Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $26300.0000 (10.56%) ($22987.5000 - $26400.0000) on Mon. Mar. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.93% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $26300.0000(10.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 8.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.465% (StdDev 8.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21517.5(22.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19695.48(33.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18651.51(41.01%)
To recent high   -37.2%
To recent low   84.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.8% (three month std-dev: 8.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 11.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: -9.97%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2015	28489.56	18651.51	19695.48	21517.5	21385.11	23632.81	26300(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17872	720	21006	8471	0.01	53%	-0.35	72.5	8.93%	0	3.2	72	INF
2	Mar_6_2015	28589.69	18141.29	18834.16	19800	19700.73	20895.22	23787.5(22.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	12274	410	14429	5810	0.01	50%	-0.32	79.1	8.94%	0	3.5	73	INF
3	Mar_5_2015	28682.53	17658.05	18257.35	18344.98	18335.89	19137.41	19387.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	5165	300	6072	2444	0	42%	-0.46	60.7	8.51%	0	1.4	62	INF
4	Mar_4_2015	28815.73	17438.65	18142.08	17924.98	17667.1	18506.25	19525(5.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6253	290	7354	2950	0.01	42%	-0.48	44.6	8.57%	0	1.7	58	INF
5	Mar_3_2015	28954.4	17252.75	17906.69	17554.98	17187.41	17534.38	18587.5(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3586	80	4218	1689	0.01	42%	-0.54	44.7	8.55%	0	1.1	59	INF

6	Mar_2_2015	29111.69	17067.37	17879.52	17584.98	17162.41	16827.95	17712.5(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1340	-210	-1580	-620	0.01	42%	-0.64	39.8	8.52%	0	0.5	61	INF
7	Feb_27_2015	29299.84	16944.38	17803.7	17719.98	17589.76	16840.45	16512.38(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4322	-320	-5088	-2022	0.01	45%	-0.6	36.4	9.5%	0	-0.3	51	INF
8	Feb_26_2015	29477.45	16957.98	17882.97	18140	18105.47	17496.88	17287.5(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4442	-240	-5235	-2062	0.01	45%	-0.47	51.6	9.57%	0	0.3	66	INF
9	Feb_25_2015	29617.42	16892.64	17935.16	18360	18371.09	18339.06	17675(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1612	-10	-1910	-717	0.01	43%	-0.77	59.7	9.58%	0	0.6	64	INF
10	Feb_24_2015	29846.2	16732.76	17869.42	18275	18356.24	18714.06	18737.5(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2002	150	2340	986	0.01	43%	-0.6	54.7	9.67%	0	1.4	62	INF

11	Feb_23_2015	30024.85	16578.31	17590.49	18217.5	18120.31	18403.13	18387.5(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2076	90	2426	1025	0.01	43%	-0.7	56.5	9.68%	0	1.3	65	INF
12	Feb_20_2015	30235.65	16478.12	17430.08	17905	18013.27	17998.42	18612.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1734	10	2024	865	0.01	43%	-0.53	47.9	9.69%	0	1.7	64	INF
13	Feb_19_2015	30397.24	16305.66	17023.6	17597.5	17628.9	17837.49	18387.5(6.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-424	90	-511	-163	0.01	47%	-0.57	20.1	9.73%	0	1.7	56	INF
14	Feb_18_2015	30572.63	16135.54	16680.38	17465	17477.34	18028.13	17250(-6.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3034	220	3559	1460	0.01	44%	-0.62	-3.8	9.91%	0	1	56	INF
15	Feb_17_2015	30762.48	15990.16	16544.92	17392.5	17314.84	17420.31	18450(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3045	30	3570	1469	0.01	44%	-0.57	-21.5	10.03%	0	2.2	65	INF

16	Feb_13_2015	30937.35	15851.14	16171.73	16875	16946.09	16926.56	16825(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-796	0	-944	-351	0	41%	-0.47	-59.1	10.11%	0	1	55	INF
17	Feb_12_2015	31083.87	15889.25	16004.18	16872.5	16792.96	17209.38	17075(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1606	160	1883	775	0.01	41%	-0.48	-78.5	10.14%	0	1.1	52	INF
18	Feb_11_2015	31234.13	16070.08	15947.94	16337.5	16564.84	16965.61	17725(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3921	210	4608	1859	0.01	39%	-0.42	-65.3	10.13%	0	1	59	INF
19	Feb_10_2015	31365.31	16177.89	15745.99	15777.5	15992.96	16376.55	16887.5(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1857	210	2182	880	0.01	43%	-0.48	-67.4	10.21%	0	0.4	57	INF
20	Feb_9_2015	31517.5	16239.44	15488.65	15580	15605.47	16164.06	15862.5(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2542	260	2989	1199	0.01	43%	-0.46	-83	10.44%	0	-0.2	58	INF

21	Feb_6_2015	31663.12	16458.05	15474.59	15365	15490.63	15609.38	16812.5(16.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2791	80	3284	1312	0.01	38%	-0.37	-90.4	10.83%	0	0.2	54	INF
22	Feb_5_2015	31780	16776.77	15427.12	15030	15244.02	15046.88	14400(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1971	-50	-2315	-939	0.01	37%	-0.41	-84	10.65%	0	-0.9	40	INF
23	Feb_4_2015	31910.67	17187.09	15531.35	15495	15522.24	15371.88	14925(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1370	-60	-1605	-665	0.01	39%	-0.34	-83.6	10.76%	0	-0.8	35	INF
24	Feb_3_2015	32019.05	17523.05	15561.81	15695	15981.61	15441.17	15900(7.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-823	-180	-958	-418	0.01	37%	-0.31	-93.5	10.86%	0	-0.5	39	INF
25	Feb_2_2015	32119.56	17985.19	15409.07	15377.5	15944.11	15672.6	14787.5(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3038	-10	-3558	-1476	0.01	37%		-89.9	10.9%	0	-0.9	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.