Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $35475.0000 (5.58%) ($33070.2500 - $35712.5000) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.72% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $35475.0000(5.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 13.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.36% (StdDev 4.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32867.5(7.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31303.52(13.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27913.93(27.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   100.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.96% (three month std-dev: 4.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.21%(40%) Average negative next day return: -4.82%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -7.03%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.45%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2014	24967.22	27913.93	31303.52	32867.5	32822.36	33625.97	35475(5.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	15605	170	18307	7498	0	64%	0.23	88.2	4.72%	0	1.8	83	0
2	Sep_29_2014	24910.33	27173.14	30304.31	31862.5	31964.06	32414.06	33600(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	6439	110	7527	3173	0	63%	0.12	86.9	4.75%	0	1.7	84	0
3	Sep_26_2014	24880.23	26446.67	29512.36	31472.5	31432.03	32018.75	32575(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5735	130	6699	2843	0	63%	0.09	81.6	4.75%	0	1.6	75	0
4	Sep_25_2014	24859.06	25790.03	28823.46	30955	31213.67	31514.06	31037.5(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9639	90	11289	4688	0	62%	0.02	77.3	4.73%	0	1.4	78	0
5	Sep_24_2014	24854.08	25247.76	28189.31	30377.5	30549.61	30845.31	31650(3.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	3946	80	4592	2007	0	64%	0.12	75.8	4.74%	0	1.7	77	0

6	Sep_23_2014	24823.47	24658.08	27519.62	29462.5	29712.88	30913.28	30450(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11635	310	13639	5623	0	64%	0.09	73.6	4.83%	0	1.6	80	0
7	Sep_22_2014	24800.89	24191.64	26848.38	28460	28618.35	30253.91	31650(5.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22889	420	26882	10911	0	64%	0.13	74.2	4.84%	0	2.2	84	0
8	Sep_19_2014	24769.13	23604.08	26129.29	27260	27186.74	28512.49	29987.5(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	18401	330	21601	8800	0	57%	-0.03	74.7	4.81%	0	2.1	86	0
9	Sep_18_2014	24775.38	23104.2	25376.65	26405	26275.02	26982.8	28150(3.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	12100	170	14192	5822	0	53%	-0.05	79.1	5.18%	0	1.9	81	0
10	Sep_17_2014	24788.65	22646.19	24855.41	25690	25696.13	25861	27075(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3626	50	4224	1831	0	53%	-0.07	79.1	5.26%	0	1.8	74	0

11	Sep_16_2014	24806.36	22239.32	24247.5	25295	25446.13	25567.25	25437.5(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1181	50	1348	681	0	51%	-0.18	82.1	5.2%	0	1.3	72	0
12	Sep_15_2014	24851.65	21894.24	23806.15	24957.5	25273.45	25531.25	25650(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3190	110	3714	1619	0	51%	-0.11	78.4	5.2%	0	1.6	64	0
13	Sep_12_2014	24878.69	21546.37	23165.33	24802.5	24973.77	25325.02	25712.5(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4389	120	5126	2178	0	49%	-0.19	79.9	5.2%	0	1.8	68	0
14	Sep_11_2014	24925.5	21165.51	22544.59	24180	24602.68	25015.64	24575(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6021	170	7052	2927	0	48%	-0.18	74.1	5.26%	0	1.6	65	0
15	Sep_10_2014	24971.42	20821.08	22109.73	23877.5	24022.2	24622.53	25100(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7120	190	8345	3444	0	46%	-0.24	68.4	5.29%	0	2	71	0

16	Sep_9_2014	25030.34	20442.46	21591.92	23035	23274.55	24189.72	23750(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10678	310	12537	5102	0	45%	-0.34	53.8	5.29%	0	1.7	69	0
17	Sep_8_2014	25116.57	20178.17	21340.63	22455	22345.32	23421.88	24875(10.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12857	320	15100	6127	0	45%	-0.01	42.5	5.27%	0	2.6	75	0
18	Sep_5_2014	25119.06	19867.33	20859.2	21282.5	21467.2	22359.39	22600(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13493	320	15856	6404	0	41%	-0.38	25.4	5.1%	0	1.9	69	0
19	Sep_4_2014	25215.46	19683.05	20625.22	20657.5	20591.41	21268.77	23062.5(10.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8536	220	10026	4064	0	41%	-0.32	7.8	5.13%	0	2.6	73	0
20	Sep_3_2014	25297.29	19474.98	20223.13	20100	20035.15	20575	20887.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6394	180	7509	3050	0	38%	-0.38	-7.8	4.94%	0	1.4	70	0

21	Sep_2_2014	25393.3	19448.83	20048.46	19945	19900.77	19914.05	20850(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3669	-0	4302	1771	0	38%	-0.47	-6.2	4.94%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Aug_29_2014	25512.76	19440.32	19823.41	20077.5	19889.84	19495.3	19012.5(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5760	-170	-6794	-2659	0	34%	-0.37	7.1	4.76%	0	-0.4	54	0
23	Aug_28_2014	25607.27	19508.14	19825.16	20357.5	20313.28	19887.5	19475(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4655	-150	-5497	-2130	0	34%	-0.29	19.5	4.76%	0	-0	53	0
24	Aug_27_2014	25682.02	19583.37	19722.88	20550	20523.44	20284.38	20275(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4162	-90	-4917	-1895	0	38%	-0.28	25.7	4.8%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Aug_26_2014	25754.97	19555.03	19482.09	20335	20553.12	20739.06	20112.5(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1521	100	1773	763	0	38%		19.9	5.02%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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