Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $31650.0000 (5.54%) ($30437.5000 - $32443.7500) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.84% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $31650.0000(5.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 12.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.42% (StdDev 4.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $28460(11.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26848.38(17.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24191.64(30.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   78.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.14% (three month std-dev: 4.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 9.15%(63%) Average negative next day return: -6.34%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 15.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.01%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 12.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2014	24800.89	24191.64	26848.38	28460	28618.35	30253.91	31650(5.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22889	420	26882	10911	0	64%	0.13	74.2	4.84%	0	2.2	84	0
2	Sep_19_2014	24769.13	23604.08	26129.29	27260	27186.74	28512.49	29987.5(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	18401	330	21601	8800	0	57%	-0.03	74.7	4.81%	0	2.1	86	0
3	Sep_18_2014	24775.38	23104.2	25376.65	26405	26275.02	26982.8	28150(3.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	12100	170	14192	5822	0	53%	-0.05	79.1	5.18%	0	1.9	81	0
4	Sep_17_2014	24788.65	22646.19	24855.41	25690	25696.13	25861	27075(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3626	50	4224	1831	0	53%	-0.07	79.1	5.26%	0	1.8	74	0
5	Sep_16_2014	24806.36	22239.32	24247.5	25295	25446.13	25567.25	25437.5(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1181	50	1348	681	0	51%	-0.18	82.1	5.2%	0	1.3	72	0

6	Sep_15_2014	24851.65	21894.24	23806.15	24957.5	25273.45	25531.25	25650(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3190	110	3714	1619	0	51%	-0.11	78.4	5.2%	0	1.6	64	0
7	Sep_12_2014	24878.69	21546.37	23165.33	24802.5	24973.77	25325.02	25712.5(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4389	120	5126	2178	0	49%	-0.19	79.9	5.2%	0	1.8	68	0
8	Sep_11_2014	24925.5	21165.51	22544.59	24180	24602.68	25015.64	24575(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6021	170	7052	2927	0	48%	-0.18	74.1	5.26%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Sep_10_2014	24971.42	20821.08	22109.73	23877.5	24022.2	24622.53	25100(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7120	190	8345	3444	0	46%	-0.24	68.4	5.29%	0	2	71	0
10	Sep_9_2014	25030.34	20442.46	21591.92	23035	23274.55	24189.72	23750(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10678	310	12537	5102	0	45%	-0.34	53.8	5.29%	0	1.7	69	0

11	Sep_8_2014	25116.57	20178.17	21340.63	22455	22345.32	23421.88	24875(10.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12857	320	15100	6127	0	45%	-0.01	42.5	5.27%	0	2.6	75	0
12	Sep_5_2014	25119.06	19867.33	20859.2	21282.5	21467.2	22359.39	22600(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13493	320	15856	6404	0	41%	-0.38	25.4	5.1%	0	1.9	69	0
13	Sep_4_2014	25215.46	19683.05	20625.22	20657.5	20591.41	21268.77	23062.5(10.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8536	220	10026	4064	0	41%	-0.32	7.8	5.13%	0	2.6	73	0
14	Sep_3_2014	25297.29	19474.98	20223.13	20100	20035.15	20575	20887.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6394	180	7509	3050	0	38%	-0.38	-7.8	4.94%	0	1.4	70	0
15	Sep_2_2014	25393.3	19448.83	20048.46	19945	19900.77	19914.05	20850(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3669	-0	4302	1771	0	38%	-0.47	-6.2	4.94%	0	1.4	70	0

16	Aug_29_2014	25512.76	19440.32	19823.41	20077.5	19889.84	19495.3	19012.5(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5760	-170	-6794	-2659	0	34%	-0.37	7.1	4.76%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	Aug_28_2014	25607.27	19508.14	19825.16	20357.5	20313.28	19887.5	19475(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4655	-150	-5497	-2130	0	34%	-0.29	19.5	4.76%	0	-0	53	0
18	Aug_27_2014	25682.02	19583.37	19722.88	20550	20523.44	20284.38	20275(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4162	-90	-4917	-1895	0	38%	-0.28	25.7	4.8%	0	0.6	57	0
19	Aug_26_2014	25754.97	19555.03	19482.09	20335	20553.12	20739.06	20112.5(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1521	100	1773	763	0	38%	-0.37	19.9	5.02%	0	0.5	56	0
20	Aug_25_2014	25851.28	19510.34	19251.7	20135	20217.96	20762.5	21512.5(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6166	200	7245	2929	0	40%	-0.32	12.6	5%	0	1.9	52	0

21	Aug_22_2014	25934.82	19368.02	18945.88	19542.5	19671.34	20367.17	20412.5(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	7966	270	9372	3746	0	38%	-0.39	-4.6	4.95%	0	1.1	43	0
22	Aug_21_2014	26035.84	19301.83	18795.44	19227.5	19282.28	19673.42	20437.5(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7645	150	9001	3578	0	38%	-0.36	-13.2	4.96%	0	1.1	48	0
23	Aug_20_2014	26130.87	19311.32	18644.97	18792.5	18958.85	18975.52	19200(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2125	30	2514	956	0	35%	-0.5	-16.8	4.88%	0	-0.1	35	0
24	Aug_19_2014	26262.5	19346.5	18638.32	18502.5	18691.66	18891.14	19112.5(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1094	110	1306	459	0	35%	-0.51	-28	4.88%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Aug_18_2014	26397.07	19377.47	18767.77	18225	18395.2	18942.19	18550(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5099	240	6018	2341	0	35%		-45.3	4.86%	0	-0.8	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.