Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $18387.5000 (-1.21%) ($17875.0000 - $19300.0000) on Mon. Feb. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.68% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $18387.5000(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.84% (StdDev 9.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $18217.5(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17590.49(4.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16578.31(10.91%)
To recent high   -56.1%
To recent low   28.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.12% (three month std-dev: 9.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 6.4%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.45%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 14.64%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -4.31%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 11.78%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.35%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2015	30024.85	16578.31	17590.49	18217.5	18120.31	18403.13	18387.5(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2076	90	2426	1025	0.01	43%	-0.7	56.5	9.68%	0	1.3	65	INF
2	Feb_20_2015	30235.65	16478.12	17430.08	17905	18013.27	17998.42	18612.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1734	10	2024	865	0.01	43%	-0.53	47.9	9.69%	0	1.7	64	INF
3	Feb_19_2015	30397.24	16305.66	17023.6	17597.5	17628.9	17837.49	18387.5(6.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-424	90	-511	-163	0.01	47%	-0.57	20.1	9.73%	0	1.7	56	INF
4	Feb_18_2015	30572.63	16135.54	16680.38	17465	17477.34	18028.13	17250(-6.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3034	220	3559	1460	0.01	44%	-0.62	-3.8	9.91%	0	1	56	INF
5	Feb_17_2015	30762.48	15990.16	16544.92	17392.5	17314.84	17420.31	18450(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3045	30	3570	1469	0.01	44%	-0.57	-21.5	10.03%	0	2.2	65	INF

6	Feb_13_2015	30937.35	15851.14	16171.73	16875	16946.09	16926.56	16825(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-796	0	-944	-351	0	41%	-0.47	-59.1	10.11%	0	1	55	INF
7	Feb_12_2015	31083.87	15889.25	16004.18	16872.5	16792.96	17209.38	17075(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1606	160	1883	775	0.01	41%	-0.48	-78.5	10.14%	0	1.1	52	INF
8	Feb_11_2015	31234.13	16070.08	15947.94	16337.5	16564.84	16965.61	17725(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3921	210	4608	1859	0.01	39%	-0.42	-65.3	10.13%	0	1	59	INF
9	Feb_10_2015	31365.31	16177.89	15745.99	15777.5	15992.96	16376.55	16887.5(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1857	210	2182	880	0.01	43%	-0.48	-67.4	10.21%	0	0.4	57	INF
10	Feb_9_2015	31517.5	16239.44	15488.65	15580	15605.47	16164.06	15862.5(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2542	260	2989	1199	0.01	43%	-0.46	-83	10.44%	0	-0.2	58	INF

11	Feb_6_2015	31663.12	16458.05	15474.59	15365	15490.63	15609.38	16812.5(16.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2791	80	3284	1312	0.01	38%	-0.37	-90.4	10.83%	0	0.2	54	INF
12	Feb_5_2015	31780	16776.77	15427.12	15030	15244.02	15046.88	14400(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1971	-50	-2315	-939	0.01	37%	-0.41	-84	10.65%	0	-0.9	40	INF
13	Feb_4_2015	31910.67	17187.09	15531.35	15495	15522.24	15371.88	14925(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1370	-60	-1605	-665	0.01	39%	-0.34	-83.6	10.76%	0	-0.8	35	INF
14	Feb_3_2015	32019.05	17523.05	15561.81	15695	15981.61	15441.17	15900(7.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-823	-180	-958	-418	0.01	37%	-0.31	-93.5	10.86%	0	-0.5	39	INF
15	Feb_2_2015	32119.56	17985.19	15409.07	15377.5	15944.11	15672.6	14787.5(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3038	-10	-3558	-1476	0.01	37%	-0.35	-89.9	10.9%	0	-0.9	43	INF

16	Jan_30_2015	32232.19	18622.83	15528.41	15580	15820.4	16522.05	15137.5(-9.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	702	360	843	277	0.01	44%	-0.3	-83.1	11.18%	0	-0.9	39	INF
17	Jan_29_2015	32329.49	19365.83	15787.94	15875	16015.63	16215.63	16725(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4477	110	5287	2046	0.01	46%	-0.27	-88	11.51%	0	-0.7	37	INF
18	Jan_28_2015	32415.83	20019.96	16189.92	15590	15816.4	15118.75	15925(11.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2287	-270	-2668	-1142	0.01	45%	-0.25	-80.4	11.61%	0	-0.9	37	INF
19	Jan_27_2015	32496.5	20877.45	16613.02	15427.5	15688.27	15815.63	14312.5(-9.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2520	110	-2941	-1257	0.01	45%	-0.33	-73.6	11.53%	0	-1.3	35	INF
20	Jan_26_2015	32605.39	21743.16	17036.65	15422.5	15654.68	16514.05	15800(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4726	430	5588	2141	0.01	45%	-0.21	-66.8	11.51%	0	-1	32	INF

21	Jan_23_2015	32675.49	22657	17501.95	15455	15099.21	15560.92	16612.5(8.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2642	140	3140	1149	0.01	45%	-0.2	-65.3	11.5%	0	-1	31	INF
22	Jan_22_2015	32741.99	23672.98	18189.81	15717.5	15170.32	14795.31	15300(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1287	-280	-1480	-706	0.01	46%	-0.18	-67.7	11.44%	0	-1.4	25	INF
23	Jan_21_2015	32799.59	24728.54	18946.4	16940	15992.98	14637.5	15112.5(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6643	-760	-7782	-3225	0.01	46%	-0.18	-63.6	11.51%	0	-1.5	25	INF
24	Jan_20_2015	32858.74	25589.92	19640.58	18025	17461.73	15545.33	14287.5(-10.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-9222	-860	-10814	-4445	0.01	46%	-0.15	-58.4	11.49%	0	-1.7	20	INF
25	Jan_16_2015	32907.45	26465.19	20797.94	18852.5	18595.32	17348.45	15962.5(-10.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9051	-510	-10614	-4363	0.01	47%		-57.9	11.43%	0	-1.6	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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