	1846.52	720.46	665.07	631.5	638.46	660	651.25(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	128	270	175	-13	0.19	49%	-1.78	-33.7	9.07%	0	-0.8	46	INF
14	Aug_5_2016	1879.92	723.39	687.17	626.5	624.89	636.76	666.25(9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	89	130	126	-22	0.28	46%	-1.76	-43.3	9.18%	0	-0.7	49	INF
15	Aug_4_2016	1913.69	725.78	700.13	623.5	619.81	616.91	611.25(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-50	-31	-82	0.24	50%	-1.67	-58.5	9.13%	0	-1.4	43	INF

16	Aug_3_2016	1946.1	734.45	719.1	643.5	633.51	613.03	625(3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-121	-270	-126	-105	0.22	50%	-2.12	-69.8	9.37%	0	-1.4	47	INF
17	Aug_2_2016	1988.19	739.48	744.37	660.5	655.15	622.71	603.75(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-265	-370	-302	-155	0.28	50%	-2.24	-89.3	9.42%	0	-1.9	46	INF
18	Aug_1_2016	2033.69	749.1	760.88	704	693.79	653.99	626.25(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-297	-450	-344	-155	0.34	50%	-1.91	-97.9	9.44%	0	-1.8	42	INF
19	Jul_29_2016	2073.21	759.92	773.04	757.25	741.21	687.58	651.25(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-351	-570	-415	-157	0.34	46%	-1.75	-100.4	9.51%	0	-1.7	51	INF
20	Jul_28_2016	2110.06	775.77	783.65	787.75	793.59	733.59	711.25(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-333	-510	-399	-134	0.24	44%	-1.99	-94.5	9.72%	0	-0.9	55	INF

21	Jul_27_2016	2152.81	791.26	785.69	805.25	819.38	794.84	710(-13.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-300	-160	-361	-115	0.3	44%	-1.98	-82.8	9.83%	0	-0.9	49	INF
22	Jul_26_2016	2196.2	810.08	786.75	839.5	836.88	853.59	821.25(-7.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	130	42	64	0.2	46%	-1.62	-70.6	9.72%	0	0.1	60	INF
23	Jul_25_2016	2232.33	820.61	782.09	825.5	840.55	843.91	892.5(11.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	206	80	230	133	0.28	46%	-1.78	-73.5	9.7%	0	0.6	57	INF
24	Jul_22_2016	2272.72	828.87	762.15	792.5	808.52	820.16	803.75(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	160	-25	6	0.14	44%	-1.77	-77	9.59%	0	-0.2	49	INF
25	Jul_21_2016	2313.62	852.82	752.28	779.5	789.22	837.19	798.75(-9.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	235	460	279	101	0.26	44%		-62.6	9.66%	0	-0.3	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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