Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $18475.0000 (-6.4%) ($18412.5000 - $19387.5000) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.05% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $18475.0000(-6.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(16%)    VIXM(-0%)    LIT(-2%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.525% (StdDev 9.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

Resistance Level   $21241.42
5 Day Moving Average   $20375(-9.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21024.65(-12.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21241.42(-13.02%)
To recent high   -45.1%
To recent low   25.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 9.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 6.32%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.87%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 11.57%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 7.98%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.42%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2015	26357.32	21241.42	21024.65	20375	20141.41	19557.81	18475(-6.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6720	-240	-7906	-3161	0	44%	-1.16	-54.5	9.05%	0	-1.6	55	0
2	Dec_23_2015	26666.79	21511.35	21249.51	21380	20911.33	20525	19737.5(-6.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2673	-200	-3149	-1244	0.01	44%	-1.02	-46.1	9.37%	0	-1.1	49	0
3	Dec_22_2015	26942.42	21689.73	21322.31	21432.5	21561.33	20725	21037.5(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2619	-250	-3083	-1225	0.01	47%	-0.97	-58.6	9.35%	0	-0.4	48	0
4	Dec_21_2015	27205.55	21928.98	21317.94	21755	21566.8	21297.66	20700(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6154	-110	-7244	-2885	0.01	47%	-0.82	-44.3	9.51%	0	-0.6	51	0
5	Dec_18_2015	27429.92	22163.63	21309.48	22207.5	22028.52	22397.66	21925(-6.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2830	90	3326	1342	0.01	47%	-0.86	-36.1	9.56%	0	-0.1	49	0

6	Dec_17_2015	27667.67	22221.32	20970.58	21764.95	21906.25	21835.94	23500(17.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2485	-0	2927	1158	0.01	47%	-0.65	-48.5	9.53%	0	0.6	48	0
7	Dec_16_2015	27848.36	22311.51	20750.22	21132.45	21272.64	21659.38	20000(-11.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1064	150	-1243	-527	0.01	41%	-0.86	-52.9	9.33%	0	-1.1	44	0
8	Dec_15_2015	28090.4	22709.59	21042.09	21167.45	21130.45	21976.56	22650(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	6637	280	7817	3097	0.01	43%	-0.8	-44	9.46%	0	-0	50	0
9	Dec_14_2015	28316.92	22812.8	20899.48	20822.45	20484.36	20885.91	22962.5(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3212	90	3792	1470	0.01	43%	-0.63	-46.7	9.46%	0	0.1	44	0
10	Dec_11_2015	28496.71	22928.34	20908.46	20322.45	20292.95	20284.34	19712.25(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1237	-10	1473	528	0.01	40%	-0.91	-52.6	9.23%	0	-1.3	37	0

11	Dec_10_2015	28758.21	23265.28	21415.99	20045	20176.59	20082.81	20337.5(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-544	-10	-622	-310	0.01	40%	-0.73	-51.8	9.23%	0	-1.2	46	0
12	Dec_9_2015	28969.19	23527.96	21754.75	20315	20002.38	20301.56	20175(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1232	60	-1431	-634	0.01	40%	-0.72	-44.1	9.22%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Dec_8_2015	29179.04	23843.37	22070.93	20892.5	20492.22	20270.38	20925(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	1000	-130	1196	413	0.01	40%	-0.8	-28.7	9.28%	0	-1.2	38	0
14	Dec_7_2015	29414.9	24041.47	22574.56	21000	21067.22	19703.19	20462.5(11.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6442	-440	-7561	-3085	0.01	40%	-0.44	-19.9	9.28%	0	-1.6	45	0
15	Dec_4_2015	29545.83	24356.91	23088.71	21620	21719.53	20714.06	18325(-15.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11057	-310	-12992	-5250	0.01	37%	-0.38	0.3	9.23%	0	-2.7	39	0

16	Dec_3_2015	29659.09	24659.09	23629.64	22962.5	22850.78	22431.25	21687.5(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3735	-140	-4381	-1795	0.01	39%	-0.24	34.7	9.03%	0	-1.7	43	0
17	Dec_2_2015	29729.8	24673.04	24045.3	23387.5	23678.75	22725	23062.5(7.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3172	-240	-3721	-1525	0.01	39%	-0.13	53	9.03%	0	-0.9	47	0
18	Dec_1_2015	29767.55	24554.08	24540.05	23430	23889.69	23270.31	21462.5(-8.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7636	-120	-8974	-3621	0.01	39%	-0.17	56.4	8.98%	0	-1.5	42	0
19	Nov_30_2015	29817.3	24505.93	24920.41	24380	24302.97	24632.5	23562.5(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-878	90	-1028	-429	0.01	39%	-0.1	73.5	8.92%	0	-0.4	51	0
20	Nov_27_2015	29846.97	24350.21	25130.41	24792.5	24813.13	24509.06	25037.5(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3158	-80	3719	1473	0	36%	0.1	83.5	8.98%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Nov_25_2015	29817	24081.62	25257.17	24412.5	24593.78	23973.44	23812.5(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5199	-150	-6112	-2458	0.01	41%	-0.06	69.5	9.27%	0	-0.1	54	0
22	Nov_24_2015	29833.63	23780.83	25437.53	24812.5	24575.04	25117.19	23275(-11.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2544	130	-2993	-1196	0.01	45%	0.03	66.1	9.35%	0	-0.2	59	0
23	Nov_23_2015	29824.5	23475.53	25763.96	25817.5	25343.79	25214.13	26212.5(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4655	-90	5468	2217	0.01	46%	-0.12	71.7	9.7%	0	0.8	67	0
24	Nov_20_2015	29860.98	23006.42	25609.09	25557.5	25545.35	24032.89	25625(10.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6684	-420	-7875	-3111	0.01	46%	0.08	63.1	9.75%	0	0.7	67	0
25	Nov_19_2015	29836.74	22505.95	25696.76	25542.5	25703.91	25473.45	23137.5(-10.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8358	-40	-9849	-3883	0.01	43%		60.6	9.8%	0	0.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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