Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1210.0000 (-4.35%) ($1200.0000 - $1293.7500) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.14% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $1210.0000(-4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -11.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -16.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(17%)    UUP(17%)    IBUY(4%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.07% (StdDev 10.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

Resistance Level   $1762.85
5 Day Moving Average   $1321.75(-8.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1689.4(-28.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1762.85(-31.36%)
To recent high   -76.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 17.65% (three month std-dev: 10.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -9.48%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.9%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -12.28%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.54%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.32%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2016	5217.98	1762.85	1689.4	1321.75	1314.07	1239.57	1210(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-553	-410	-621	-347	0.15	40%	-4.14	-42.8	10.14%	0	-1.8	37	INF
2	Jun_8_2016	5443.14	1789.84	1773.42	1494	1388.61	1316.27	1265(-9.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-872	-580	-1005	-472	0.22	43%	-4.36	-39.1	10.13%	0	-1.8	36	INF
3	Jun_7_2016	5691.07	1820.74	1867.02	1656	1600.77	1388.58	1403.75(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-748	-1030	-871	-378	0.16	42%	-0.77	-28.5	10.25%	0	-1.6	54	INF
4	Jun_6_2016	5735.27	1853.15	1919.36	1800.25	1772.5	1460.94	1352.5(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1940	-1280	-2283	-912	0.21	42%	-3.68	-9.6	10.29%	0	-2.1	51	INF
5	Jun_3_2016	5954.19	1875.34	1973.29	1971.75	1962.89	1812.97	1377.5(-33.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-1495	-550	-1769	-673	0.39	40%	-3.5	12.8	10.29%	0	-2.3	48	INF

6	Jun_2_2016	6170.01	1906.96	2027.1	2102	2113.59	2084.06	2071.25(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-42	-80	-68	38	0.15	45%	-2.95	34	9.56%	0	0.9	62	INF
7	Jun_1_2016	6357.55	1908.59	2012.6	2091.75	2087.66	2112.81	2075(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-151	80	-199	-6	0.2	48%	-2.85	27.3	9.59%	0	0.9	65	INF
8	May_31_2016	6544.28	1897.19	1964.9	2111.75	2100	2143.13	2125(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	423	130	476	262	0.2	45%	-4.07	17.1	9.71%	0	1.2	60	INF
9	May_27_2016	6822.14	1876.73	1914.99	2060.25	2081.95	2062.5	2210(8.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	214	-30	237	144	0.25	46%	-2	-12	9.81%	0	1.8	55	INF
10	May_26_2016	6961.07	1847.95	1863.43	1980.25	2016.64	2056.88	2028.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-79	190	-103	-7	0.2	48%	-2.31	-47.8	9.81%	0	1.1	60	INF

11	May_25_2016	7125.95	1846.03	1835.59	1940.25	1977.34	2101.41	2020(-7.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	659	500	769	328	0.23	48%	-2.4	-54	9.91%	0	0.9	53	INF
12	May_24_2016	7300.88	1858.31	1800.27	1920.75	1932.27	1976.41	2175(16.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	732	180	860	347	0.19	48%	-2.29	-51.8	9.89%	0	1.4	51	INF
13	May_23_2016	7471.92	1866.03	1760.34	1798.25	1858.36	1853.28	1867.5(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	80	45	-4	0.17	45%	-0.77	-54.9	9.65%	0	0	53	INF
14	May_20_2016	7529.7	1898.88	1772.12	1747.25	1787.66	1888.13	1810(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	247	460	297	96	0.19	45%	-2.51	-55.6	9.57%	0	-0.3	55	INF
15	May_19_2016	7723.93	1933.1	1763.66	1727.75	1734.84	1863.44	1828.75(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	915	530	1083	409	0.28	45%	-2.47	-58.2	9.64%	0	-0.3	57	INF

16	May_18_2016	7919.51	1958.29	1774.31	1714.5	1681.09	1687.19	1922.5(23.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	398	-30	477	162	0.21	42%	-2.25	-63.8	9.69%	0	-0.1	50	INF
17	May_17_2016	8101.75	1984.15	1791.65	1665	1664.06	1606.25	1562.5(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-405	-240	-463	-230	0.09	36%	-2.31	-69.1	9.4%	0	-1.2	38	INF
18	May_16_2016	8293.63	2025.37	1823.93	1717.5	1692.58	1675	1612.5(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-447	-120	-511	-255	0.07	41%	-0.83	-64.9	9.45%	0	-1.2	37	INF
19	May_13_2016	8363.23	2081.58	1838.87	1800	1772.27	1721.88	1712.5(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-250	-124	-107	0.06	41%	-2.05	-57.4	10.03%	0	-1	37	INF
20	May_12_2016	8537.84	2132.86	1836.1	1802.5	1833.2	1710.16	1762.5(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-534	-420	-605	-320	0.08	41%	-2.15	-57.2	10.11%	0	-0.9	38	INF

21	May_11_2016	8725.08	2193.11	1861.94	1842.5	1848.05	1822.66	1675(-8.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-769	-90	-881	-433	0.1	38%	-2.26	-59.6	10.1%	0	-1.3	41	INF
22	May_10_2016	8926.77	2248.31	1925.77	1937.5	1918.75	1956.25	1825(-9.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	248	110	312	56	0.07	38%	-2.16	-67.2	10.38%	0	-1.1	41	INF
23	May_9_2016	9123.38	2286.79	1982.13	1945	1948.44	1873.44	2025(17.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	72	-260	104	-25	0.08	40%	-2.22	-80.6	10.34%	0	-0.7	46	INF
24	May_6_2016	9330.67	2317.33	2033.16	1885	1901.56	1881.25	1725(-12.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-559	-50	-634	-332	0.09	37%	-2.37	-90	10.12%	0	-1.4	34	INF
25	May_5_2016	9557.5	2390.11	2114.57	1870	1878.91	2023.44	1962.5(-8.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	540	550	660	181	0.07	37%		-88.7	10.12%	0	-0.9	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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