Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $40950.0000 (-7.51%) ($36954.7500 - $41962.5000) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.44% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $40950.0000(-7.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 8.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 24.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.22% (StdDev 6.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35375(15.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31184.62(31.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27008.91(51.62%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   177.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 22.97% (three month std-dev: 6.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.63%(67%) Average negative next day return: -6.01%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.79%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -15%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.86%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2015	20769.39	27008.91	31184.62	35375	35671.39	40770.91	40950(-7.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	40068	1030	47072	19055	0.01	76%	1.15	76.9	6.44%	0	2.2	81	0
2	Jul_20_2015	20532.27	25948.85	29568.08	32545	32620.34	36542.19	44275(32.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	54850	850	64474	25978	0.01	80%	1.4	71.1	6.35%	0	3.4	87	0
3	Jul_17_2015	20248.98	24646.8	27264.37	28967.5	28932.06	30571.88	33425(13.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	21979	390	25813	10478	0.01	74%	0.82	75.1	5.01%	0	2.5	83	0
4	Jul_16_2015	20084.31	23880.71	26206.37	27582.5	27746.91	28698.5	29537.5(2.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	16665	260	19566	7962	0	71%	0.61	69.7	4.78%	0	1.9	80	0
5	Jul_15_2015	19963.26	23358.56	25684.48	26835	26975.04	27292.25	28687.5(7.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	8066	100	9448	3918	0	66%	0.51	66.7	4.78%	0	1.9	81	0

6	Jul_14_2015	19861.73	22953.72	25096.04	26315	26299.23	26795.31	26800(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	2751	130	3196	1416	0	64%	0.43	70.6	4.87%	0	1.5	78	0
7	Jul_13_2015	19775.89	22614.14	24646.79	26050	26010.16	26657.83	26387.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10718	170	12567	5169	0	64%	0.4	74	4.88%	0	1.5	77	0
8	Jul_10_2015	19696.55	22298.98	24169.56	25245	25392.59	25803.14	26500(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	8088	130	9477	3921	0	60%	0.42	69.8	4.89%	0	1.8	80	0
9	Jul_9_2015	19613.77	21948.45	23644.29	24590	24584.06	25362.5	25800(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5490	220	6422	2694	0	60%	0.45	68.9	5.02%	0	1.8	82	0
10	Jul_8_2015	19526.53	21604.15	23130.77	24347.5	24144.22	24982.03	26087.5(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	11810	220	13855	5673	0	60%	0.4	73.1	5.02%	0	2.2	76	0

11	Jul_7_2015	19448.6	21265.84	22581.59	23712.5	23788.34	23805.63	25475(13.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6927	10	8116	3360	0.01	60%	0.32	81.3	5.01%	0	2.4	65	0
12	Jul_6_2015	19386.47	20924.59	22093.82	23067.5	23266.85	23306.41	22362.5(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2508	40	-2981	-1089	0.01	49%	0.41	85.5	4.8%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Jul_2_2015	19306.38	20779.12	21853.38	22902.5	22969.9	23771.05	23225(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7570	250	8878	3645	0	49%	0.29	89.4	4.98%	0	1.6	63	0
14	Jul_1_2015	19250.25	20550.94	21397.94	22510	22403.49	23227.3	24587.5(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12920	240	15177	6148	0	45%	0.41	87.7	4.94%	0	2.6	71	0
15	Jun_30_2015	19171.68	20207.33	20850.41	21722.5	21671.09	22168.75	22912.5(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7047	150	8276	3361	0	42%	0.38	80.6	5.26%	0	1.9	70	0

16	Jun_29_2015	19099.74	19910.44	20631.1	21287.5	21203.13	21579.69	22250(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4469	110	5244	2142	0	42%	0.29	70.8	5.3%	0	1.8	63	0
17	Jun_26_2015	19044.26	19678.56	20409.75	20995	20954.7	21173.44	21537.5(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3794	70	4451	1824	0	42%	0.38	69.9	5.3%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Jun_25_2015	18971.43	19475.5	20273.9	20642.5	20747.66	20826.56	21262.5(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2699	40	3164	1303	0	42%	0.34	66.4	5.33%	0	1.4	59	0
19	Jun_24_2015	18906.76	19286.67	20114.37	20095	20338.28	20735.95	20650(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3217	170	3777	1536	0	42%	0.26	60.6	5.34%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Jun_23_2015	18858.29	19146.72	19961.57	19827.5	19778.91	20668.75	20737.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6358	310	7473	3013	0	42%	0.32	62.3	5.34%	0	1.4	65	0

21	Jun_22_2015	18797.58	19023.85	19847.34	19880	19662.1	19940.61	20787.5(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8000	70	9400	3800	0	42%	0.31	81.3	5.4%	0	1.6	70	0
22	Jun_19_2015	18739.92	18828.65	19657.55	19762.5	19723.05	18889.06	19775(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4862	-300	-5732	-2250	0	39%	0.17	87.1	5.51%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Jun_18_2015	18708.8	18677.71	19628.96	19870	19951.17	19383.59	18525(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11024	-190	-12987	-5135	0.01	32%	0.14	94	5.45%	0	-0.1	59	0
24	Jun_17_2015	18682.27	18580.26	19673.38	20112.5	20353.91	20557.03	19312.5(-8.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	990	110	1143	530	0.01	32%	0.27	99.6	5.73%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Jun_16_2015	18631.25	18444.36	19555.69	20067.5	20199.61	20518.75	21000(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4919	130	5765	2381	0	34%		97	5.66%	0	1.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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